interesting article... by Scott Kacsmarr @CaptainComebackhttp://captaincomeback.wordpress.com/2012/08/20/nfl-week-in-review-andrew-luck-live-matt-ryan-on-fox-and-5th-year-breakout-qbs/
5th-Year Breakout QBsSid Luckman
(1943) This one is influenced by WWII, but 1943 was the year Luckman threw 28 TD and had a ridiculous 107.5 passer rating.Sonny Jurgensen
(1961) after riding the bench for four years in Philadelphia, Jurgensen got his shot in 1961 and threw for a then NFL record 3,723 yards and 32 TD.Daryle Lamonica
(1967) After four backup years in Buffalo in which he was also a punter, Lamonica exploded with the Raiders, throwing 30 touchdowns and leading the team to Super Bowl II.Bob Griese
(1971) Had a career-high 90.9 passer rating while throwing 19 TD to only a career-low 9 INT.Ken Stabler
(1974) Threw 26 TD and won the only AP NFL MVP award of his career.Ken Anderson
(1975) Though 1974 was incredible too, Anderson made his first Pro Bowl and a 10-win season in 1975, while throwing for a career-high 3,169 yards and 21 TD.Danny White
(1980) Backup to Roger Staubach no more, White threw 30 TD and led Dallas to a 12-4 record and the most points scored in the league.Joe Montana
(1983) One could argue 1981, the first Super Bowl win, was a better year, but in 1983, Montana had a career-high in yards (3,910), TD (26), and passer rating (94.6).Dave Krieg
(1984) though he was more efficient in 1983, he only played half the season. In 1984, Krieg threw 32 TD and led Seattle to a 12-4 record.John Elway
(1987) His lone MVP award of his career came in 1987, which was the best season Elway had in his first 10 seasons actually.Boomer Esiason
(1988) Won league MVP and led the highest-scoring offense in the league to the Super Bowl in the best year of his entire career.Chris Miller
(1991) Heres a former Falcon. 13th overall pick in 1987, Miller had his lone Pro Bowl season in 1991 when he threw 26 TD and led Atlanta to the second round of the playoffs.Brett Favre
(1995) had a career-high in yards, TD and passer rating. Favre won his first MVP award.Scott Mitchell
(1995) Yep, the one-year wonder came alive in 1995 with 4,338 yards and 32 TD for the Detroit Lions.Matt Hasselbeck
(2003) Threw a career-high 26 TD while leading Seattle to 10-6 and the playoffs. He wanted to score too much that year.Tom Brady
(2004) Brady had his best statistical season in year 5 as he led the Patriots to a third Super Bowl in four seasons. It was the first time he had a passer rating over 90.0 in a season, and this was easily the most dominant NE team to win a Super Bowl.Tony Romo
(2007) In his second year as a starter, Romo led Dallas to a 13-3 record, threw for 4,211 yards, 36 TD and had a 97.4 passer rating.Philip Rivers
(2008) forget the 8-8 record, Rivers was on fire that year with 34 TD and a league-best 105.5 passer rating.Eli Manning
(2008) After the Super Bowl win, Manning had the best regular season of his career in 2008, leading the Giants to a 12-4 record and setting career highs in comp. percentage, YPA and passer rating.Aaron Rodgers
(2009) In just his second year as a starter, Rodgers threw 30 TD to only 7 INT, and had a 103.2 passer rating.
I could go on, but 20 rather high-profile cases is good enough to get the point across. Year five has been a breakout year for many of the all-time greats.
But what about the math check? We are talking about five seasons, so there is a 20 percent chance a QB will have his career/breakout year in the fifth year.
He also mentions though that many of those were players who sat the bench for a little. But here's hoping Freeman is on that list after this year!