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michael89156

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« : January 26, 2014, 02:09:47 AM »


Why the Texans — and others — won't take Johnny Football

 Published  23 minutes ago

Eric Galko,     Optimum Scouting      Sporting News




It only takes one.
 
It’s the line agents sell to get clients on board. It’s the line players sell themselves to remain confident throughout the draft process. It’s the line the mock draft-building media sells fans. When it comes to Johnny Manziel's draft future, it only takes one team to make him the face of its franchise.
 
But that team won’t be the Houston Texans.
 
And when it comes time to turn in the card on draft day, the Texans likely won’t be the only team to let a different franchise be the one to gamble on the Texas A&M quarterback.
 
Bill O’Brien doesn’t want “Johnny Texan”

Manziel captivated the nation in college, winning the Heisman Trophy in 2012, and left as one of the greatest collegiate quarterbacks in history.
 


But when ESPN analyst Mel Kiper penciled Manziel in as the first overall pick in his first mock draft of the year, the narrative changed and raised the question: Just how high could Manziel go on draft day?
 
I’ll save you the suspense. He won’t be O’Brien’s first pick as coach of the Texans.
 
To start, Manziel simply doesn’t fit the ideal mold O’Brien needs for his system. The former Penn State coach was on the Patriots' coaching staff for four seasons, working with one of the best pocket quarterbacks in NFL history. After turning Nittany Lion Matt McGloin into an improved, in-pocket decision maker, he recruited and landed the best quarterback in the country — Christian Hackenberg.
 
Keep in mind O'Brien basically had his choice of many head coaching jobs open this year. He wasn’t going to rush into an organization that wouldn't give him what he needed — especially as it relates to personnel. He won’t have final say on roster decisions, but wouldn’t have taken the Texans job if he wasn’t guaranteed the option to hand-pick his quarterback.
 
The Texans defense ranked 3rd-best in first downs allowed per game, and 7th in yards allowed per game last season despite grading out in the bottom tier of the NFL in sacks and interceptions. By adding to the pass rush (Jadeveon Clowney may be able to help), Houston could re-emerge as one of the best defenses in the NFL. Factor in that the Texans have talent at every other position on offense, and they don't need a savior under center to quickly become relevant again. Thrusting an off-field enigma with maturity questions into that veteran locker room is at best a questionable decision, and at worst a complete train wreck on a national stage.
 
Targeting a veteran quarterback or trading for a current backup like Ryan Mallett from the Patriots may be a wiser idea.
 
O’Brien may view Teddy Bridgewater as the best quarterback in this class, but the Louisville product doesn’t appear to fit the desired prototype, either. O'Brien may consider UCF's Blake Bortles or Fresno State's Derek Carr, but neither are worthy of the No. 1 overall pick.
 
Manziel is a gamble

I don’t believe Manziel is worth a Top 10 pick, and I think he’s a gamble as a first-round quarterback in general. But that doesn’t mean I don’t think he's a future NFL starter.
 
For a team in today's NFL, a first-round pick is much more than a developmental quarterback — he immediately becomes the face of the franchise. Expectations soar, pressure mounts and from the moment the player is selected, the clock starts ticking. How long until he starts? When will he join the league’s elite?
 
Manziel isn’t ready to be an NFL starter — at least not one that can last. His game is predicated on elusiveness in the pocket, creativity as a runner and the ability to force defenses to hold their coverage longer than the average three-to-four seconds. The professional level is simply too fast, too big and too quick to adjust schematically for those attributes to remain Johnny Football's calling card.
 


The best two Manziel comparisons are Cowboys QB Tony Romo and Eagles QB Michael Vick. That being said, Manziel doesn’t have the bulk or pocket-passing experience that Romo possesses and doesn’t have the arm strength to make high-velocity throws like Vick has.
 
Combine those two concerning comparisons with the plight of Redskins QB Robert Griffin III, and it’s hard not to be concerned about how quickly an injury can change and stunt a running-based quarterback’s growth.
 
Now, that’s not to say Manziel can’t adapt. Improvement to his footwork and increased velocity as a thrower (possible thanks to his consistently tight spiral and large hands) could make a world of difference for the dynamic passer.
 
The Texans won’t make Manziel the No. 1 overall pick. The Jaguars and Raiders likely won’t, either. He doesn’t fit what the Buccaneers or Cardinals are looking for at the position. The Vikings have the personnel to maximize his playmaking ability, but Manziel doesn’t quite fit new offensive coordinator Norv Turner’s preferred quarterback skill set. The Browns are the rumored destination, but they may be pushing the media to inflate his perceived value.
 
Manziel may sell tickets tomorrow, but if he can’t win in the NFL today and be set up for success in the future, he’s not worth a top selection. Ideally, Manziel falls to the second round, is shoved into a low-pressure situation and gets the chance to realize his potential.
 
It only takes one team to feel its the right fit for Manziel, and that it can capture the excitement he brought to college football.
 
Johnny Football should prepare himself for a harsh reality, because when it comes to decision time, drafting Manziel will be much easier said than done.

The Anti-Java

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« #1 : January 26, 2014, 03:58:16 AM »

I am not a big Johnny fan, but if they did draft him, I would support him. But I think the chances of that are slim to none.  When Schiano was here, I put the odds of him drafting Johnny at  1%.  With Lovie, its probably slighty higher, but not by much.  10%


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Benchwarmer#1

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« #2 : January 26, 2014, 10:11:24 AM »

Manziel doesn't need to be drafted high.

He needs to have a chip on his shoulder, not an overly inflated ego. If he was to fall to seven, the bucs better get him.

Naismith was right about Revis. Everyone else is a dummy.

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« #3 : January 26, 2014, 10:15:40 AM »

Im ready.. wouldn't even mind trading up.

Buc on the Move

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« #4 : January 26, 2014, 10:23:40 AM »

No thanks.

chace1986

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« #5 : January 26, 2014, 10:27:09 AM »

If we want a flash in the pan QB who may have 1 good year, but wont be the starter 5 years later...then draft Johnny Manziel.


youngone

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« #6 : January 26, 2014, 10:28:45 AM »

If we want a flash in the pan QB who may have 1 good year, but wont be the starter 5 years later...then draft Johnny Manziel.
I agree.

Some people are clamoring for flash in the pan.
« : January 26, 2014, 10:30:50 AM youngone »

danimal09

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« #7 : January 26, 2014, 10:43:28 AM »

I don't know about this kid. But I would be lying if I said I that I wouldn't be excited to watch him play if we end up drafting him.

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« #8 : January 26, 2014, 02:41:44 PM »

I think he's going to be the closest thing to drew brees with wheels.

Lovie would be nuts to at least not consider it. The possible upside (him playing like he did in college) is too great.

If we pass on him in any way, I guarantee we will be banging our head like we did many a high profile player before him.

Grow some balls people. NO pick is safe or "safer."

I know....but,but,but.....go ahead..

Naismith was right about Revis. Everyone else is a dummy.

Naismith

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« #9 : January 26, 2014, 02:50:29 PM »

LOL @ "grow some balls", like it's a sign of courage to be in favor of drafting Manziel. Hey, you want to shows some serious stones, draft a punter at pick 7!

There\'s a very real chance the Bucs waive [Revis] before next season. At the very least, it will be a discussion worth having.

The Anti-Java

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« #10 : January 26, 2014, 04:36:22 PM »

I think he's going to be the closest thing to drew brees with wheels.

Lovie would be nuts to at least not consider it. The possible upside (him playing like he did in college) is too great.

If we pass on him in any way, I guarantee we will be banging our head like we did many a high profile player before him.

Grow some balls people. NO pick is safe or "safer."

I know....but,but,but.....go ahead..



He looks good outrunning those college players, some of them will be working at Foot Locker after their college career is over.  In the pros, EVERYONE is fast and strong. Its a whole different ballgame.  And I don't get the Tony Romo comparison, way off , IMO.


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PewterReportMC....
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