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: January 11, 2013, 12:33:54 AM

2013 NFL Mock Drafts
Rob Rang

By Rob Rang
 The Sports Xchange/CBSSports.com

By virtue of a nightmare 2-14 season that resulted in the firing of coach Romeo Crennel and general manager Scott Pioli, the Kansas City Chiefs own the rights to the No. 1 pick in the 2013 draft.
 The premise behind the NFL's philosophy of rewarding the team with the worst record the first pick in the following year's draft is that the selection is supposed to help them improve.
Few teams would want the "reward" bestowed the Chiefs, a team clearly in need of a young franchise quarterback in a year when there doesn't appear to be one available atop the draft.
And therein lies the irony of the 2013 draft -- just a year after the NFL was astonished by a rookie class of quarterbacks, several teams desperately in need of one will have to weigh gambling or going with a safer prospect at other positions. The Chiefs, owners of the top pick for the first time in team history, are far from the only team in the top 10 facing a tough decision.
Based on conversations with scouts as well as my own film review, here is an updated projection as to what may take place in the first round of April's draft. The selection order below is official for the first 20 teams. The final 12 spots won't be fully determined until a Super Bowl champion is crowned February 3.

NFL Mock Draft - 1/7/2013

Round 1

1. Kansas City Chiefs

Luke Joeckel, OT, Texas A&M:
The national perception is that Kansas City fans will be irate if the Chiefs don't draft a quarterback with this pick. That may not be giving an educated and passionate fan base enough credit for recognizing this year's poor crop at the position, especially with no quarterback available with the star power coach Andy Reid demands. Clearly the quickest way to turning around a franchise in today's NFL is with a star quarterback. Just as clearly, however, investing a couple of years into the wrong quarterback can lead to an almost irreversible setback. Joeckel, NFLDraftScout.com's top-rated prospect, played a significant, if somewhat unrecognized role in the rise of Ryan Tannehill a year ago and the Heisman campaign of Johnny Manziel. The Chiefs already boast a solid left tackle in Branden Albert but the former first round pick is entering free agency and could be looking for a big pay day, that frankly, his inconsistent play and durability doesn't really warrant.

2. Jacksonville Jaguars

Star Lotulelei, DT, Utah:
All of the attention is heaped upon the Jacksonville offense but it was the Jaguars' defense that was truly horrific this season. The Jags finished 29th in the NFL in rush defense, allowing an average of 141 yards per game and giving up 19 touchdowns on the ground. Worse, they finished dead last with just 20 sacks. NFLDraftScout.com's top-rated defender all year long, Lotulelei has the ability to help the Jaguars improve in both areas immediately.

3. Oakland Raiders

Jarvis Jones, OLB, Georgia:
The Raiders finished the season 31st in the league in sacks with just 25. While Oakland has historically shied away from linebackers in the first round, general manager Reggie McKenzie's won't allow the team's past to dictate their future, especially with an impact pass rusher available. Talent isn't the concern with Jones, though health may be. He was a star at USC before transferring to Georgia and enjoying consecutive all-conference campaigns. A neck injury, however, led to his transfer from the Trojans three years ago. Though he's had no known problems since, it will require a close inspection at the Combine, should the redshirt junior elect to leave for the NFL a year early.

4. Philadelphia Eagles

Geno Smith, QB, West Virginia:
Nick Foles finished 1-5 in six games as a starter for the Eagles, providing scant evidence that the franchise should put their future in his hands. Aa quarterback with Smith's intriguing skill set will certainly catch the attention of Andy Reid's replacement. The perception is that Smith struggled mightily down the stretch but take that with a grain of salt -- he threw for 42 touchdowns and six interceptions.

5. Detroit Lions

Bjoern Werner, DE, Florida State:
Speed rusher Cliff Avril led the Lions with 9.5 sacks this year but that may not be enough to keep him in Detroit after he once again heads into free agency. A year ago Detroit franchised him after he reportedly turned down a three-year deal. The Lions could do the same this year but would still have depth concerns with backup Lawrence Jackson also entering free agency and 34-year old Kyle Vanden Bosch coming off the least productive season of his career. The 6-4, 255-pound Werner led the ACC with 13 sacks and finished second in the conference with 18 tackles for loss.

6. Cleveland Browns

Damontre Moore, DE, Texas A&M:
Finishing last in the AFC North for the second consecutive year (and fourth time in the past five years), big changes yet again appear to be in store for the Cleveland Browns. The roster appears ripe with young talent but could use a dynamic pass rusher. Moore, who publicly announced his intention to enter the 2013 draft December 30, accomplished the rare feat of leading his team in tackles (80), tackles for loss (20) and sacks (12.5) through the regular season.

7. Arizona Cardinals

Matt Barkley, QB, Southern California
: Kevin Kolb, John Skelton, Ryan Lindley and Brian Hoyer all unable to ease the Cardinals' quarterback concerns, the race could be on to find the next option. Barkley has fallen in the eyes of many scouts but we all know how the value of the position rises as the draft approaches. Barkley may not be universally viewed as a first round player any more but that may not matter come draft day.

8. Buffalo Bills

Tyler Wilson, QB, Arkansas
: While incumbent starting quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick is far from the team's weakest link, few believe he is the caliber of quarterback that can lead Buffalo to a Super Bowl. Furthermore, general manager Buddy Nix has specifically stated he hopes to find the team's quarterback of the future. While new head coach Doug Marrone might prefer his former Syracuse signal-caller Ryan Nassib, Wilson has the production against SEC competition to make he -- and the rest of Buffalo -- believers.

9. NY Jets

Barkevious Mingo, OLB, LSU:
Without their star cornerback Darrelle Revis cutting the field in half, the Jets' defense was exposed for its lack of pass-rushing prowess. Mingo won't be able to remain at defensive end, but his explosiveness at 6-5, 240 pounds would make him a terrific fit as a stand-up edge rusher.

10. Tennessee Titans

Sheldon Richardson, DT, Missouri:
Getting four touchdowns off of defense and special teams in their Week 17 victory over Jacksonville may have provided a bit of salve to a group that was often burnt in 2012 but it won't hide the fact that this unit allowed a league-worst average of 29.4 points a game. The Titans have some young talent on the edges but remain woefully undersized and unproductive down the middle. The 6-4, 310-pound Richardson is surprisingly athletic and led all SEC interior defensive linemen with 75 tackles.

11. San Diego Chargers

Taylor Lewan, OT, Michigan:
There are plenty of theories as to why Phillip Rivers hasn't played up to his previous standards in recent years. Perhaps the most logical is the turnstile that he's been forced to overcome at left tackle. The 6-7, 310-pound Lewan has the upside to warrant top 10 consideration. With the Chargers desperately needing help protecting Rivers and a physical presence in the running game, he'd make a lot of sense.

12. Miami Dolphins

Keenan Allen, WR, California:
Soft hands and reliable route-running has helped Brian Hartline and Davone Bess emerge as two of the more productive receivers in the AFC for the Dolphins and their rookie quarterback Ryan Tannehill but for the Dolphins to take the next step, they'll need to find a pass-catcher that can strike fear into defenders.

13. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Dee Milliner, CB, Alabama
: Though more than just the cornerbacks are at fault for Tampa ranking dead last in the NFL in passing yards allowed in 2012, there is no better spot to start to correct the problems. One of the trademarks of Greg Schiano's Rutgers' teams was stellar play at cornerback and the 6-1, 198-pound Milliner has the length and physicality to fit perfectly.

14. Carolina Panthers

Johnathan Hankins, DT, Ohio State
: Whomever the Carolina Panthers hire to replace fired general manager Marty Hurney could have his work cut out for him. One of the Panthers' few bright spots this season has been the play of defensive ends Charles Johnson and Greg Hardy. Carolina's defensive tackles could use an upgrade and Hankins is viewed by some as a potential top-10 talent.

15. New Orleans Saints

Manti Te'o, ILB, Notre Dame
: The Saints' defense wasn't just bad in 2012, it was historically awful, allowing a league record 7,042 yards, including an alarming 5.1 yards per carry to opposing running backs. Considering how often teams ran the ball in an attempt to keep Drew Brees off the field, that is a significant concern. Who better to provide the physicality and emotion needed to spark a defensive turnaround than Te'o?

16. St. Louis Rams

Jake Matthews, OT, Texas A&M:
When healthy, Rodger Saffold has played well at left tackle for the Rams. It is the right side that has been more troublesome. Should Matthews elect to leave A&M a year early, it would be a stunner to see Jeff Fisher not jump at the chance to work with him, considering the memories the coach likely has of Jake's Hall of Fame father, Bruce Matthews back with the Tennessee Titans and Houston Oilers.

17. Pittsburgh Steelers

Jesse Williams, DT, Alabama:
The Steelers have done a nice of job of refurbishing their defensive line with Ziggy Hood and optimism remains high on rookie nose guard Alameda Ta'amu, despite his recent arrest. Rather than gamble on Ta'amu's development, the Steelers might instead choose to develop Williams, an Australian-born defender who has wowed onlookers with his power and upside.

18. Dallas Cowboys

Mike Glennon, QB, North Carolina State:
Tony Romo is not the Cowboys' biggest problem but after another "playoff" failure, owner Jerry Jones will have to begin looking seriously at other options. The 6-5, 232-pound Glennon offers a high upside and has enjoyed plenty of success already in his young career, throwing for 30-plus touchdowns in each of his two seasons as NC State's starter -- a plateau previous standout Wolfpack quarterbacks Russell Wilson and Philip Rivers never accomplished.

19. NY Giants

Tyler Eifert, TE, Notre Dame
: On paper the Giants appear to have filled the hole at tight end with the addition of rookie Adrien Robinson and veteran Martellus Bennett. Robinson is very raw, however, and Bennett only signed a one-year deal. The 6-5, 249 pound Eifert is considered a more athletic version of past Irish tight ends Kyle Rudolph and John Carlson, who were second-round picks.

20. Chicago Bears

Eric Fisher, OT, Central Michigan:
The Bears' offensive line is a mess and with little hope of getting better without reinforcements. Fisher isn't widely known by fans, but the 6-7, 305-pounder has ranked as NFLDraftScout.com's top senior offensive tackle for the past two months, boasting the athleticism and tenacity to emerge as a clear-cut top 20 prospect with a strong performance at the Senior Bowl.

21. Cincinnati Bengals

Ezekiel Ansah, DE, Brigham Young:
Ansah started just one season at BYU but the 6-7, 270-pound native of Ghana has been compared to New York Giants' star Jason Pierre-Paul due to his spectacular upside. The Bengals are already loaded on the defensive line but could face significant free agent defections and may feel like they can gamble on a potential superstar due to the fact that they own the Raiders' second-round pick as part of the Carson Palmer trade

22. St. Louis Rams (from Washington)

Chance Warmack, OG, Alabama
: Just a few years ago using a top 20 pick on an interior lineman might have seemed silly. The need to protect the quarterback, however, has changed everything. With the Rams having already found their tackle of the future with their own first round pick, Jeff Fisher and Co. can afford to double-down on the offensive line with the 2013 first-round pick acquired from the Redskins as part of the Robert Griffin III trade last year.

23. Minnesota Vikings

Cordarrelle Patterson, WR, Tennessee:
The MVP-caliber play of running back Adrian Peterson helped hide the fact that other than Percy Harvin (who led the team in catches despite playing in just nine games), the Vikings have few receivers who scare opposing defenses. Patterson, a JUCO transfer with just half a season of FBS experience, has flashed breath-taking athleticism as a receiver, runner and returner for the Vols.

24. Indianapolis Colts

Xavier Rhodes, CB, Florida State
: Though the Colts' secondary play improved over the second half of the season, Indianapolis will almost certainly be looking to address this area in the offseason. Should Indianapolis attempt to build their defense in the same fashion that head coach Chuck Pagano's former team -- the Baltimore Ravens -- were built, a lanky, playmaking corner well-versed in press coverage like Rhodes would seem to be an ideal fit.

25. Baltimore Ravens

Tavon Austin, WR, West Virginia
: A sputtering offense led to the surprising dismissal of offensive coordinator Cam Cameron December 10 but the bigger problem might lie in Baltimore's reliance on Joe Flacco's ability to throw for long gains. An ultra-quick slot receiver like Austin could help the Ravens create big plays with short, safe passes.

26. Seattle Seahawks

John Jenkins, DT, Georgia:
When a team is playing as well as the Seahawks right now it can be difficult to find weaknesses. One area in which Seattle hasn't been quite as consistent as perhaps their hot streak would seem to indicate is their run defense, where expensive big-bodies Brandon Mebane and Red Bryant haven't been as consistent this season as last year and the team stands to potentially lose two others (Jason Jones, Alan Branch) to unrestricted free agency. The 6-3, 358 pound Jenkins is massive and has the versatility to play up and down Seattle's hybrid defensive line.

27. San Francisco 49ers

Dion Jordan, DE, Oregon:
Sources suggest that when San Francisco general manager Trent Baalke boastfully commented prior to the 2012 draft that he already knew who the 49ers would be selecting he was referring to West Virginia pass rusher Bruce Irvin. Irvin, of course, never made it to San Francisco, surprisingly earning the No. 15 overall selection by NFC West rival Seattle. The 6-5, 255-pound Jordan has a similar lanky build and natural pass rush skills as Irvin and is better in coverage. Sure the 49ers already boast arguably the league's toughest defense but that won't stop them from adding to their pass rush should a difference-maker still be on the board.

28. Houston Texans

Robert Woods, WR, Southern California
: Andre Johnson has re-emerged this season as one of the NFL's elite wideouts but depth behind he and fellow starter Kevin Walter remains quite thin. Woods is a savvy slot receiver with reliable hands and an excellent route-runner. With a talented supporting cast already in place, he could step in contribute significantly as a rookie.

29. New England Patriots

Matt Elam, SS, Florida
: The recent addition of lanky cornerback Aqib Talib has improved the Patriots' pass defense but this secondary continues to give up big plays. The physical, ball-hawking Elam has the all-around game to help improve this unit as a rookie.

30. Green Bay Packers

Barrett Jones, C, Alabama
: The depth of Green Bay's offensive line has been sorely tested in 2012 with injuries to former first-round picks Bryan Bulaga and Derek Sherrod. The interior has been steadier, especially since Evan Dietrich-Smith has taken over for veteran Jeff Saturday at center. A versatile swingman like Jones would provide excellent depth at numerous positions and offers significant value at this point in the draft.

31. Denver Broncos

Sharrif Floyd, DT, Florida
: With three veteran defensive tackles scheduled for free agency following this season (including starters Kevin Vickerson and Justin Bannan) Denver will likely address this position on draft day. The team found a good young standout in Derek Wolfe a year ago and he's played well as a rookie. The 6-3, 303 pound Floyd has the quickness to take advantage of the one on one blocks he'll face in Denver as opponents focus on the Broncos' outstanding edge rushers.

32. Atlanta Falcons

Sam Montgomery, DE, LSU:
While the Falcons possess the best record in the NFC their inability to supply consistent pressure on the opposing quarterback has to be a major concern. The 6-5, 260 pound Montgomery has a quick first step, long arms and the passion to excite scouts but is viewed by some as a bit stiff. At this point in the draft, however, Atlanta might see him as a steal and a potential replacement for the aging John Abraham.

Copyright NFLDraftScout.com, distributed by The Sports Xchange


Pro Bowler
Posts : 1787
#1 : January 11, 2013, 12:42:34 AM

Well, Taylor Lewan and Jake Matthews have decided to stay in school, so this is irrelevant.


Hall of Famer
Posts : 3038
#2 : January 11, 2013, 12:53:44 AM

I wouldn't have a problem with that pick if it happened, with no QBs worth taking and the pass rushers seemingly gone it's the best guy at a massive need.

On a side note, why is it seemingly a lock in peoples mocks that the Cards take Barkley?
You'd think that at least a few people would factor in how badly Arizona was burnt the last time they went for a 1st round QB, wasting the pick on another USC bust waiting to happen.
Throw in Barkleys habit of choking in any remotely big game, lack of any real athletisism, limited arm strength, the poor results of USC QBs overall and I would think that it's not even as close a "no brainer" as many believe.
The guy has career backup (at best) written all over him.

The Anti-Java

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Posts : 23556
#3 : January 11, 2013, 01:03:24 AM

I would be ok with Milliner, but there is a chance he may be gone by #13.


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Posts : 7901
#4 : January 11, 2013, 12:49:23 PM

Milliner at #13 is a win for us.

\\\\\\\"This forum needs a poster like BucNY now more than ever\\\\\\\"
      - Everyone


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Posts : 13449
#5 : January 11, 2013, 01:34:59 PM

Glennon to the Cows is a pretty interesting pick. If they switch to the 4-3, they may look at a few pieces on defense, but Glennon might be the right pick if he is there.



Posts : 991
#6 : January 11, 2013, 02:03:33 PM

I wish!

Go Bucs


Hall of Famer
Posts : 3876
#7 : January 11, 2013, 02:17:59 PM

I will cream my shorts if that happens. I think in the end...the Bucs might have to trade up a few spots to get Milliner because some other team behind us that has CB needs will know where we are going and might try to jump up.

Whoa...shiver me ****in timbers!

The Anti-Java

Hall of Famer

Posts : 23556
#8 : January 11, 2013, 08:34:52 PM

I will cream my shorts if that happens. I think in the end...the Bucs might have to trade up a few spots to get Milliner because some other team behind us that has CB needs will know where we are going and might try to jump up.

I like the dude, but I wouldn't trade up for him.  If he was gone, I would see who BPA was and go from there.


Hall of Famer

Posts : 3327
#9 : January 11, 2013, 10:30:29 PM

yeah milliner is good but im not trading up for him. hes not darrelle revis. weve got enough needs that we can address something else at 13 or trade back and look for more picks and value
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