It’s all on the line for the 8-8 Bucs in Week 18 when they meet the 2-14 Panthers in Charlotte. If they win, they’re NFC South champions for the third year in a row, they’ll make the playoffs for the fourth year in a row and they’ll host a home playoff game on Super Wild Card Weekend for the third straight year as well.
With a loss, though, Tampa Bay’s season is over. The winner of the game between the Saints and Falcons in New Orleans would win the NFC South and host a playoff game next weekend. There’s no longer a fall-back like there was a week ago, when the Bucs’ 23-13 loss to the Saints didn’t cost them anything other than a chance to finish off the division race on their home field with a week to go in the regular season. Todd Bowles’ team has controlled its own destiny for weeks now, but it’s all coming down to the wire as the division hangs in the balance.

Bucs WRs Mike Evans and Chris Godwin – Photo by: USA Today
As much as there is to play for in terms of retaining their spot atop the division for a third consecutive year and potentially saving Bowles’ job — though their performance in the playoffs may be the ultimate decider — the Bucs also have quite a few individual milestones up for grabs as the regular season comes to a close on Sunday at Bank of America Stadium.
Last week, Mike Evans passed Calvin Johnson for the 33rd-most receiving yards in NFL history and the sixth-most receiving yards by a player through the first 10 seasons of his career. Chris Godwin also tied Jimmie Giles for the second-most receiving touchdowns in Bucs history, while Baker Mayfield tied Jameis Winston for the fourth-most single-season passing touchdowns in franchise history.
Now, let’s see where things stand heading into the 2023 regular season finale.
Baker Mayfield
Mayfield set a new career high for passing touchdowns last week, reaching 28 on the year. So, with one passing touchdown on Sunday, he’ll pass Jameis Winston (28 in 2016) for the fourth-most in a single season in Bucs history. And with two passing scores, Mayfield will join Tom Brady as the only Bucs to throw for 30-plus in their first seasons with the team. He would be just the third Buc overall to throw for 30 touchdowns in a season, too.
With two passing touchdowns and no interceptions against the Panthers, Mayfield will become the first Bucs quarterback ever to throw for 30-plus passing touchdowns and 10 or fewer interceptions in a single season.
A five-touchdown passing performance by Mayfield would tie him with Winston (33 in 2019) for the third-most in a single season by a Tampa Bay quarterback.
Finally, Mayfield needs just 184 yards to pass Winston (4,090 in 2016) for the fifth-most single-season passing yards in franchise history.
Rachaad White

Bucs RB Rachaad White – Photo by: USA Today
White needs 85 rushing yards to become the first Buc to run for 1,000 yards in a season since Doug Martin did it in 2015. It would be just the 13th 1,000-yard rushing season in franchise history. Plus, with those 85 rushing yards, White would join James Wilder (1984) as the only Bucs to run for 1,000 yards and total 500 receiving yards in a single season. He would also be the first running back in the NFL to accomplish that feat within his first two seasons since Christian McCaffrey and Saquon Barkley did it in 2018.
With 54 scrimmage yards, White will become the first Bucs running back since Martin (2015) and the first Buc since Mike Evans (2018) to total 1,500-plus scrimmage yards in a single season. It would be just the eighth 1,500-yard season in franchise history.
One touchdown of any kind would tie White with five players (10) for the fifth-most touchdowns from scrimmage in a single season in team history. Two more touchdowns would tie him with Mike Alstott (11 in 2001) and Errict Rhett (11 in 1995) for third-most in a single season, while three would tie him with Martin (12 in 2012) for second-most.
Mike Evans
Fresh off his fifth career Pro Bowl selection, Evans has a chance to finish off his 10th season in the NFL by reaching quite a few milestones. One receiving touchdown would tie his own single-season franchise record (14 in 2021), while one touchdown of any kind would tie him with Eric Dickerson (96) for 26th-most in NFL history.
Two receiving touchdowns would set a new franchise record for Evans, while 15 points scored would give him the Bucs record for career points, which is currently held by Martin Gramatica (592).

Bucs WR Mike Evans – Photo by: Cliff Welch/PR
With four receiving touchdowns, Evans would tie Chris Carter (1995), Rob Gronkowski (2011), Randy Moss (1998, 2003), Carl Pickens (1995) and Jerry Rice (1989) for sixth-most single-season touchdowns in NFL history.
It’s not going to happen Sunday, but Evans is five receiving touchdowns away from tying Don Hutson (99) for 11th-most in NFL history and five total touchdowns away from tying Frank Gore, Franco Harris and Curtis Martin (100) for 23rd-most in league history.
Evans is also six receiving touchdowns away from becoming the 11th player in NFL history to reach 100 in a career.
With 89 receiving yards, the Bucs legend will pass himself (1,321 in 2016) for fifth-most in a single season by a Tampa Bay receiver. He’s 101 receiving yards away from passing Chris Godwin (1,333 in 2019) for fourth-most by a Buc in a single season, plus he needs 152 more to pass Vincent Jackson (1,384 in 2012) for third-most.
A 177-yard day would move Evans ahead of Don Maynard (11,834) for 32nd-most in NFL history, while a 184-yard game would put him ahead of Antonio Gates (11,841) for 31st.
Lastly, Sunday will mark Evans’ 154th game, leaving him four behind Mike Alstott (158) for ninth-most games played in Bucs history.
Chris Godwin
Godwin is now one receiving touchdown away from passing Jimmie Giles (34) for second-most in Bucs history. He would trail only Mike Evans from there.

Bucs WR Chris Godwin – Photo by: USA Today
With 27 more receiving yards, Godwin will reach 1,000 for the fourth time in his career, breaking a tie with Joey Galloway and Vincent Jackson for the second-most 1,000-yard seasons in franchise history. Again, from there, he would only trail Mike Evans, who has 10 such seasons.
Three receptions will give Godwin 80 for the year, marking the fourth 80-catch season of his career. That’s a franchise record he already owns and would be extending.
Sunday is Godwin’s 104th game with the Bucs, tying Hardy Nickerson for 37th-most in team history.
Shaq Barrett
Barrett is 10 sacks away from passing Gerald McCoy (54.5) for fourth-most in franchise history. Meanwhile, he is only one forced fumble away from passing Ronde Barber and Warren Sapp (15) for fourth-most in team history.
Lavonte David
David needs a half-sack to become the second player since tackles for loss became regularly tracked (2008) to record multiple seasons with 100-plus tackles, 15-plus tackles for loss and 5.0-plus sacks. He would join Daryl Washington, who did it in 2011 and 2012.

Bucs NT Vita Vea and LB Lavonte David – Photo by: USA Today
With three tackles for loss on Sunday, David would have his third season of 20 tackles for loss, joining Aaron Donald and DeMarcus Ware for the second-most since 2008. Only J.J. Watt (four such seasons) has more.
Sunday will mark David’s 181st game with the Bucs, leaving him three away from passing Paul Gruber (183) for fourth-most in Bucs history. It’ll also be his 181st start, which has him three away from passing Gruber (183) for third-most in team history.
David needs one more pass defensed to pass Donnie Abraham (64) for fifth-most in franchise history.
Carlton Davis III
Davis is 12 passes defensed away from passing Derrick Brooks (84) for third-most in team history.
Jamel Dean
Dean needs 10 more passes defensed to move ahead of Aqib Talib (54) for seventh-most in franchise history.
Antoine Winfield Jr.
After being egregiously snubbed from the Pro Bowl roster, Winfield will make his final case for All-Pro consideration on Sunday. He’ll also have a chance to move up the ranks in franchise history, as he needs one more pass defensed to tie E.J. Biggers (28) for 14th-most in team history. He’s also one forced fumble away from tying Broderick Thomas (11) for eighth-most in Bucs history, moving ahead of Jermaine Phillips and Stylez G. White (10) in the process.