http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2015-nfl-predictions/Shows the predictions for the season (total wins, chance of playoffs, etc), shows the odds of winning this week. Lots of numbers in there. The Bucs were favored to win last week and failed, putting a big dent in our 'Elo Ratings' sending us in to last place. The bucs are currently the least likely to win in week 2 at 24%.
Funny thing is you can go and look at the old predictions. If you go back to the ‘preseason’ stats. It shows the Bucs as having a win expectancy of 5.9 games. That dropped to 4.6 after the Tenn loss. Not only did they think we had the Tennessee game in the bag, the loss makes us less likely to win our future games, which isn’t surprising when you think about it. No other team had a larger negative change from week 1 to week 2 than we did. That’s how rough that game was.
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