Bucs fans are torn on whether they would like to see Pro Bowl CB Darrelle Revis in a Buccaneers uniform in 2013, and even the ones that do are wondering if the price of a No. 1 pick is too risky. But looking at the last 10 years of No. 13 picks, the risk of drafting a player may be far greater than acquiring Revis, who is coming of an ACL injury.
As the debate by Bucs fans continues to grow on whether the Buccaneers should acquire New York cornerback Darrelle Revis in a trade, the stalemate and poker game played by Bucs GM Mark Dominik and Jets John Idzik gets more and more serious.
What’s the proper compensation? What kind of long-term contract does Revis deserve? Will he be 100 percent to start the season? Those are just a few of the questions Bucs fans and Dominik are wrestling in their minds.
On Tuesday, PewterReport.com reported that the Buccaneers are still not completely sure if they are willing to give up a No. 1 this year, next year – or even at all. Despite the debate, reports continue to suggest that the Buccaneers very well may end up surrendering their No. 13 first-round pick this year in order to obtain Revis.
When the initial reports of interest in Revis by the Buccaneers first surfaced several weeks ago, it appeared most fans were on board with Tampa Bay adding arguably the NFL’s best cornerback. Slowly, with the draft approaching, many fans of have voiced their displeasure with giving up this season’s No. 1 pick for Revis. Many have called local sports talk shows and even have posted on the PewterReport.com message boards, totally against the Buccaneers surrendering high draft picks for the Pro Bowl cornerback.
While there are concerns – mainly about his ability to recover from a serious ACL injury – drafting a cornerback, or any position for that matter, is even a riskier proposition. The history of the NFL Draft is littered with terrible mistakes, poor return on teams’ investments, and in some cases just plain bad luck.
Alabama's Dee Milliner seems to be the consensus best cornerback in the draft, but after the Crimson Tide star, the next best cornerback is up for debate with Desmond Trufant and Xavier Rhodes battling for that spot. Even if the Buccaneers pass on a cornerback at No. 13 and take a defensive lineman, tight end or other position of need, who is to say that player will pan out and make an impact in 2013 and beyond?
Trading for Revis is a risk, but less so than throwing a college football player directly in the fire. And as a scout recently told PewterReport.com, you can’t sit a top-15 selection on the bench. They must contribute and be on the football field at any position other than quarterback. Even then the scout said the pressure to play first-round picks is much different than even 10 years ago.
Just to demonstrate the risk of taking drafting a player versus trading for a proven starter, PewterReport.com takes a look at the players selected with the 13th overall pick over the last 10 seasons in this feature. How many of these players would you take over Revis?2012 WR MICHAEL FLOYD
Floyd gets a huge incomplete when grading his rookie season. The Cardinals were in turmoil, had numerous quarterback changes and eventually a new coaching staff. It is hard to get a good gauge on Floyd by looking at his mediocre 2012 numbers – 45 receptions for 562 yards and two touchdowns. Despite being the 13th overall selection, Floyd was the Cardinals No. 3 receiver for much of the season.GRADE = Incomplete2011 DT NICK FAIRLEY
Fairley had a solid 2012 season on the field but a terrible one off of it. The former Auburn star finished 2012 with 26 tackles, 5.5 sacks, two forced fumbles – and two arrests. There is no question that Fairley has the potential to be superstar in the NFL but must reign in his off-the-field issues and stay healthy after finding himself placed on injured reserve late in 2012.GRADE = C2010 DE BRANDON GRAHAM
Graham was a terror in the Big 10 at Michigan, racking up 26.5 sacks and 56 tackles for loss during his four seasons in Ann Arbor. But since being selected by the Eagles in 2010, the former Wolverine has struggled to come even close to the same production his showed in college due to injuries. Graham tore an ACL his rookie season and also underwent microfracture surgery on his knee in 2011. Graham recorded four sacks in 2012 and appears ready for a fresh start under new head coach Chip Kelly. He also appears destined for a new position, outside linebacker, in the Eagles' planned 3-4 defense. GRADE = D2009 LB BRIAN ORAKPO
Orakpo came into the NFL with a ton of fanfare and has not disappointed. The former Longhorn was selected to the Pro Bowl his first three years in the league, only being derailed last season with a torn pectoral muscle in Week 2 that cost Orakpo 14 games. In four seasons, Orakpo has notched 170 tackles, 29.5 sacks – an average of over seven per season – and six forced fumbles.GRADE = A
-2008 RB JOHNATHAN STEWART
Stewart has been a solid running back in Carolina since joining the league in 2008. The former Duck was part of a platoon system for a few years, sharing time with DeAngelo Williams as the Panthers employed a two-back season. The addition of quarterback Cam Newton, and the style of offense the Panthers play under Ron Rivera, also has affected Stewart’s carries significantly. But when given the ball Stewart has been extremely effective during his career, rushing for 3,836 yards and averaging 4.7 yards per carry.GRADE = B2007 DE ADAM CARRIKER
In five seasons, Carriker has only recorded nine sacks and 125 tackles, but has also been injured and changed positions since coming into the league. Carriker was a defensive end in college at Nebraska but switched to defensive tackle with the Rams his rookie season. The former Cornhusker was dealt to the Redskins before the 2011 season as part of the blockbuster trade that the Redskins and Rams pulled off in order for the Redskins to grab the overall No. 2 pick in 2011. Carriker was injured for the majority of the 2012 season and was asked to restructure his contract last month in order to stay with Washington.GRADE = D2006 DE KAMERION WIMBERLY
The Cleveland Browns selected former Seminole defensive end Kamerion Wimberly in 2006 and he was an immediate impact player recording 11 sacks as an outside linebacker. With 48.5 sacks over the course of his seven seasons in the NFL, Wimberly is a well-respected pass rusher and has also had a stint in Oakland before signing as a free agent with the Titans prior to the 2012 season, one in which he notched six sacks for Tennessee.GRADE = B+2005 OT JAMAAL BROWN
Brown, who is currently a free agent has had an up-and-down career so far in the NFL. As the first tackle taken in the 2005 draft, Brown was expected to be a 10-year fixture on the Saints offensive line, protecting Drew Brees’ blindside, but injuries got the better of Brown who was eventually replaced by Jermon Bushrod. Brown was traded to the Redskins prior to the 2010 season and played well when healthy, but was never able to play an entire season for Washington. Brown’s final three years were voided, making the former Sooner a free agent.GRADE = C2004 LEE EVANS
Evans' NFL career started off in terrific fashion in Buffalo as the former Badger became a fan favorite while putting up tremendous numbers. During his seven seasons with the Bills, Evans amassed 5,934 yards and 43 touchdown receptions. Evans played nine games for the Ravens in 2011 after being traded for a fourth-round pick, but had just four receptions in those games. Evans was out of football in 2012 and is currently a free agent.GRADE =B2003 TY WARREN
Warren was selected 13th overall in 2003 after the New England Patriots traded up to that spot to nab the former Texas A&M star. Warren had a stellar career in New England notching 374 tackles and 20.5 sacks, while being a favorite of head coach Bill Belichick. Warren was signed by the Denver Broncos as an unrestricted free agent prior to the 2011 season but has suffered two triceps injuries that have kept him off the football field.GRADE = B
It's a safe bet that any player selected in what is considered to be a good – but not great – 2013 draft will not be as good as a healthy Revis, who has been to four Pro Bowls and was named the AFC Defensive Player of the Year in 2009.
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