Natural Selection

Post count: 89

Pick 32 has a value of 590 on the standard draft value scale. Dropping to pick 49 (410 points) with corresponding 3rd round pick #81 (185 points) is the closest to exact value.

So moving down 17 spots would gain an additional 3rd (pick 81) in an “equivalent value” trade down. Obviously teams could be incentivized to go over “book value”, which is somewhat common. Teams also do sometimes accept less than book to trade down, but usually not much less.

I really like the value of lots of the prospects I’m thinking will fall in the pick 75-125 range. So personally I’d take under book to add as many additional picks in that range as possible.