Betting The Bucs is a weekly segment that focuses on the gambling lines for each Tampa Bay game during the season. We’ll take a look into different aspects of the game to help you make your decision on whether to bet for or against the Bucs. We’ll also break down various prop bets to take before you watch on Sunday.

If you’re going to choose to bet, there’s no better place to go than MyBookie.ag. Use the promo code PEWTER on your first deposit and My Bookie will match it up to $1,000.

The Line: Bucs -3, O/U 53

The Bucs haven’t been the same team on the road as they have been at home. All of their losses have been while they’re away, and the gap in points scored is another notable drop. I get the feeling, though, that their convincing win on Monday night, which in large part was from a great defensive performance, can translate to playing well on the road this week.

Tampa Bay has yet to cover on the road this year, but you know what? Michigan hadn’t beaten Ohio State in eight straight games until that streak got snapped on Saturday. Tom Brady happens to be a former Michigan Wolverine, too. Something’s got to give for the Bucs and this is the week that their fortune changes on the road.

The Colts are also primed for a letdown after crushing the Bills last week. I see the Bucs jumping out to a lead and preventing Indianapolis from implementing their run-heavy offense. Tampa Bay also has had the best run defense in the NFL for the past three seasons, so they smother the Colts and force them to be one-dimensional. That won’t be enough to keep up with the Bucs in this game.

The Pick: Bucs -3, Under 53

Prop Bets:

We’re going heavy with Rob Gronkowski this afternoon. I wanted to see how he looked on Monday returning from a back injury as well as any lingering issues from broken ribs and a punctured lung. What we got is the same Gronk that was seen before his injuries, making six receptions for 71 yards. He became another big option for Brady in the passing game. Getting that third weapon to go with Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, as Antonio Brown out, is ever so important for the Bucs. It’s great news for Tampa Bay.

Rob Gronkowski Over 4 Catches (-103)

His return saw him pick up right where he left off. Gronk has caught at least four passes in every game he’s played, excluding the one in New Orleans where he exited the game early. The trends say that he will do the same again.

Rob Gronkowski Over 45.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Much like his receptions, Gronk has exceeded this number in three of four games, once again excluding New Orleans. His low of the season was 39, so even when that didn’t hit, he was hovering around the margin. I like this opportunity for him and all he needs is a big play down the field.

Rob Gronkowski TD (+150)

The only thing we didn’t see from him when we came back is a touchdown. He can make up for that this week and you know Brady will be looking for him in the red zone. The Bucs weren’t as efficient as they’d like to be in that area in the second half of the Monday night game, which leads me to believe they improve on that this week.

Jonathan Taylor Under 80 Rushing Yards (-114)

This is the match-up that many want to see between the Bucs’ run defense and the Colts running game. Taylor has been the best running back in the league since Derrick Henry’s injury, and we all know what the Bucs can do stopping the ground game. The addition of Vita Vea helps and I’m never doubting the Bucs in that category.

Tom Brady Over 2.5 Passing TDs (+120)

Brady’s passing numbers have been down on the road, but I think the Bucs try airing it out to get an early lead. The fact that Michigan defeated Ohio State has to have some kind of impact on this as well. It really all comes down to executing their plays in the red zone, and I trust Brady to have to success there.