SR’s Fab 5 is a collection of reporting and analysis on the Bucs from yours truly, Pewter Report’s Scott Reynolds. Here are four things that caught my attention this week, plus some random tidbits in my Buc Shots section at the end. Enjoy!

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FAB 1. Linebacker Now Becomes A Big Need For Bucs

Bucs head coach Todd Bowles got a glimpse of what a linebacker tandem of K.J. Britt and J.J. Russell would look like in the second half of Tampa Bay’s 30-17 loss at Atlanta in Week 18. Bowles yanked his starters out of the lineup at halftime with the Bucs up 17-10 to rest them for the playoffs. Britt and Russell were at the forefront a total collapse by the defense, which surrendered 20 second-half points.

The two young linebackers combined for eight tackles (six by Britt) and four missed tackles (three by Russell) in the game. In coverage, Britt allowed four targets to be caught for 50 yards, while Russell allowed three catches on three targets for 39 yards on throws from rookie quarterback Desmond Ridder.

Bucs LB J.J. Russell and Falcons RB Cordarrelle Patterson – Photo by: USA Today

That’s what one injury to 33-year old Lavonte David and one contract holdout by Devin White would give Bowles this year – another outing of Britt and Russell, who are much better playing on special teams than on defense. Tampa Bay simply can’t win that way.

That’s why the Bucs must spend a premium pick on a starting-caliber linebacker this year to safeguard the position. Especially in the wake of White’s trade request over his unhappiness about having to play his fifth-year option rather than get the lucrative contract extension he’s seeking right now.

Tampa Bay, which has the No. 19 overall pick, has pressing needs at offensive tackle as well as outside linebacker, safety and finding a nickel defensive back. But linebacker is right up there – this year more than ever.

“Going back a few years, we’ve come very close to taking inside linebackers high just because we know the depth of that position and how important it is,” Bucs general manager Jason Licht said on Thursday. “Not to necessarily replace Devin and Lavonte in the last few years at all – but in the last few years, depth has proven to be one of the things that has been related to our success winning the Super Bowl. We’re never not looking at the middle linebackers or the inside linebackers.”

Licht has already said that he has no intention of trading White this year, and the team expects him to play in 2023 and have a great year to get the contract money he wants. But Licht can’t control whether White suits up and plays or if he decides to hold out instead.

And if the relationship sours during 2023 and White wants out of Tampa Bay after this season – or if the Bucs don’t want to pay him a king’s ransom and decide to move on – the team will need a starter to replace him next year. If David isn’t back for another season at age 34 in 2024, then the Bucs will need to find two starting-caliber linebackers. So, they might as well grab at least one this year.

Bucs ILBs Lavonte David and Devin White – Photo by: USA Today

The only problem is that this year’s class of inside linebackers is not ripe with talent or depth. In fact, there may not be one selected in the first round.

“There are always some good players at every position in every draft – I wouldn’t say that [position] is a strength of this draft,” Licht said. “But, yes, we’re always looking and if it’s at the right time, at the right place, the right fit – we wouldn’t be afraid to take one.”

Head coach and defensive play-caller Todd Bowles asks a lot from his linebackers. In addition to being stack-and-shed defenders in the run game, Bowles asks his linebackers to drop in coverage and factor in heavily to his multiple blitz schemes. Bowles needs linebackers who are fast, smart, tough and instinctive in defending both the run and the pass. Finding the rare player that possesses all of those traits is quite difficult.

Here are a couple of names to know as the 2023 NFL Draft approaches.

Iowa LB Jack Campbell

Iowa LB Jack Campbell – Photo by: USA Today

Campbell may have met with the Bucs formally at the NFL Scouting Combine, but declined to tell reporters which teams he interviewed with. At 6-foot-5, 249 pounds, Campbell has great size and enough speed (4.65) to play both the run (265 tackles over the last two years) and pass equally well. He earned a 91.9 overall grade from Pro Football Focus last year and had five interceptions and 10 passes defensed over the last three seasons at Iowa.

Campbell has a better feel for coverage than Devin White does, and he’s a more sure tackler. While he’s very athletic and tested well at the Combine, Campbell just can’t cover ground like White or Lavonte David can. Campbell could be the first linebacker off the board on Day 2. If not him, then it will be Washington’s Daiyan Henley or Clemson’s Trent Simpson – neither of whom the Bucs haven’t shown much interest in.

Arkansas LB Drew Sanders

Arkansas LB Drew Sanders – Photo by: USA Today

Sanders was an edge rusher at Alabama before transferring to Arkansas last year and moving to off-ball linebacker. The 6-foot-4, 235-pound Sanders racked up 103 tackles (13.5 tackles for loss) and also proved to be an effective blitzer with 9.5 sacks, which undoubtedly has Bowles’ attention. Sanders had a formal interview with the Bucs at the Combine, and also showed he could cover with five pass breakups and an interception to go along with three forced fumbles and a recovery.

Sanders has very good 4.59 speed, but overruns a lot of tackles. In fact, he missed 22 tackles in his first year at linebacker, which is a quite alarming 19.8% missed tackle rate. He has the skill set to be an NFL linebacker, but there will be some growing pains along the way. He projects to be a Day 2 pick.

Auburn ILB Owen Pappoe

Auburn LB Owen Pappoe – Photo by: USA Today

Two things stand out about Pappoe as a linebacker draft prospect. First, he was the fastest linebacker at the Combine, blazing a 4.39 in the 40-yard dash. Second, he played at Auburn, which is a school the Bucs have drafted a slew of Tigers defenders (see K.J. Britt, Carlton Davis III and Jamel Dean) from lately. There is a lot to like athletically about Pappoe’s game. He’s a great chase linebacker and can lower the boom and deliver some big hits despite being just 6-foot and weighing 225 pounds.

But he has questionable instincts at times and is slow to pull the trigger on run fits. Yet, he can blitz (eight career sacks) and drop in coverage (seven pass breakups, two interceptions). In fact, Pappoe, who had an informal interview with the Bucs, was just one of three SEC defenders to intercept Alabama’s Bryce Young last year. He’s likely a third- or fourth-round pick.

Indiana ILB Cam Jones

Indiana LB Cam Jones – Photo by: USA Today

Jones played five years for the Hooisers and racked up 204 tackles, 13.5 tackles for loss, nine pass breakups, seven sacks, three forced fumbles and two interceptions along the way. He ran a 4.69 at the Combine, but improved that time with a more acceptable 4.6 flat at his pro day. Jones is a very intelligent linebacker with great communication ability that plays with sound technique against the run and the pass. The 6-foot-1, 226-pounder had his senior season shortened to just five games due to a foot injury.

There is a lot to like about Jones, who is steady, but unspectacular. He’ll get drafted on Day 3 and might end up being a surprise starter sooner rather than later. Jones was one of two linebackers to have a formal interview with the Bucs at the Combine. He could go as high as the fourth round and the Bucs might have to trade up to get him if they want him, as the team does not currently have a fourth-rounder.

Pittsburgh ILB SirVocea Dennis

Pittsburgh LB SirVocea Dennis – Photo by: USA Today

At 6-foot, 226, Dennis isn’t a big linebacker, but he sure plays like it. The Panthers star racked up 232 tackles in three years and lived in the backfield, evidenced by 36 tackles for loss and 15 sacks. Dennis is a very effective blitzer and can also drop in coverage. He broke up three passes and picked off two, but will need more work on his pass drops at the next level. He’s not the fastest linebacker with a 4.63 time in the 40.

Dennis, who is a very cerebral player, met informally with the Bucs at the NFL Scouting Combine and the Senior Bowl, and is a very sure tackler. He’s played both the Mike and Money linebacker spots, so he could essentially be a replacement for either Devin White or Lavonte David in time. Dennis would be a good Day 3 pickup by the Bucs, and figures to go somewhere in the fourth or fifth round.

Duke ILB Shaka Heyward

Duke LB Shaka Heyward – Photo by: USA Today

Heyward was a four-year starter at Duke and has a nice blend of intelligence, football savvy and physicality to interest the Bucs. He totaled 337 tackles, 31.5 tackles for loss, 11.5 sacks, seven passes defended, five fumble recoveries and four interceptions. Heyward has shown the ability to blitz and cover, although he’s better at the former rather than the latter. While Heyward blazed a 4.53 in the 40-yard dash, he’s not very agile and has stiff hips, which hold him back in coverage and when he tries to change direction.

Heyward met with the Bucs informally at the NFL Scouting Combine, and his size (6-4, 235) and speed fit the Bucs’ athletic profile at inside linebacker. He was a team captain for the Blue Devils and has some decent intangibles. Heyward is a late Day 3 pick, but if the Bucs just simply miss out on some of the other options he wouldn’t be the worst pick in the sixth round.

FAB 2. The Positions Licht Has Drafted Well In Tampa Bay

From his first ever draft pick – wide receiver Mike Evans in 2014 – Bucs general manager Jason Licht has done a very good job of building a Super Bowl championship roster through the draft, free agency and via trades. Two years removed from a franchise-best 13-4 record, Licht and his scouting staff with help from Todd Bowles and the coaches are trying to do it again.

With a pivotal 2023 draft approaching, let’s take a look at the three positions Licht has drafted exceptionally well over the last decade with the Bucs.

Offensive Line

Bucs RT Tristan Wirfs – Photo by: Getty Images

Without a doubt, Licht has absolutely smashed it when it’s come to finding good, great and elite offensive linemen. It’s his knack – his gift – perhaps from his days as a college guard at Nebraska. Tampa Bay has drafted eight linemen in Licht’s tenure, and everyone he’s drafted in the first three rounds has been a hit. While the jury is still out on Luke Goedeke, last year’s second-round pick, Licht and the coaching staff are still very high on him as a developmental player.

Licht has an All-Pro tackle in Tristan Wirfs, the Bucs’ first-rounder in 2020. He also drafted a Pro Bowl guard in Ali Marpet and a left tackle in Donovan Smith – both second-rounders in 2015. Smith was released this offseason after a bad year, but was on his second contract in Tampa Bay.

Alex Cappa was a small-school find in the third-round in 2018 who wound up being a starter at right guard for three seasons. He cashed in on a big contract with Cincinnati last offseason. All four helped the Bucs win Super Bowl LV.

With the Bucs expecting to draft an offensive tackle early this year to replace Smith – perhaps in the first round – I asked Licht about his successful track record in finding quality linemen.

“There’s no secret to it,” Licht said. “First of all, I’m going to say that I have a great staff and they do a phenomenal job. That’s just facts. But I was talking about it today, that very same thing, with [vice president of player personnel John] Spytek and [director of player personnel Mike] Biehl and [director of player personnel] Rob [McCartney] and the scouts, and it seems like the offensive linemen that you mentioned, like Tristan and Ali and [Ryan] Jensen – that’s free agency – the guys we just had fun watching while we’re evaluating.

“Have fun watching them – those are the guys that we’ve hit on. It’s not that you don’t have fun watching some others, but sometimes they can kind of put you to sleep. Okay, he’s doing his job. But the one that is getting that little extra in at the end – legal – but just that little extra in at the end. Or having a lot of fun playing, because you can tell, those are the ones that you usually hit on.”

Safety

Bucs S Antoine Winfield, Jr. – Photo by: Getty Images

Licht has prioritized safety over the years as the NFL has become more of a passing league. He spent a second-rounder on Justin Evans in 2017. Evans was a promising talent until a foot injury derailed his career and shortened his time in Tampa Bay. The next year, he selected Jordan Whitehead in the fourth round, followed up by Mike Edwards in the third round in 2019.

The next year, Licht went right back to the second round to draft Antoine Winfield Jr. in 2020. Winfield was an instant-impact starter and made the Pro Bowl the next year in 2021. Bowles has called Winfield one of the top three players on defense.

Winfield and Whitehead were the starters during Tampa Bay’s Super Bowl run in 2020, with Edwards as a super sub and fill-in starter. It’s incredible to think that Licht has drafted only four safeties, but all four wound up as starters with Bucs. Licht has a tremendous hit rate at safety, which is a position that the Bucs will be drafting again this year. Going 5-of-5 at this position would be incredible – and necessary.

Wide Receiver

Bucs WR Mike Evans – Photo by: USA Today

As previously mentioned, Licht’s first pick as general manager back in 2014 was Evans, a four-time Pro Bowler and a future Hall of Famer. Licht has drafted nine receivers, but seven of those picks were Day 3 guys. The two Licht has drafted in the first two days he’s made count in Evans and Chris Godwin, a third-rounder in 2017.

Evans is in the final year of his second contract and has produced nine straight 1,000-yard seasons to start his career, which is an NFL record. Either Evans or Wirfs will go down as Licht’s best ever draft pick – so far.

Godwin made the Pro Bowl in 2019 and has put together three 1,000-yard seasons in six years in Tampa Bay, earning a $20 million per year contract extension along the way. In Bruce Arians’ prolific, pass-happy offense, Evans and Godwin teamed up to help the Bucs win Super Bowl LV in 2020. Scotty Miller, a sixth-rounder from 2019, and Tyler Johnson, a fifth-rounder in 2020, also made some big catches that year, especially in the postseason.

FAB 3. The Positions Jason Licht Has Struggled With In The Bucs’ Drafts

It’s fair to say that Jason Licht’s worst-ever pick was selecting kicker Roberto Aguayo in the second round in 2016 (and trading up to do so). But it wouldn’t be right to suggest that Licht can’t scout specialists.

Kicker Matt Gay, his fifth-round pick in 2019, struggled in Tampa Bay as a rookie, but wound up winning a Super Bowl with the Rams in 2021. Then, he wound up being a Pro Bowler and the highest-paid kicker in the league. Licht also drafted punter Jake Camarda in the fourth round last year, and he actually has some Pro Bowl traits.

So, let’s cut Licht some slack on specialists and discuss the three positions he’s struggled to find talent at in the Bucs’ drafts.

Outside Linebacker

Former Bucs DE Noah Spence – Photo courtesy of EKU

The list is short, but not great. Noah Spence, an edge rusher taken in the second round of the disastrous 2016 draft, was a bust. After a somewhat promising rookie season with 5.5 sacks and three forced fumbles, Spence just disappeared. He only started three games the next season and played in 18 over the next two seasons, missing time due to a shoulder injury. Spence notched just one more sack after his rookie season and now he’s out of the league.

The next outside linebacker taken was Anthony Nelson, who has been a reserve edge rusher and fill-in starter. Nelson was slow to develop due to injuries and had back-to-back seasons of 5.0 and 5.5 sacks over the last two years. The Bucs brought him back on a modest two-year contract, but he doesn’t have much of a higher ceiling.

Joe Tryon-Shoyinka, the Bucs’ first-round pick in 2021, has plenty of ceiling – but he has to get up off the floor first. Tryon-Shoyinka has been stuck at four sacks over the last two years and he’s missed as many sacks as he’s made. The team is a little concerned that he may not turn the corner, which is part of the reason why the Bucs are going to draft an edge rusher early this year – just in case.

Hopefully Licht and Tampa Bay can reverse this trend at OLB. The two outside linebackers the Bucs won the Super Bowl with came via free agency (Shaq Barrett) and a trade (Jason Pierre-Paul).

Running Back

Former Bucs RB Jeremy McNichols – Photo courtesy of Boise State University

If Licht has a blind spot in the draft, it’s at running back. He’s drafted three running backs in the third round – Charles Sims (2014), Ke’Shawn Vaughn (2020) and Rachaad White (2022) – and one in the second in Ronald Jones II (2018). Sims was nothing more than a third-down backup to pair with Doug Martin and quickly flamed out of the league. Vaughn has seen even less action as a backup in Tampa Bay.

Licht also whiffed on Jeremy McNichols in the fifth round in 2017, as he didn’t even make the roster as a rookie. The Bucs also drafted Raymond Calais in the seventh round in 2020, but he was mainly competing for kick return duties and he too didn’t make the team.

After a horrific rookie season, Jones had one solid year (2019) and a good year (2020), helping the Bucs win Super Bowl LV. But he lost his starting job to Leonard Fournette in 2021, and is now on his third team in three years. RoJo was not a bust, but never really lived up to his second-round draft status.

White has shown some promise, splitting time with Fournette during his rookie season. He’s slated to start for the Bucs this year, and he could be the guy to break Licht’s curse at the position. The Bucs will draft another running back this year, likely on Day 3. So, Licht will have a chance to make it two good ones in a row.

Tight End

Former Bucs TE OJ Howard – Photo courtesy of Alabama

Licht has only selected four tight ends in his nine drafts in Tampa Bay, but struck out on two premium picks. Austin Seferian-Jenkins was Licht’s second-ever selection in 2014 right behind Mike Evans. Seferian-Jenkins was a talented turd with an attitude problem and was cut a few games into his third season with the Bucs.

Despite having an emerging receiving tight end in Cam Brate, Licht and head coach Dirk Koetter spent a first-round draft pick in 2017 on O.J. Howard, who was an athletic freak. Howard was productive in Tampa Bay, catching 119 passes for 1,737 yards (14.6 avg.) and 15 TDs. But he never became the dominant, Pro Bowl-caliber player he was drafted to become. The Bucs let him go after his fifth-year option.

Licht drafted two tight ends last year in Cade Otton and Ko Kieft on Day 3. Otton was selected at the top of the fourth round and has shown some ability to perhaps develop into a starting-caliber tight end. Kieft is more of a situational blocking tight end and special teams star.

If Otton can realize his potential and became the next Brate-type player, then Licht’s reputation for drafting tight ends will swing in a more positive direction. This year’s draft class is deep at tight end, and the Bucs need to grab another one to fill out the roster. Licht will get another immediate swing at the position later this month.

FAB 4. Bucs’ Draft Preferences By Round

Every draft is different in terms of strengths and weaknesses, and every year the Bucs have different needs and priorities heading into the draft. This year is no different, as finding an offensive tackle, a pass-rushing outside linebacker, a defensive back who can play in the slot and a safety are among the team’s more pressing needs.

Let’s let history be our guide as we analyze which positions have been drafted in what rounds by general manager Jason Licht and the Bucs’ scouts and coaches. Since we’re strictly looking at the positions that were selected in particular rounds on draft day I have removed the names of those players because they are irrelevant in this exercise. We’re not grading the picks or the players – just seeing which rounds Licht has preferred to select certain positions.

Former Bucs head coach Dirk Koetter and GM Jason Licht – Photo courtesy of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers

ROUND 1
2021  – OLB
2020 – OT
2019 – ILB
2018 – DT
2017 – TE
2016 – CB
2015 – QB
2014 – WR

Analysis: The Bucs’ first-round picks have been split 50-50 on offense and defense during Licht’s tenure as general manager. What stands out is that three of the last four picks have come on defense (OLB, ILB, DT) and that three out of the last four picks have come in the trenches (OLB, OT, DT). The two most pressing needs in Tampa Bay – offensive tackle and outside linebacker – fit into this recent mindset. Oklahoma left tackle Anton Harrison and Tennessee right tackle Darnell Wright have been linked to the Bucs, as have Iowa State pass rusher Will McDonald.

ROUND 2
2022 – DL
2022 – G
2021 – QB
2020 – S
2019 – CB
2018 – RB
2018 – CB
2018 – CB
2017 – S
2016 – OLB
2016 – K
2015 – OT
2015 – G
2014 – TE

Analysis: With 14 selections in the second round, Licht has had more picks in this round than any other round in the draft since he took over the war room in 2014. He’s selected seven defensive players, six offensive players and a (gulp) … kicker. Licht has drafted five defensive backs – the most of any round – in the second, including three cornerbacks and two safeties. With safety and slot DB two big needs in Tampa Bay, the Bucs could easily draft Illinois safety Sydney Brown or Illinois nickel Quan Martin in the second round.

ROUND 3
2022 – RB
2021 – OL
2020 – RB
2019 – CB
2019 – S
2018 – G
2017 – WR
2017 – ILB
2014 – RB

Analysis: Of the nine selections in the third round, six have come on the offensive side of the ball. Three of those picks have been running backs, which is why the third round is the RB round for Licht. The Bucs will draft a running back this year, but likely on Day 3. Yet, if Tampa Bay really loves Texas’ Roschon Johnson, who came in for a Top 30 visit, they’ll have to draft him in the third round if they can.

Bucs head coach Todd Bowles and GM Jason Licht – Photo courtesy of the Buccaneers

ROUND 4
2022 – TE
2022 – P
2021 – WR
2019 – OLB
2018 – S
2016 – CB
2015 – ILB

Analysis: With just seven selections, the Bucs have had the fewest fourth-round picks of any round during the Licht era. Tampa Bay currently doesn’t have a fourth-round pick in this year’s draft after trading it last year to move up into the fifth round and select cornerback Zyon McCollum. When he has a pick in the fourth, it’s been all over the place with no position picked more than once.

ROUND 5
2022 – CB
2021 – ILB
2020 – WR
2019 – K
2018 – WR
2017 – RB
2016 – OT
2015 – WR
2014 – G
2014 – OT

Analysis: Late-round picks – fifth-, sixth- and seventh-rounders – typically are players drafted for depth or to help on special teams. Early on, Licht drafted three backup offensive linemen. More recently, he’s used them to draft players who can run down and cover kicks and punts, and even drafted a kicker in the fifth round. Licht has drafted three receivers in the fifth, which is the most of any one position. If Tampa Bay is going to draft another receiver this year, the fifth round might be the earliest round to do it.

ROUND 6
2022 – TE
2020 – DT
2019 – WR
2018 – ILB
2016 – ILB
2016 – FB
2015 – WR
2016 – WR

Analysis: The special teams coverage theme certainly continues into the sixth round, as does the penchant for drafting wide receivers (three). Tight ends, linebackers, receivers and running backs have the body composition and necessary speed to be good special teams coverage players. It wouldn’t be unreasonable to expect more of the same this year.

Bucs GM Jason Licht and head coach Todd Bowles – Photo by: Cliff Welch/PR

ROUND 7
2022 – OLB
2021 – CB
2021 – ILB
2020 – ILB
2020 – RB
2019 – DT
2017 – DT
2015 – FB

Analysis: This is the “best player left on the board” round, again with an emphasis on finding special teams bodies and stalwarts. Out of the eight seventh-rounders picked by Licht, six have come on the defensive side, including a pair of inside linebackers and defensive tackles.

FAB 5. SR’s Buc Shots

• BUCS’ YOUTH MOVEMENT IS ON: As Fox Sports NFC South reporter Greg Auman noted on Twitter this week, the Bucs have gotten significantly younger this offseason. Tampa Bay has replaced several older players with younger guys during free agency.

• WILL THE BUCS TRADE DOWN IN THE DRAFT? As Pro Football Focus’ Brad Spielberger and Pewter Report’s Josh Queipo point out, general manager Jason Licht is one of the most active traders during the draft. He’s especially fond of trading down and acquiring more Day 2 picks. It happened last year and could happen again in 2023.

THIS WEEK’S PEWTER REPORT PODCASTS

• BUCS DRAFT PREVIEWS CONTINUE ON THE PEWTER REPORT PODCAST: The Pewter Report Podcast is energized by CELSIUS and broadcasts four live episodes each week. We’re in the offseason now, so PR Podcasts will typically be featured on Mondays and Tuesdays at 4:00 p.m. ET and Wednesdays and Thursdays at 7:00 p.m. ET. Subscribe to PewterReportTV on YouTube and click on notifications and you’ll be informed about when the next podcast will be broadcast.

On Monday, Scott Reynolds and Bailey Adams discussed their Bucs draft crushes in this year’s draft.

On Tuesday, Reynolds and Josh Queipo discussed Devin White’s trade request and talked Bucs draft with draft expert Marcus Whitman.

Matt Matera and Adam Slivon discuss whether the Bucs should trade Devin White on Wednesday’s episode.

On Thursday, Matera and Slivon reacted to Jason Licht’s pre-draft press conference.

Watch the Pewter Report Podcasts live on our PewterReportTV channel on YouTube.com and please subscribe (it’s free) and add your comments. We archive all Pewter Report Podcasts. So, you can watch the recorded episodes if you missed them live.

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