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April 2, 2014 @ 5:13 pm
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Trading Down May Make Sense For Tampa Bay In 2014

Written by Eric
Dellaratta
Eric Dellaratta

Eric
Dellaratta

Beat Writer E-mail: This e-mail address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it
What players could the Buccaneers target if they trade down? What teams are in a good position to trade up? PewterReport.com draft analyst Eric Dellaratta breaks it all down in this article.
With the 2014 NFL Draft rapidly approaching, talk is heating up about certain teams that want to move up or down in the first round, some mentioning quarterbacks like Blake Bortles or Teddy Bridgewater as potential targets, and others talking up pass rushers like Khalil Mack and Jadaveon Clowney. Teams like the St. Louis Rams, Cleveland Browns, and Atlanta Falcons are garnering most of the attention when it comes to trade talk, but don’t be surprised if you see the Tampa Bay Buccaneers move down from the seventh overall selection in the first round. 

As a result of the Darrelle Revis trade, Tampa Bay doesn’t hold a fourth-round pick this year, and their sixth-round pick was also surrendered to the Bears for offensive lineman Gabe Carimi. The Buccaneers are down to just five picks in the 2014 draft, a class which features an incredible amount of depth all the way into the later rounds. Tampa Bay could be missing out on one of the deepest draft classes in recent years.

Buccaneers general manager Jason Licht made his wish for more draft picks known to the public at the NFL owners meetings earlier in March.

“The staff has done a great job getting everything prepared and we still have another month to watch tape and finalize everything,” said Licht.  “We just wish we had more picks."

Recent history shows that the Buccaneers are in a good spot to move down. The last three drafts have featured a draft day trade involving the sixth or eighth overall selections, and the teams moving down in those trades were handsomely compensated. Here are some trades that involved a selection between six and eight.

ATLANTA/CLEVELAND TRADE - 2011
Falcons received:  First round (No. 6)
Browns received: First round (No. 27), 2012 First round selection, Second round (No. 59), Fourth round (No. 124), 2012 Fourth round pick

The Atlanta Falcons made a huge splash in 2011 when they traded up for superstar receiver Julio Jones, but that came at a hefty price for general manager Thomas Dimitroff. Unfortunately, Cleveland ended up using those selections on nose tackle Phil Taylor, quarterback Brandon Weeden, wide receiver Greg Little, and fullback Owen Marecic.

DALLAS/ST. LOUIS TRADE - 2012
Cowboys received: First round (No. 6)
Rams received: First round (No. 14), Second round (No. 45)

In 2012, owner Jerry Jones and the Cowboys front office traded up eight spots to acquire former LSU cornerback Morris Claiborne. St. Louis ended up landing defensive tackle Michael Brockers and running back Isaiah Pead with the picks they received in the deal.

ST. LOUIS/BUFFALO TRADE - 2013
Rams received: First round (No. 8), Third round (No. 71)
Bills received: First round (No. 16), Second round (No. 46), Third round (No. 78), Seventh round (No. 222)

Last year, the Buffalo Bills opted to trade down eight spots, leading to their choice of former Florida State quarterback E.J. Manuel. They also scooped up linebacker Kiko Alonso, who had a phenomenal rookie season for the Bills. Wide receiver Marquise Goodwin and tight end Chris Gragg also joined Buffalo as a result of the trade.

A plethora of teams could be looking to move up in the 2014 draft in order to acquire a top talent, potentially targeting players like North Carolina tight end Eric Ebron, Texas A&M receiver Mike Evans, and Texas A&M offensive lineman Jake Matthews. Here are some teams that could potentially trade up in the 2014 NFL Draft.

SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS
This would be a huge move down for the Buccaneers, as the 49ers currently hold the 30th selection in the first round, but the move could make sense for the 49ers, a team that has an astounding amount of selections in the 2014 draft. San Francisco general manager managed to accumulate 11 picks for the draft in May. They currently hold the 56th and 61st picks in the second round in addition to three third-round selections (77, 94, 100).

The 49ers roster is stacked with talent already, and it’s going to be very hard for some of their late-round picks to make their roster. It would make a lot of sense for San Francisco to trade up and use some of their extra picks to acquire a top talent near the top of the draft. Perhaps a big receiver like Texas A&M’s Mike Evans or a top cornerback like Michigan State’s Darqueze Dennard would prompt them to move up into the top 10.

NEW YORK JETS
The tight end position is one of massive need for the New York Jets. The team re-signed Jeff Cumberland earlier in the offseason, but he’s nothing more than a backup on most other teams. North Carolina tight end Eric Ebron likely won’t be available when the Jets select at 18. Trading with the Buccaneers would mean New York could leapfrog tight end needy teams like the Bills, Lions, and Giants. Offensive line is another area of concern for the Jets, meaning they could also target a versatile tackle like Texas A&M’s Jake Matthews.

CLEVELAND BROWNS
Quarterback is a massive need for general manager Ray Farmer and the Cleveland Browns. They could choose to take a signal caller with their fourth overall selection, but the Browns could also opt for a playmaking wide receiver like Sammy Watkins to add to their offense.

Following their massive in-season trade involving running back Trent Richardson, Cleveland picked up the Indianapolis Colts first round selection (26th overall). An option for the Browns could be using their extra first round pick to trade up and select a falling quarterback like Louisville’s Teddy Bridgewater or Fresno State’s Derek Carr. Holding 10 draft selections, the Browns have a lot of flexibility heading into the draft in May.

The 2014 NFL Draft features one of the deepest talent pools in recent memory. The talent near the end of the first round is not far off from the talent in the middle of round one, making 2014 an excellent year for Tampa Bay to move down. Here are some players that the Buccaneers could target if they do end up moving down into the middle of the first round:

PITTSBURGH DT AARON DONALD
The Buccaneers could easily stick and pick Donald with their seventh overall selection, but the team might believe that moving down and hoping he falls to them could be a better option. Donald has top 10 talent but his size (6-1, 285) will hurt his draft stock, likely making him a mid-first-round pick. Donald put on a show at the Senior Bowl, dominating every offensive lineman he faced in one-on-one drills. His tape backs up his excellent Senior Bowl performance and he has the game to become a great defensive tackle in the mold of Cincinnati’s Geno Atkins.

FLORIDA STATE DT TIMMY JERNIGAN
Donald isn’t the only talented defensive tackle projected to go in the middle of the first round. Jernigan is an excellent prospect that could intrigue the Buccaneers if they moves down in the first round. Jernigan uses his hands well to keep offensive lineman away from his frame and his strength allows him to push the pocket as a pass rusher and penetrate against the run. He’s a young player that is still developing his game, but his excellent potential will likely warrant a mid first-round selection. Jernigan would have no problem fitting into the Buccaneers defense as a one-technique nose tackle, making him a potential target if Tampa Bay chooses to trade down. 

FRESNO STATE QB DEREK CARR
If Tampa Bay can find a trade partner in the middle of the first round, a target they could consider is Fresno State’s Derek Carr. Moving down into the teens to select Carr would allow them to add a top quarterback while adding extra picks, similar to what the Buffalo Bills did last season with E.J. Manuel. Showcasing a great arm, accuracy, touch, and intangibles, Carr has all of the tools to become a great NFL quarterback. He will need to work on his pocket presence and footwork, but those flaws are likely not enough to keep him out of the first round. Carr was the best quarterback in Mobile, Ala. at the Senior Bowl, outshining all of the other senior quarterbacks in attendance. The Fresno State product also has connections with new Buccaneers offensive coordinator Jeff Tedford and would be a nice fit in the new Tampa Bay offense. 

Last modified on Wednesday, 02 April 2014 17:27
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COMMENTS

  • avatar


    Remember that Jason Licht has been around New England and Philadelphia - Two organisations that love to trade back to secure more picks. If they can drop back with SF get a boatload of picks and use a few to trade back up into the middle of the 1st with a team like the Chicago Bears (who would need a desperate plan B if Aaron Donald is gone).
  • avatar

    Bucs should have buyers lined up for #7 based on the fact that 2 of the big 3 QB's and at least 1 of the best 3 OT's may be there. But do they take it? Depends on who they covet most I suppose. I just hope they don't use it on a QB. QB selections in the top ten scream "rebuilding year". The Bucs need an impact player in round 1.
  • avatar


    this is george hicks again. It seems a few days ago that I gave a few comments on about trading down. But if that three of the QB's are available at no#7 Bridgewater,Manziel and Derek Carr! Just a note what if Tampa is really looking at the qb from alabama or qb from Georgis in the later rounds. I think Tampa could trade down for at least two if not 3 draft choices.Example look at SF they have a lot of picks available. I know that the salary cap will efect several teams but if Tampa could get 4 picks a 1,a2 and two other mid or late rounds picks plus tampa picks they could pick and choose the player that Tampa would like. plus if they have mult picks then Tampa could jump back in rd-1 go bucs GLH
  • avatar

    You do NOT trade out of the 1st round selection. Foolish move unless you get a crazy deal you cannot refuse. Very unlikely to happen given how valuable teams now view draft picks in general. Look no further than some of the better players in recent years....look at what teams have received in return for trades. The most ideal time to trade back would be 2nd-4th rounds. Plenty of depth in this draft for teams who have done their homework. Rosters will be turned around in those rounds for the teams that pick wisely. I think they have to stay put and draft a player.
  • avatar


    If the Bucs have Derek Carr in the 7th and trust they can move down and still get him would be foolishness because Minnesota picking eighth will definitely take Carr!!!!
  • avatar


    I BELIEVE THAT TAMPA IS IN A GREAT POSITION TO SELECT SEVERAL PLAYERS WITHIN THE FIRST THREE ROUNDS. AT ONE OF THESE MOCK DRAFT THEY HAVE BORTLES @1,GREG ROBINSON@2,JAS CLOPWNEY@3,OT JAKE MATTHEWS @4,WRSAMMY WATKINS@5,KHALIL MQACK @6 AND TAMPA AT NO#7 DRAFTING OT TAYLOR LEWAN. THEY HAVE DT AARON DONALD GOING TO CHICAGO @14 and DT TIMMY JERNIGAN GOING TO DALLAS @16THEY DON'T EVEN HAVE HAVE QB DEREK CARR GOING INTO RD-2 @39 GOING TO JACKSONVILLE. THIS IS WHAT I WOULD DO. TRADE DOWN WITH EXAMPLE DETROIT @10 OR EVEN NY GIANTS @12 OR EVEN @13 TRADE WITH STLOUIS. GET ANY OF THESE TEAMS GET BTHERE RD-1 PICK 1ITH A 2ND OR 3RD RD. ANOTHER TEAM IS SF @#30,IN RD-2 THEY HAVE#56 &61.IN RD-3 THEY HAVE #94, IN RD-7 THEY SEVERAL PICKS. SO TAMPA HAS ALOT OF CHANCES TO IMPROVE.SO IAM HOPING TAMPA WOULD TRADE DOWN FOR MULT PICKS TO. I ALSO WOULD SELECT DT AARON DONALD AT NO#7, PLUS I BELIEVE TAMPA COULD TRADE DOWN IN RD-2 FOR MULT PICKUP PICK.. I HOPE TAMPA PULLS SOMETYPE OF TRADE IN MAY. I BELIEVE WITH THIS DEEP AT CERTAIN POSITION TAMP COULD GET THREE TOP DRAFT CHOICES. GLHICKS GO BUCS
  • avatar


    All I say is....choose wisely my son! I would like to see some draft picks stick on the roster for once.
  • avatar


    I've given up on seeing the Bucs trade down in this draft. We saw in FA that teams are too stingy with their draft picks this year. We couldn't get a 2014 draft pick for Penn, Zuttah or Revis. If we had a top 5 pick that would be different since Clowney, Watkins, Robinson, Bortles and Mack would be available and teams are willing to trade up for those guys. Everyone else is not a sure thing so I've come to peace with the fact that we're stuck with our #7 pick. I say take A. Donald with that pick.
  • avatar


    pinkstob; right with you.
  • avatar


    One other point I left out. My opinion and I sincerely believe this. If you you turn a 4-12 team into a playoff team, it's in the QB ranks - the single position that can decide our fate!
  • avatar

    Looking at this draft and the points charts, if we move back this would be a scenario I would be very happy with. We trade with Cleveland. To Cleveland - Rd 1 - 7th pick, 7th Rd - 6th pick. To Tampa - Rd 1 - 26th pick(fr. Indy), Rd 2 - 3rd pick, Rd 3 - 19th pick(fr. Pit), Rd 4 - 6th pick. The trade points work out to be almost the same and we move back in the 1st round and pick up an extra 2nd/3rd rounder and get back our 4th. Cleveland gets 2 impact players at the top of the draft and really loses their 2nd pick and still have picks in the 3rd/4th.
  • avatar


    I know what Licht said and he said that with all the moves made in FA, the Bucs would like to go BPA. In theory, I think that should be the objective, but in practice there are players that can help more than others and my opinion, there are some players in the top ten that you simply cannot pass up! To be honest, there is almost a consensus of 32 players on the big board and I've not seen one that would not help a 4-12 team. It's almost impossible to screw this draft up whether they pick at #7 or trade down for extra picks. Whatever they do, I would like to focus on fixing something, the offense or defense completely. I know Lovie wants to win now, but I don't know if you can completely turn a true 4-12 team into a playoff team in one year. I know I'm not asking for or expecting that - fine if it happens. I don't think KC was a 2-14 team last year. They were already a 10-6 team that simply needed a coach as they did not wholesale remake the team as we are doing this year. Bottom line, whatever Lovie and Licht decide to do, this year they have my support.The mere fact that we have pro coaches is a major step forward!
  • avatar

    I wouldn't mind trading down, just not too much - not past 20. Thing is this draft is deep but what we need help might not be there. Unlike popular believe we don't need anymore help at Dline, or DBs. We may need help at LB for rotations but lovie doesn't seem to put much emphasis on that SAM position for us to draft a starter. What we really need help on is on the Oline, specifically at G, we are set at Ts for now. But we need a stater for G and a rotation guy at least. QB and WR ill say are the glaring needs for this team for now. We can trade down and get Mike Evans, Brandin Cooks and I will be happy with it. But those first three pics have to go WR/OL/QB with a QB in 2/3 round.
  • avatar


    Can't believe Chip Kelly let go of one of the best receivers in the league. This lends me to believe there's alot of talented receivers in this draft, and the success of one player can be predicated on the system. As much as I like Watkins if someone wants to give up what Atl did to get J Jones, we'd have to consider it. The Bucs lack of interest in FA receivers tells me Tedford who is only one year removed from college ball has some targets lined up to draft. We did good enough in free agency where we have flexibility. I say move down.
  • avatar


    I am all for the Bucs moving down. The draft is deep enough that unless one of their favorites is available at 7, they can probably get just as good a player later in the first round. But, we should also consider trading up. Lovie mentioned they are open to trading up in one of your recent articles. It would be worthwhile to trade up because while this draft is deep there is still some once-in-a-decade talent at the top. Clowney and Watkins qualify as this type of player at positons of need for the Bucs. If either are there at 4, I could see us trading up to take them.
  • avatar


    If you have 7 picks and hit on 4, or if you have 5 picks and hit on 4 - what is the difference? Zero. Evaluate well and take quality. We can get an elite player at 7 - stay put.
  • avatar


    I normally take the quality over quantity approach. But with the supposed depth of this year's Draft, it may be possible to get both. With our lack of selections and limited talent on our roster, it makes some sense to acquire more opportunities. But passing up on one super star for added choices that become a cesspool full of turds can be a drastic mistake. If the targeted player is there for our taking at # 7 you take him. If he's not, you attempt to move down; but only within the same rating grouping. Remember, the talent starts to even out in the second and third rounds where we also hold high choices others may covet.
  • avatar

    I think the only way we should move down is if there is someone that we absolutely want above all others that we feel we can get safely later in the first round... But if someone like Kalil Mack is there at 7 and he is as good as advertised then there is no way we should pass him up... Right now our defense is on the verge of being great and although the theory may be that one person cannot change everything if you actually think about it we could go From having David being as solid as it gets... Foster who is improving every year... And the weakness being at SLB... With Mack we would all of a sudden have 2 possible pro bowl LBs on the outside which would undoubtedly make Foster better... And with One guy all of a sudden we would have the possibility of our only weak spot being a developing Sophmore in Banks... And we could possibly line up as one of the best defenses in the league... It's funny because all of the players that we say other teams would want to trade with us for we could really use ourself... I know this draft is deep and it would be great to have more picks... But I would take Quality over Quanity any day... I know we have our share of needs but I would rather even trade up and try to land 3 players that could possibly start on day 1 than 7 players that we may only get 2-3 starters at a lower Quality... Here's to hoping this new regime knows what they're doin and we could be a Mack, Shaw and a Speedy WR away from bein a true contender... Only time will tell...
  • avatar


    When we worked out Mack, it was the defensive line coach doing the hands-on evaluation. Mack would most likely be converted to DE. I would definitely take him at 7.
  • avatar

    I so hope and Pray the Bucs draft either Donald or Jernigan...they do that, and Lock-up GMC, and we'll have a 5 to 10 yr run with a DOMINATING defensive line/rotation again...the money and commitment has been made to McCown, not drafting a QB in round 1 does not dictate quality of the QB, and I have NO problem with drafting and sitting ( did pretty well for a guy named Rodgers, Cutler, Brady, etc. ) I'd much rather Lovie be his old self and take a prime D-lineman in the first/second round...remember when it was 5,6,7 yrs+ straight that EVERY game the Bucs were getting atleast a sack/sack'S??
  • avatar


    For the same reasons as to why we should trade down are the same reasons why other teams will stand pat. San Francisco or Seattle might be teams that would be willing to trade, but not more than a 3rd round pick; I don't see us doing that kind of deal. We'll pick at spot 7 per priority of need; either a DL, WR, OL.
  • avatar

    I'm in agreement with DaddyJax in that if Watkins is there at #7 we have to select him. With something stupid coming out almost every day with Mike Williams Sammy would be a no-brainer. Though I tend to agree with Bucmeister the more I think about what he comes up with. If the 40Whiners would be willing to give up the 30th,2-2nds and a third we sure would be looking pretty nice seeing as how deep this draft is. If we could land that trade we could even trade back up if someone fell in the 1st rd we liked. With the 30th and 3-2nd's we could get the speed WR,TE,G and LB starters we need and then with 2 3rds we could get quality depth. Liking that trade scenario the more I look at it but it sure would be hard to pass on Watkins if he is there at 7.
  • avatar

    MAY make sense? In my mind, this team still has enough holes to fill that trading down for more picks is a necessity. If not in the first round, then in the second round. Keep wheeling and dealing until they've managed to get 7 or 8 picks.
  • avatar


    If I trade down it is only to 10-12. And it would take their 2nd pick also. Trading down with the 49ers and getting very late picks in whatever rounds doesn't interest me. My first pick would be a DT . Arnold would be super paired with McCoy. GO LOVIE! GO BUCS!
  • avatar

    I am all for trading down and picking up more picks unless Watkins is available. He is the ONLY player I think is worth #7.
  • avatar

    Good article. Trading down is THE BEST option for the Bucs. There is no one player that can turn the Bucs into contenders. The Bucs currently have 5 picks in what is considered the deepest draft in 20 years. I like the idea of trading down, especially with SF if possible. The Bucs #7 for SF's #30, 2 2nd rounders and a third. That is a win win for each team. SF moves up for the one player they think can get them over the hump; and it improves the Bucs from having 3 picks the first 2 days to having 6, with the total picks jumping from 5 to 8. Additionally, they can trade down once each with one 2nd rounder and one third rounder to get even more picks. Ideally the Bucs could end up with 10 or more picks. Even after free agency the Bucs need help at more than 5 positions (I count 12: QB, G/T, G/C, TE, 2 WRs, FB ,PR/KR ,MLB, DT, CB, DE). The help can be starters at G or other areas, depth or developmental prospects. There are quality players throughout the draft at each of these positions, many of them better than some of the FA's we just signed. The only problem is Coach Smith as stated in earlier articles doesn't particularly like rookies.
  • avatar


    I don't know about trading down as we are a 4-12 team. If we could get a third and only move three or four spots I would go for it if we could get a player of need. A WR, DT or a TE would be nice but the higher we go the lower the quality.
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