The 2013 NFL Draft is just days away and talk about potential risers and fallers is in full swing. Some players that are considered “risers” tend to be overvalued and most of the time drafted much higher than they should. Others have simply been overvalued throughout the entire pre-draft process. We’ll have to wait until Thursday night to find out where they will be drafted, but in the mean time here is a list of 10 2013 draft prospects that Eric Delleratta believes are overhyped. TOP 10 MOST OVERRATED PLAYERS IN THE 2013 DRAFT1. Margus Hunt/DE/SMU
Southern Methodist defensive end Margus Hunt is a player that is being buzzed about as a potential first-round pick. Hunt offers physical attributes that no other defensive ends in the 2013 Draft can. Standing 6-foot-8, and tipping the scales at 275 pounds, Hunt is an absolutely monstrous defensive end.
In addition to his elite measurables, Hunt is an explosive athlete that has good movement skills for a player of his stature. He’s quick off of the football and has a nice first step. He also has a pretty good motor, and plays most snaps to the whistle. The former Mustang ran a blistering 4.60 40-yard dash at the Scouting Combine in February. In addition to his performance on the track, Hunt put up 38 reps of 225 pounds in the bench press.
The one thing Hunt is not is a technically sound football player. The big defensive end needs to work on his hand usage, as well as refining his pass rushing moves. If the team that drafts him has time coaches him up well, Hunt could become a dominant player. The only issue with this proposition is that time will not be on their side. Hunt will be 26 years old when the season kicks off in September. This might not be an issue with some teams like the 49ers or Patriots.
Another good thing about Hunt is that he is a student of the game and is trying his best to improve. PewterReport.com had the chance to interview Hunt at the Senior Bowl and he was very knowledgeable of the techniques that the coaches were asking him to work on. He’s a smart and humble guy that has very good character.
Hunt’s size and athleticism will likely be too good for 32 teams to pass on the SMU defensive end in round one. Some team picking near the end of round one will fall in love with Hunt’s measurable and workout numbers, quite possibly the Buccaneers.2. Terrance Williams/WR/Baylor
Baylor receiver Terrance Williams was a hot topic throughout the 2012 college football season because of the excellent numbers he put up for the Bears. The senior receiver blew up the stat sheets, recording 97 catches, 1,832 receiving yards, and 12 touchdowns. While Williams had a tremendous senior year, how much of his production came from the offense scheme and game plan? That is a question scouts and general managers are thinking about as they head into the draft.
After his marvelous senior campaign, Williams went on to have a lackluster pre-draft process. At the Senior Bowl, Williams failed to make a great impression. At times, he looked sluggish and didn’t show great burst in and out of his cuts on intermediate routes. His route-running was rather disappointing, where he rounded off to many cuts rather than sharply running them. Another concern regarding Williams’ game is his ability to get open down the field. The former Baylor standout did an excellent job on deep passing patterns as a senior, but will he be able to do that against NFL defensive backs? That is left to be seen.
The Baylor receiver didn’t do much to help or hurt his stock throughout the draft process, but the success of former Baylor receivers Kendall Wright and Josh Gordon will make it easier to select Williams this year. Williams is regarded as a second-round prospect by the scouting community, but PewterReport.com believes that the Baylor product should carry a third-round draft grade. 3. Cordarrelle Patterson/WR/Tennessee
Widely regarded as the draft’s top receiver prospect, Tennessee wide receiver Cordarrelle Patterson oozes of potential because of his elite athleticism. After transferring to Tennessee from Junior-college, Patterson went on to rack up 46 receptions, 778 receiving yards, and five touchdowns with fellow draft prospect Tyler Bray throwing him the football.
While Patterson is a dominant playmaker with the ball in his hands, he needs to work hard to improve his technique as a receiver. The former Volunteer is not a polished route-runner. He rounds off his routes too often and doesn’t show much suddenness on stop and comeback routes. Patterson is somewhat of a “body-catcher”, as he allows the ball to get into his frame on inside breaking routes.
As an athlete, Patterson ranks near the top of the draft class, right up there with West Virginia’s Tavon Austin. However, Patterson isn’t close to being a finished product, and will need extensive coaching at the NFL level. All things considered, Patterson should be a high second-round pick instead of a top 20 player in the eyes of PewterReport.com. A team that wishes to draft Patterson in the first round must be very confident that they can quickly coach the receiver from Tennessee. 4. Vance McDonald/TE/Rice
Not many people knew about Rice tight end Vance McDonald heading into the Senior Bowl, mostly because he played for a struggling Rice program that doesn’t use their tight ends conventionally. But McDonald made himself a well-known tight end within the draft community following a very good week of practices in Mobile, Alabama.
McDonald is a good blocker that possesses impressive strength and solid technique. He fared well during most of the blocking drills at the Senior Bowl. The former Rice Owl also has very solid athleticism for a 6-foot-4, 267 pound tight end. The big issue with McDonald is the amount of drops during his senior season. He doesn’t have natural hands and will need quite a bit of work to become a consistent NFL receiving threat.
McDonald’s lack of polish as a receiver makes PewterReport.com wonder if he’s really worth a second round pick. At the end of the day, PewterReport.com thinks that he’s talented tight end with high upside. However, a second round draft selection is not warranted. McDonald makes more sense in the third or fourth round. 5. Kenjon Barner/RB/Oregon
Oregon running back Kenjon Barner is a speedy back with some size and excellent receiving skills. Barner put up monstrous numbers as a senior in 2012. The former Oregon Duck carried the ball 270 times for 1,767 rushing yards, and 21 touchdowns. Barner took full advantage of the extra playing time that he gained from the depature of 49ers running back Lamichael James as a senior.
The back out of Oregon is a patient runner that shows excellent decisiveness and explosion. Barner clocked a time of 4.52 seconds in the 40-yard dash at the Combine in February. This time is much slower than talent evaluators were expecting. But if you turn on the tape, Barner looks like one of the fastest players on the field and has very good game speed.
Barner does have one major area of concern that is being overlooked by members of the draft community, and that is the back’s ability to run between the tackles. The senior is wonderful on running plays that keep him to the outside, allowing him to find the hole and explode through it. But Barner doesn’t project well to fit in most power-running schemes due to tendency to go down on first contact. Rarely does the former Oregon Duck shed arm tackles or stiff-arm defenders. This issue could limit the amount of interest that power running teams have in Barner.
Some draft pundits and gurus around the scouting community have a third-round grade on the running back out of Oregon. But Barner’s woes as a physical runner could slim the market for potential buyers. Barner is best fit as a third-down back and a backup running back in a zone-blocking scheme. A player filling this role in an NFL offense doesn’t carry a ton of value, making the third round a little too pricy for PewterReport.com6. Ezekial Ansah/DE/BYU
Brigham Young pass-rusher Ezekial Ansah is an extremely athletic player with enormous upside. The 6-foot-5, 271 pound defensive end has wonderful moment skills and showed great signs of improvement during his senior season
Ansah played just his second year of competitive football as a senior in 2012. The defensive end is a native of Ghana and tried out for the BYU basketball team before joining the football squad. Ansah knew nothing about the game of football when he first slapped on the pads for the first time. The big defensive end totaled 62 tackles, 13 tackles for loss, and four and a half sacks during his first year as a starter for the Cougars.
Ansah performed rather poorly during practice sessions in Mobile, Alabama in preparation for the Senior Bowl. Too often did Ansah leave his hands low, which allowed for offensive tackles to get into his frame quickly and first. Ansah was magnificent in the Senior Bowl game, and was in consideration for Senior Bowl MVP.
Teams will love Ansah’s motor and raw athleticism, making him a surefire first round pick. However, Ansah has only played football for two years and is extremely inexperienced. He’s shown the ability to pick up the game quickly, but Ansah is anything but a “safe” pick. The athletic defensive end from Brigham Young is being talked about as a top five player in the 2013 draft class. In reality, Ansah should be drafted in the middle of round one, somewhere between picks 15 to 20. 7. Jordan Reed/TE/Florida
A third-round prospect that is currently being overvalued by those in the scouting community is Florida tight end Jordan Reed. The junior had a decent season in 2012, where he totaled 45 catches, 559 yards, and three touchdowns.
Reed is an undersized tight end with good receiving skills. He displays the ability to catch the football in high traffic situations and also makes great adjustments to the football on poor throws. He is fairly athletic and can be a value to a passing game at the NFL level.
Reed’s lack of size and strength hurts him as a blocker. He was consistently beaten in the running game during his junior campaign. The Gators move him around quite frequently on offense to put him in the best situation to succeed, but when he was asked to line up next to the offensive tackle he had lots of issues standing his ground as a blocker. Whatever team drafts Reed will need to find ways to use Reed creatively on offense, and will need to limit his snaps in the running game.
There will only be a small amount of teams that will be in the market for a player like Reed. A tight end with poor blocking skills and a lack of size usually doesn’t warrant a very high draft grade unless they have “plus” receiving traits. The former Gator is just an above average threat in the passing game, so it would make more sense for a team to pick Reed up in the fourth or fifth area. 8. Menelik Watson/OT/Florida State
Florida State’s Menelik Watson has been a “riser” throughout the pre-draft process, mostly because of his excellent combination of size and athleticism. Standing 6-foot-5, and weighing 310 pounds, Watson has the prototype size that NFL teams will be looking for in an offensive tackle.
Watson’s athleticism can easily be seen on tape. The former Seminole is a natural bender that shows good kick-slide quickness and agility. Watson also plays with some nastiness and likes to go hard on defenders in the running game. The former basketball player from Great Britain has huge upside, as has all the tools to become a great NFL offensive tackle. Watson played at the right tackle position for the Florida State Seminoles and did a good job of keeping quarterback E.J. Manuel clean throughout the season.
Playing with more balance is something that Watson will need to learn quickly if he wants to become a great NFL tackle. When Watson was beat, it was mostly because he was caught out of position on counter pass-rushing moves. In the running game, Watson finds his way to the ground quite often, mostly because he uses too much of his upper body instead of using leg drive and footwork.
When Watson plays the likes of Von Miller and Clay Matthews, the FSU product will quickly learn that he must play more fundamentally. Watson has been flying up the draft boards in recent weeks, and now there are talks of the Seminoles tackle sneaking into the top 25 picks. Once he learns the intricacies of the position, he should be a good tackle. But at this time, Watson should just warrant a second-round draft grade. 9. Jawan Jamison/RB/Rutgers
A player that hasn’t garnered a lot of attention recently is Rutgers running back Jawan Jamison. During the season, there was lots of buzz regarding Jamison’s production and NFL potential. In 2012, the Scarlet Knight ball-carrier rushed for 1,075 yards on 255 carries and also recorded four trips to the pay dirt.
Jamison has been compared to another Rutgers back Ray Rice by some draft gurus and analysts, but Jamison doesn’t have the same explosion and straight-line speed as the Baltimore Ravens running back. The running back also lacks valuable college experience, as he enters the draft as just a third-year sophomore.
Jamison is widely considered to be a third or fourth-round draft selection, but a deep draft class at running back will make it tough on his draft stock. There are other running backs that will likely be drafted in that range who PewterReport.com finds more valuable, including Florida’s Mike Gillislee, Stanford’s Stepfan Taylor, Arkansas’ Dennis Johnson. Jamison should go about a round or two later in the fifth and sixth round, as opposed to where many have him being selected. 10. Akeem Spence/DT/Illinois
Lots of draft pundits criticized Illinois defensive tackle Akeem Spence’s decision to enter the NFL draft as a junior. Most, including PewterReport.com, thought that Spence could have benefited greatly by spending one more year in college and improving his game.
The former Illinois big man struggled mightily as a pass rusher over the course of his collegiate career. As a junior in 2012, Spence managed to record just one sack, and as a sophomore he only recorded one and half sacks. Spence didn’t use his hands well, which usually got him locked up near the line of scrimmage. He struggled to push the pocket, largely due to his lack of strength.
Spence will need lots of work on his technique and strength if he ever wants to be successful at the next level. The team that drafts him will have to be very patient, as the former Illinois defensive tackle will needs a significant amount of to develop. Some draft pundits are projecting Spence to be a third-round selection in a few days, but PewterReport.com believes that Spence looks more like a day three development prospect than a potential third-round pick.
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