Lets see - you're either looking at the argument too closely or have become intractable - points 1, 2 & 3 are destroyed by Freeman's 2007 season.
I'm gonna try and simplify this for you because you want to argue something I'm really 100% not interested in and isn't relevant to anything I've said. Lets assume that KSU was insanely more talented in 2007 than 2008- they weren't but you want to think that so we'll roll with your theory to hosw you how what you think you've proven doesn't matter by way of analogy.
In 2007 I was given a Ferrari and asked to drive to Oklahoma 12 times at midnight. It takes me an average of 30 minutes each drive. Some days it took 25 and some days it took 35 depending upon traffic.
In 2008, I was given a peapod (http://wheels.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/02/12/peapod-mobility-arrives-on-earth-day/) to perform the same task 12 times at midnight. It takes me 2.5 hours on average to make the same drive. Some days it took 4.5 hours and some days it took 45 minutes, then it took 3.75 hours and another day it took 1.5 hours.
Now you are arguing that if you go from a Ferrari to a Peapod your performance should decline (the all his talent left argument). My concern isn't that 2007 to 2008 changes. My concern is why an average drive of 2.5 hours (a decline that can be understood) sometimes took 4.5 hours and sometimes took 45 minutes. The two things are wholly different arguments and it is his performance within the Peapod that worries me.
Why are we talking about Oklahoma? K-State's in K-A-N-S-A-S...
Besides you lost me with the whole "...is it farther to California or by bus..." argument...(blinding me with BS now?).
Why on the HECK would you be worried about the
anomaly? Even if I bought your argument it's relevance would only apply if Freeman were drafted by a team that was desperate for him to start, a "peabod" type team that had no talent at running back, no talent at WR, no talent at TE, and had as bad of an offensive line as he had in college (relative to the opposition's talent).
He will have probably equal talent to his opposition - if not better in some cases. The point I'm making is, once the kid
begins to make defensive reads - even
rudimentary reads - he will be better than any QB we've ever had here. He will perform
more like the Josh Freeman of 2007. He will NOT have to be the
superman Josh Freeman of the 2008 K-State Wildcats.
It's nice to know that we have a kid who has thrown for 3000 yards and (22 passing TD's) while rushing for 400 yards (and another 14 rushing TD'/s) in a single season. I'd much rather have a kid who threw for nearly 3400 yards and 21 TD's and maintained a 63% completion rate.
See even though he OBVIOUSLY lost talent his Junior season he didn't have a drop off in passing TD's and only minimal fall-off in passing yardage. Teams were keying on the one weapon K-State had - Josh Freeman - but he rplaced ALL of the
passing yards lost from 2007 with RUSHING yards in 2008
and oh by the way contributed 14 MORE TD's.
Personally (and additionally) I like the fact that superman had to play for the under dogs - he wants to prove he's a good QB. He'll (now) have the talent to make some noise!
That is what the data tells me. It's kind of obvious, actually.