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ufojoe

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: April 06, 2009, 02:41:03 PM

Does this guy have a track record when predicting earthquakes or is he known for being a chicken little who finally got one right?

Did the government even look at his data? If not, why not?

http://uk.reuters.com/article/homepageCrisis/idUKL6566682._CH_.2420

Italy muzzled scientist who foresaw quake
Mon Apr 6, 2009 12:22pm BST

By Gavin Jones

ROME, April 6 (Reuters) - An Italian scientist predicted a major earthquake around L'Aquila weeks before disaster struck the city on Monday, killing dozens of people, but was reported to authorities for spreading panic among the population.

The first tremors in the region were felt in mid-January and continued at regular intervals, creating mounting alarm in the medieval city, about 100 km (60 miles) east of Rome.

Vans with loudspeakers had driven around the town a month ago telling locals to evacuate their houses after seismologist Gioacchino Giuliani predicted a large quake was on the way, prompting the mayor's anger.

Giuliani, who based his forecast on concentrations of radon gas around seismically active areas, was reported to police for "spreading alarm" and was forced to remove his findings from the Internet.

Italy's Civil Protection agency held a meeting of the Major Risks Committee, grouping scientists charged with assessing such risks, in L'Aquila on March 31 to reassure the townspeople.

"The tremors being felt by the population are part of a typical sequence ... (which is) absolutely normal in a seismic area like the one around L'Aquila," the civil protection agency said in a statement on the eve of that meeting.


"It is useful to underline that it is not in any way possible to predict an earthquake," it said, adding that the agency saw no reason for alarm but was nonetheless effecting "continuous monitoring and attention".

As the media asked questions about the authorities' alleged failure to safeguard the population ahead of the quake, the head of the National Geophysics Institute dismissed Giuliani's predictions.

"Every time there is an earthquake there are people who claim to have predicted it," he said. "As far as I know nobody predicted this earthquake with precision. It is not possible to predict earthquakes."

Enzo Boschi said the real problem for Italy was a long-standing failure to take proper precautions despite a history of tragic quakes.

"We have earthquakes but then we forget and do nothing. It's not in our culture to take precautions or build in an appropriate way in areas where there could be strong earthquakes," he said.


Scholty

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#1 : April 06, 2009, 03:27:42 PM

There is a lot more about this in German papers.  Can not find many english links yet.

Here is an Italian News Agency showing a letter of a respected Italian researcher on this matter: http://www.agi.it/italy/news/200904061921-cro-ren0064-art.html

Look at this one with YouTube video: http://www.postchronicle.com/news/original/article_212220934.shtml


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Scholty

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#2 : April 06, 2009, 03:29:32 PM

Here is another one where they basically call him to be a quack since they do not believe in 'his' methods 100%.

http://www.ansa.it/site/notizie/awnplus/english/news/2009-04-06_106343748.html

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ufojoe

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#3 : April 06, 2009, 05:16:11 PM

Here is another one where they basically call him to be a quack since they do not believe in 'his' methods 100%.

From the article in your first post...

"underestimating the application of new technologies simply because they are brought forward by researchers who are not part of the reigning establishment is an act of criminal negligence and today we are paying for its consequences"

* * * * * * * * * *

Science will never learn. The arrogance is amazing. Hey, maybe this guy's methods are faulty but there is no need to insult him or throw out the "fringe" word that so many mainstreamers love to use:

''I don't question his (Giuliani's) research, only his methods. People like him operate on the fringes of the scientific community and with their claims complicate our own work''.
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