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michael89156

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ę : September 04, 2013, 03:21:02 AM Ľ



2013 NFC South: Four Questions, Four Analysts

PFF Analysis Team | September 3, 2013







Thereís not long to go now before the meaningful action begins with the start of the 2013 NFL season. To give you an idea of what our team is thinking heading into the season weíre asking four of them four questions, for every division.
 
Itís our Four Questions, Four Analysts season preview.
 
The analysts are Khaled Elsayed, Sam Monson, Steve Palazzolo and Ben Stockwell, so letís see what theyíre looking forward to seeing heading into the year.
 

 
 
 
1. Which player from the division do you see having a breakout year?
 
Khaled:
I like my rotational ends, apparently. No denying who the starters are in Carolina, but Iíve seen flashes from 2012 fourth-round pick Frank Alexander. Heís best served at this point spelling Charles Johnson and Greg Hardy, but itís with those snaps I can see him doing damage.
 
Sam: I think he probably did this last year, but far too below the radar for most people to notice. Robert McClain became a very impressive CB for the Falcons and, though he may not have been given the starting job he deserved given the drafting of Desmond Trufant, I think heíll play, and play well enough, over the season in their nickel package, to have well and truly broken out.
 
Steve: I really like what I saw from Saints DT Akiem Hicks on his 383 snaps last season and I think heíll continue to build on that success in the Saintsí new 3-4 scheme. He should be stout against the run on early downs while providing a pass rushing presence in sub-packages. Hicks will be a big part of the Saintsí defense this season.
 
Ben: Steven Jackson may have been brought in to start and take Michael Turnerís spot in the offense, but I donít think heís going to dominate the snaps in the Falconsí backfield. I can see Jacquizz Rodgers being a very important part of the Atlanta offense this season for his work in both the run and pass games as the Falcons continue to strive for that much needed balance in their offense. Heís small but he has power to go with his quicks and heís a good pass protector as well. The fanfare comes for Jackson, but I think Rodgers is going to be as important and steal the show on occasion for the Falcons this season.

 
2. The over/unders are Atlanta 10, Carolina 7, New Orleans 9 and Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7.5. Which team would you put your theoretical $100 on?
 
Khaled
: I really like the moves Carolina have made. Theyíve got one heck of a front seven and judging by preseason theyíve upgraded in a big way at defensive tackle (not that it was overly hard for them to). I think this team is going to surprise a lot of people in the NFC South.
 
Sam: I think people forget how good the Saints are. Last seasonís Bounty Scandal ruined their season, and their defense was a disaster, but both of those things could well have changed heading into this year. Iíve never been a huge fan of Rob Ryanís defenses, but for the first time in a long time New Orleans linebackers donít all appear totally lost within the scheme. So far this preseason Ramon Humber and David Hawthorne in particular have both graded very well (+3.0 and +3.9 respectively). I think they top nine wins and get back into contention.
 
Steve: This was a difficult choice, but Iíll go with the Bucs going over 7.5 wins. Theyíve added a lot of young talent in recent drafts and I think weíll start to see the defense make strides in the right direction.
 
Ben: Iíve not gone for the under in many divisions, but Iím really down on the Buccaneers this season. I would say sorry to Tampa Bay fans but my projections tend to be kind of hit and miss so this could be a good thing for them. The quarterback situation doesnít look great to me and I donít think their defense can take a step forward this season. Gerald McCoy and Lavonte David are stars in the front seven, but having let the likes of Michael Bennett go in the offseason I just donít see this unit matching what they did last year. I think the Bucs finish in the basement of the NFC South this season with less than 7.5 wins.
 

3. Which rookie are you most looking forward to seeing in regular season action?
 
Khaled:
When you play opposite Darrelle Revis youíre going to get tested. Thatís the case for Johnthan Banks, the second-round pick who has had some good and bad moments during preseason. How he holds up could have a big impact on the teamís defense.
 
Sam: Iím getting pretty interested by what Iíve seen of Kenny Vaccaro. He breaks on deep square-in routes faster than any safety I can think of. What makes that even more interesting is that over preseason he seems to be getting even closer to them. Thatís a route that pretty much always defeats a safety, but heís actually arriving at the same time as the football. Iím really looking forward to seeing if he can translate that kind of burst and closing speed to more than that route and be a real factor in the pass game.
 
Steve: Lotulelei and Vaccaro possess two of the most intriguing skill sets in the rookie class, but Iíll go with Atlantaís cornerback duo Desmond Trufant and Robert Alford. Though Trufant went in the first round, many analysts like Alford better as a player. Either way, at least one of them needs to emerge as a key piece in Atlantaís secondary. Based on preseason, it looks like Alford has the leg up after grading at +2.2 compared to Trufantís -3.6.
 
Ben: After seeing how well he did in preseason against Evan Mathis and Kelechi Osemele, Iím eager to see how Star Lotulelei does for the Panthers this season. The Panthers have been starved of an interior presence on the defensive line for so long that Lotulelei looks like a breath of fresh air for Carolina fans.
 

4. Who will make the playoffs and can they win it all?
 
Khaled: I think the Panthers will challenge and fall short, because the Saints and Falcons remain the powerhouses in this division. I see both making it, with Atlanta winning the division but the Saints going further in the preseason. Theyíre built a little more to bulldoze teams.
 
Sam: Atlanta are clearly the class of the division but I think the Saints will really push them hard for the crown. In the end I suspect the Falcons will probably take the division, but the Saints wonít be far behind and could look to fight for a tough wild card spot in the NFC.
 
Steve: I think everyone is picking the Falcons to win the division, but I donít think itís going to be easy. Iíve taken heat for saying theyíre going to take a step back this season, but thatís not to say they wonít win the division. Theyíre still the favorite, but I think a lack of depth in key areas will hurt. I wasnít high on the Saints bouncing back, but I like some of the youth theyíve added and wonít be surprised if theyíre contending for a wild card. Iíve been waiting for the Bucs to finally put it together, but itís in Josh Freemanís hands at this point. Theyíre talented in the right places. Finally the Panthers should be better, and theyíll be right in the mix with Luke Kuechly and Lotulelei have possibly on the doorstep to stardom. Like many of the NFC divisions, this one is very close in talent.
 
Ben: The Falcons are a team built for regular season success and I think theyíre well set for another strong regular season and division title. Their target is the postseason but I donít see the Falcons as a team that will scrape into the playoffs as a wild card team and then go on a run once the real stuff gets underway. No, I think the Falcons get at least a dozen wins and then fall agonizingly short in the playoffs once again. For a wildcard spot, the Saints I think bounce back this year with the stability of Sean Payton on the sideline. The offense will propel them to enough wins to make the playoffs but the defense will hold them back from truly competing.
 
 
 
Follow the guys on Twitter: Ben, Sam, Khaled, and Steve Ö and the main account as well: @PFF

Bucfucious

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ę #1 : September 04, 2013, 11:15:03 AM Ľ

Let the crying begin! Who wants to go first?

acacius

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ę #2 : September 04, 2013, 11:30:36 AM Ľ

Let the crying begin! Who wants to go first?
Looks to me like you've already gotten us off to a good start.

Feel Real Good

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ę #3 : September 04, 2013, 11:35:36 AM Ľ

Quote
Sam: Iím getting pretty interested by what Iíve seen of Kenny Vaccaro. He breaks on deep square-in routes faster than any safety I can think of. What makes that even more interesting is that over preseason he seems to be getting even closer to them. Thatís a route that pretty much always defeats a safety, but heís actually arriving at the same time as the football. Iím really looking forward to seeing if he can translate that kind of burst and closing speed to more than that route and be a real factor in the pass game.
Sounds like a heck of a first round safety.

FRG is the most logical poster on this board.  You guys just don\'t like where the logical conclusions take you.

blind melon

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ę #4 : September 04, 2013, 11:40:57 AM Ľ

To make this thread more interesting, Lets just rename the thread   [2013 NFC South: Four Questions, one Poster's analysis...


1.  Which player from the division do you see having a breakout year?
Lavonte David
2.  The over/unders are Atlanta 10, Carolina 7, New Orleans 9 and Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7.5. Which team would you put your theoretical $100 on?
Under on Atlanta
3. Which rookie are you most looking forward to seeing in regular season action?
Banks
4. Who will make the playoffs and can they win it all?
Tampa(Div)

ę : September 04, 2013, 11:42:45 AM blind melon Ľ

Who knew how good it would feel as a fan when we now know what it\'s like for our team to have a direction, an attitude, and dare I say an offense?.  

Good time to be a Bucs fan.

QaZ

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ę #5 : September 04, 2013, 11:49:50 AM Ľ

So we are not just flirting with NFL records as last year, this time we are going to break them...or what does 'this unit [not] matching what they did last year' mean?
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