INTRO: Week 1 is here and we’ve been previewing Bucs vs. Commanders for the past two weeks in-depth on PewterReport.com and the Pewter Report Podcasts. So I’m taking a look at Todd Bowles’ record against rookie quarterbacks in this week’s SR’s Fab 5 with Jayden Daniels coming to town, and then focusing on some pro prospects to watch for the 2025 NFL Draft with college football now in full swing. Enjoy!

FAB 1. Todd Bowles’ Record vs. Rookie QBs: Not As Bad As You Think It Is

I know what you are thinking about Tampa Bay’s 2024 season opener against Washington.

Oh, no. Here comes another rookie quarterback against Todd Bowles and his Bucs defense.

Commanders QB Jayden Daniels – Photo by: USA Today

Commanders rookie QB Jayden Daniels, last year’s Heisman Trophy winner and the No. 2 overall pick, scares the heck out of you with his dual-threat ability to beat defenses with his right arm of his legs.

Or maybe it’s just Bowles’ track record against rookie signal callers that scares you.

Heck, you still might be traumatized over Marcus Mariota coming into Raymond James Stadium and outdueling Jameis Winston in his first NFL start in 2015, throwing four touchdowns against a Lovie Smith-coached Bucs team that wasn’t “Tennessee ready.”

But Bowles’ track record against rookie quarterbacks isn’t as bad as you think it is. In fact, since he took over as the Bucs defensive play-caller in 2019 when Bruce Arians came to town, Bowles is 9-6 against rookie quarterbacks who started games against Tampa Bay.

Bowles and the Bucs were actually 3-1 last year against rookies, beating Bryce Young and Carolina twice, in addition to beating Will Levis and Tennessee. Levis completed 48.7% of his passes for 199 yards with no touchdowns and an interception in a 20-6 Bucs win last year. He was also sacked four times by Bowles’ unit.

Young, the No. 1 overall pick last year, completed 48.4% of his passes for 178 yards with no touchdowns and one interception in Tampa Bay’s 21-18 win over Carolina at home. Young was sacked four times in that game. A few weeks later in the rematch at Carolina, Young completed 61.1% of his throws for just 94 yards and was sacked three times and had a costly fourth quarter fumble in a 9-0 Buccaneers win.

Bucs ILB Devin White and Texans QB CJ Stroud – Photo by: USA Today

Yes, there is no doubt that Texans rookie C.J. Stroud carved up Bowles’ defense in a 39-37 shootout win over the Bucs in Week 9. It was an embarrassing performance by Tampa Bay’s defense and Bowles’ worst game of the year as a play-caller. Stroud threw for an NFL rookie record 470 yards and five touchdowns with no interceptions while being sacked just three times.

Veteran cornerback Carlton Davis III played like a rookie that day and gave up three TDs, including the game-winner with just seconds left. But that doesn’t take away from the fact that Tampa Bay’s defense still finished the 2023 season 3-1 against rookie QBs.

That was a much better showing against rookie passers than the 2022 season in which the Bucs actually went 0-3. Steelers rookie Kenny Pickett completed 61.1% of his passes for 67 yards and a touchdown in the first half before being sacked and knocked out of the game in a 20-18 upset in Pittsburgh. But it was veteran backup Mitch Trubisky who actually beat Tampa Bay, completing 9-of-12 passes for 144 yards and a TD in relief.

Aside from Stroud’s epic day against Tampa Bay, the other traumatic event that lingers in the mind of Bucs fans is Brock Purdy’s first NFL start midway through the 2022 season. Purdy was a third-string QB at the time and completed 76.2% of his passes for 185 yards and two TDs while also rushing for a score in a 35-7 beatdown in San Francisco. But Purdy had the benefit of playing behind a really good, veteran offensive line with a plethora of weapons to throw to.
Newsflash – Brock Purdy turned out to be a very good quarterback, just like C.J. Stroud.

Rookie Desmond Ridder also got a win over the Bucs in Week 18 in 2022, so technically this counts. Tampa Bay led Atlanta 17-10, but head coach Todd Bowles pulled his starters at halftime to rest them for the playoffs. Ridder completed 63.3% of his passes and threw two touchdowns as the Falcons rallied for a 30-17 win.

Bucs OLB Joe Tryon-Shoyinka – Photo by: USA Today

While Bowles and the Bucs were 0-3 against rookies in 2022, they were undefeated against them in 2021. While Mac Jones completed 77.5% of his passes for 275 yards and two touchdowns, he was also picked off once and sacked four times as the Bucs held on for a 19-17 win at New England.

In one of Bowles’ best efforts against a rookie quarterback, Tampa Bay’s defense harassed Justin Fields into three interceptions and sacked him four times in a 38-3 win over Chicago. Fields completed 68.8% of his throws, but for just 184 yards.

And while Zach Wilson nearly upset the Bucs by completing 57.6% of his passes for 234 yards and a touchdown, it was the Jets ground game that really thwarted Tampa Bay’s defense, running for 150 yards. The Bucs pulled off a comeback though, beating the Jets, 28-24 thanks to some late-game heroics by Tom Brady.

Tampa Bay only played one rookie QB in 2020, which was Los Angeles’ Justin Herbert. Things looked grim early, as Herbert got hot and led the Chargers to a 24-7 lead before the Bucs added a TD right before halftime.

Herbert would finish the game completing 80% of his passes for 290 yards with three touchdowns. But Bowles’ defense got to him in the second half, allowing just one touchdown, and picking him off once and sacking him twice. The Bucs outscored the Chargers 24-7 in the second half and rallied for a 38-31 win.

The Bucs were 2-2 against rookie QBs in 2019. Of course one of the most forgettable games was a 32-31 loss to the Giants in Daniel Jones’ first NFL start. Jones completed 63.9% of his passes for 336 yards and two touchdowns despite being sacked five times. He also had two rushing touchdowns as the Bucs offense and defense blew a 28-10 halftime lead and were outscored 22-3 in the second half.

Former Bucs OLB Shaquil Barrett and Cardinals QB Kyler Murray – Photo by: Cliff Welch/PR

Carolina started a rookie quarterback in Kyle Allen in London, helping defeat Tampa Bay 37-26. He completed 62.5% of his passes for 227 yards with two touchdowns and was sacked just twice. But Bowles’ defense was also hurt by five interceptions from Jameis Winston that day, as he continually turned the ball over to the Panthers offense.

The Bucs defense did get two wins against rookies in 2019. The first came against Kyler Murray, the No. 1 overall pick that year.

The Bucs beat the Cardinals 30-27, but Murray did play well, completing 61.4% of his throws for 324 yards and three touchdowns. But Bowles defense held him to just 38 yards rushing on three scrambles in addition to sacking him twice and getting a key fourth quarter interception.

The other rookie the Bucs beat was Lions backup David Blough, who was in for the injured Matthew Stafford. Tampa Bay won 38-17 with Bowles’ defense picking off Blough twice and sacking him twice. He finished the game completing 55.8% of his passes for 260 yards with no touchdowns.

Although he didn’t start, Gardner Minshew played a half against the Bucs after Nick Foles completed 50% of his passes for 93 yards and got sacked three times as Tampa Bay built a 25-0 lead at Jacksonville at halftime. Foles threw a pick and also fumbled before giving way to Minshew. The rookie didn’t have much success either, as he was sacked twice and threw one interception in addition to a touchdown while completing 59.3% of his passes for 147 yards in Tampa Bay’s 28-11 win.

Bowles/Bucs Defense vs. Rookie QBs

2023: 3-1
2022: 0-3
2021: 3-0
2020: 1-0
2019: 2-2

Bucs HC Todd Bowles – Photo by: Cliff Welch/PR

The losses to Stroud, Purdy and Jones certainly stand out as the ugliest losses to rookie quarterbacks. But Stroud and Purdy have turned out to be two of the best young QBs in the NFL. And with this current team’s 3-1 versus rookies last year, the Bucs should have confidence heading into Week 1 against Daniels and the Commanders.

I think Daniels will wind up being the best quarterback in this year’s draft class – even better than Chicago’s Caleb Williams. Bowles has had the entire offseason to watch every LSU and Arizona State game Daniels played to get a read on him. And Bowles has faced offensive coordinator Kliff Kingsbury’s offense twice in 2019 and 2022 and came away the winner in both games.

I’m sure Bowles will have some surprises in store for Daniels and a mix of exotic pressure packages and disguised coverages. At least that’s the hope, right?

We’ll see how Bowles and the Bucs do on Sunday – and how Tampa Bay fares in a few weeks when Denver and first-round pick Bo Nix come to town.

FAB 2. Bucs Need To Keep Drafting WRs For Baker Mayfield

Bucs GM Jason Licht and WRs Mike Evans and Chris Godwin – Photo by: Cliff Welch/PR

Not only has the 2024 NFL season begun, but college football has kicked off as well. That means it’s officially draft season when it comes to scouting pro prospects this fall. It’s too early to know exactly what the Bucs’ biggest draft needs will be.

If Ben Bredeseon doesn’t prove to be an upgrade over Matt Feiler and Aaron Stinnie, and sixth-round pick Elijah Klein isn’t starting caliber, then left guard could be a priority next April.

While the team just invested a second-round pick in outside linebacker Chris Braswell, Joe Tryon-Shoyinka, a former first-round pick, and Anthony Nelson are both in contract years. So drafting another outside linebacker may be warranted if Braswell underwhelms during his rookie season.

Cornerback could certainly be viewed as a position of need, but Jason Licht has only drafted one in the first round. It turned out to be his worst-ever first-rounder – Vernon Hargreaves III in 2016.

Licht and the Bucs have had better luck drafting cornerbacks after the first round. Tampa Bay won Super Bowl LV with a pair of second-round picks in Carlton Davis III (2018) and Sean Murphy-Bunting (2019) as well as third-round pick Jamel Dean (2019). Zyon McCollum, a current starting cornerback, was drafted in the fifth round in 2022.

The Bucs have made drafting defensive tackles early a priority, spending first-round picks on Vita Vea (2018) and Calijah Kancey (2023), and the team’s first pick in 2022 on Logan Hall in the top of the second round. Tampa Bay would’ve drafted defensive tackle Johnny Newton in the first round this year had center Graham Barton not been on the board.

Bucs WR Jalen McMillan – Photo by: USA Today

While the Bucs just drafted wide receiver Jalen McMillan in the third round this year, they could be targeting another pass catcher again in 2024. The Bucs invested $100 million in quarterback Baker Mayfield and need to continue to surround him with capable weapons in the passing game.

Tampa Bay just re-signed Mike Evans to a two-year deal, but he’s 31 and is entering the twilight of his career. Chris Godwin turns 29 next February and is in a contract year. Is he worth investing another $20 million per season (or more) in?

While McMillan looks promising and beat out Trey Palmer for the No. 3 receiver position, if Godwin isn’t re-signed next offseason and Evans retires when his contract is up, the Bucs’ cupboard might be bare in 2025. Palmer, a sixth-round pick last year, has shown flashes of potential, but his ceiling might be that of a No. 3 receiver. He’s too inconsistent as a pass catcher.

Kameron Johnson is an exciting, athletic undrafted free agent, but who knows where his ceiling is in the NFL? Deven Thompkins had similar hype a few years ago, although I think Johnson is much better. Cody Thompson had a very good preseason, but he’s on the practice squad for a reason, and is already 28.

A team can never have enough good receivers in the modern-day NFL, which revolves around the passing game. New offensive coordinator Liam Coen will be deploying three-receiver sets with more frequency in Tampa Bay this year. So having a stable of good targets is a necessilty.

Don’t be surprised if Licht continues to add another receiver in next year’s draft – even if Godwin is re-signed. Now let’s take a look at some of the top wide receivers to know in college football right now. It will be a pretty deep position in the 2025 NFL Draft.

FAB 3. First-Round Receivers If The Bucs Bomb In 2024

When the Bucs were 4-7 last year and it looked more like Tampa Bay was heading for a possible coaching replacement and a Top 10 pick, Washington wide receiver Rome Odunze and LSU wide receiver Malik Nabors were very much on the team’s radar. But a 5-1 finish gave the Bucs a 9-8 record and a playoff berth thanks to winning a third straight NFC South title.

The Bucs hope that a fourth straight division championship is coming this year and that Tampa Bay will be picking toward the end of the first round again as a result. But just in case the Bucs’ 2024 season is a disaster, here are some first-round names to know at wide receiver.

Arizona WR Tetairoa McMillan – 6-5, 212 – Junior

The Bucs drafted Jalen McMillan in the third round in 2024, but this McMillan – no relation – is considered to be a first-rounder. Tampa Bay will eventually need to replace Mike Evans and the 6-foot-5 McMillan is the same size and has a similar skillset. McMillan is coming off a hot 2024 debut, catching 10 passes for 304 yards (30.4 avg.) and four touchdowns in a win against New Mexico last week.

Last year, McMillan burst on the scene with 90 catches for 1,402 yards (15.6 avg.) and 10 touchdowns after hauling in 39 passes for 702 yards (18 avg.) and eight TDs as a freshman. With his size and long arms, he’s a nightmare to defend, and he possesses enough speed to get down hill, making him more than just a possession receiver. McMillan will be in contention for the top receiver in the draft when it’s all said and done.

Missouri WR Luther Burden III – 5-11, 208 – Junior

Burden is a very skilled and polished receiver with tons of explosiveness and playmaking ability. He’s coming off an opening weekend where the Tigers killed Murray State and Burden caught four passes for 49 yards (12.3 avg.) and a touchdown in just about one half of play.

Burden had a breakout year during his sophomore season with 83 receptions for 1,197 yards (14.4 avg.) and eight touchdowns. The St. Louis native had six 100-yard games last year and two more with more than 95 receiving yards. There’s no way Burden makes it out of the first round – and perhaps the Top 10.

Colorado WR Travis Hunter – 6-1, 185 – Junior

Hunter might be the best athlete in the 2025 NFL Draft, but will this two-way player be better suited as a wide receiver or a cornerback in the NFL? Probably receiver after his 2024 debut against North Dakota State where he hauled in seven passes for 132 yards (18.9 avg.) and three touchdowns.

Hunter transferred to Colorado with Deion Sanders last year and caught 57 passes for 721 yards (12.6 avg.) and five scores from Shedeur Sanders. He’s already on his way to smashing those numbers during his junior season.

Stanford WR Eric Ayomanor – 6-2, 210 – Redshirt Sophomore

Ayomanor is a bigger receiver with some sneaky speed, evidenced by a 97-yard touchdown in a massive, come-from-behind win over Colorado last year. Ayomanor had 13 catches for 294 yards (22.6 avg.) with three TDs in that game, including two against cornerback Travis Hunter. Stanford trailed 29-0 at halftime and roared back for a 46-43 win in double overtime.

Ayomanor had 62 catches for 1,013 yards (16.3 avg.) and three touchdowns last year in his first season as a starter. He’s coming off a seven-catch, 102-yard (14.6 avg.) effort against TCU in a 34-27 opening-day loss last Friday.

FAB 4. Day 2 Receivers The Bucs Will Be Scouting For 2025

Bucs general manager Jason Licht has had success with a pair of Day 2 wide receivers in Chris Godwin and Jalen McMillan, both of whom were third-round picks. I know that McMillan has yet to play a single down in the NFL yet, but he’s going to be a star. He has Godwin-like traits.

Here are some potential Day 2 receivers in the 2025 NFL Draft that you should have on your radar while watching college football this season.

Ole Miss WR Tre Harris – 6-3, 210 – Senior

Harris could be this year’s Keon Coleman, a big-bodied receiver with good athleticism, but not breakaway speed. After a breakout season at Louisiana Tech in 2022 where he caught 65 passes for 935 yards (14.4 avg.) and 10 touchdowns, Harris transferred to Ole Miss where he hauled in 47 passes for 851 yards (18.1 avg.) with eight TDs last year. Harris opened the season with six catches for 133 yards (22.2) and four TDs against Mercer, and also posted 100-yard games against LSU and Penn State and had 11 receptions for 213 yards (19.4 avg.) and a touchdown against Texas A&M.

But Harris is more of a big-bodied possession receiver and it can be difficult for him to separate at times, evidenced by just two receptions for 12 yards against a tough Georgia secondary last year. Harris opened the season with a bang in a big win over Furman, catching eight passes for 179 yards (22.4 avg.) with a pair of scores.

Ole Miss WR Antwane “Juice” Wells Jr. – 6-1, 210 – Junior

Tre Harris isn’t the only stud receiver catching passes from Jaxon Dart at Ole Miss this year. Wells transferred from South Carolina, where he was Spencer Rattler’s top receiver in 2022, hauling in 63 catches for 898 yards (14.3 avg.) and six touchdowns in addition to a rushing touchdown. He started his career at James Madison where he had 78 receptions for 1,197 yards (15.3 avg.) and 14 TDs as a true freshman before transferring to South Carolina.

A foot injury in the 2023 season opener knocked him out of action last year. When Rattler graduated in the offseason, Wells wanted to find a team with a better quarterback situation and transferred to Ole Miss. The “Juice” nickname is well deserved as he’s an explosive playmaker with game-breaking speed. Wells had two catches for 70 yards (35 avg.) in his Rebels debut, including a 61-yard touchdown.

Miami WR Xavier Restrepo – 5-10, 198 – Senior

Restrepo is a shifty, sure-handed receiver with instant acceleration and slippery moves. He’s more quick than fast and was able to catch 85 passes for 1,092 yards (12.8 avg.) and six touchdowns last season. He’s quite crafty on wide receiver screens and has just enough size where he might be able to survive on the outside at the next level.

But Restrepo might be destined to be a slot receiver in the NFL. He also has some limited experience as a punt and kick returner in college, although he likely won’t have that role as a senior starter on offense. Restrepo had a nice debut in a big win over Florida, catching seven passes for 112 yards (16 avg.) and one touchdown in The Swamp.

Tennessee WR Chris Brazzell II – 6-5, 200 – Redshirt Sophomore

Tulane WR Chris Brazzell II – Photo by: USA Today

Dont’e Thornton Jr., a big 6-foot-5, 214-pound receiver, had a great game in Week 1 for Tennessee, catching three passes for 105 yards and a pair of touchdowns. But there’s another 6-foot-5 Volunteers receiver worth watching too in Brazzell, who transferred from Tulane this offseason. Brazzell is a long, rangy target who was one of new Bucs quarterback Michael Pratt’s favorite pass-catchers last season with the Green Wave. He had 44 catches for 771 yards (16.2 avg.) and five TDs last year with 100-yard games against Memphis and Florida Atlantic.

Brazzell had three catches for 41 yards (13.7 avg.) in his Rocky Top debut. While he might not be a pro prospect in next year’s draft because he’s only a redshirt sophomore, Brazzell is worth keeping an eye on, according to Pratt, whom I spoke with this week.

“That’s like my little brother,” Pratt said. “He came a long way. He came in his freshman year and had an opportunity. He was playing and got hurt in the first game, so he was out for the season. But I worked with him in the offseason and the biggest thing was putting on weight. I cooked for him every day. He put on about 20 pounds that offseason. He really came a long way and developed a work ethic that offseason.

“He had a great year for us and was definitely one of my favorite targets. He’s 6-4 or 6-5 and he’s a vertical threat. He can take the top off [the defense], but he’s also a great route runner. He has great hands and really good awareness of the field. He’s just a dude all the way around and I think he’s going to have a really long career at the next level. He’s a great kid and he’s always fun to be around. Just the excitement he brings into the locker room, he’s super passionate and loves football.”

FAB 5. A Pair Of Wildcats – From Kentucky – Worth Talking About

No, I’m not pimping my Kansas State Wildcats as I wrap up this SR’s Fab 5 column. Instead, I’m going to talk about a pair of Kentucky Wildcats who are on my draft radar for 2025. These two defenders caught my eye when I was scouting UK linebacker Trevin Wallace, whom the Bucs liked, last year.

Kentucky DT  Deone Walker – 6-6, 345 – Junior

Kentucky DT Deone Walker – Photo by: USA Today

The Bucs aren’t too high on Logan Hall, the team’s first pick in 2022, and he may not have a future in Tampa Bay past this year. In fact, the team was going to draft Illinois defensive tackle Johnny Newton if Graham Barton was off the board late in the first round back in April. Vita Vea is 29 and won’t play forever, so finding another big, athletic defensive tackle sooner rather than later is key for Todd Bowles and Jason Licht.

They don’t come much bigger and more athletic than Walker, who is a monster at 6-foot-6, 345 pounds. The first-team All-SEC performer recorded 7.5 sacks and 55 tackles last year and was a game-wrecker up front. Walker’s pass rush is ahead of his run defense primarily due to his quick first step, but he needs to bend more in the knees and play with better pad level to shed blocks and tackle ball carriers.

Walker is a potential first-rounder, so depending on where the Bucs select, he may or may not be an option for them. Michigan’s Mason Graham and Kenneth Grant are currently more regarded by scouts, as is Ole Miss’ Walter Nolen. But if Walker shows more consistency and has a dominant year, he has the traits to be a Top 15 pick.

Kentucky OLB J.J. Weaver – 6-5, 255 – Senior

Kentucky OLB J.J. Weaver – Photo by: USA Today

Weaver is a fast, long, athletic playmaker for the Wildcats. He is a Joe Tryon-Shoyinka-type defender who is one part edge rusher and one part coverage dropper. Entering his sixth season at Kentucky, Weaver has been a five-year starter, racking up 168 tackles, 18 sacks, including one last Saturday to start the 2024 season, seven pass breakups, five fumble recoveries, four forced fumbles, two interceptions and a blocked punt.

With Tryon-Shoyinka in a contract year, Bucs head coach Todd Bowles might want another chess piece like him if JTS leaves in free agency next year. Weaver’s ability to play both linebacker and edge rusher will certainly pique Bowles’ interest.  Weaver had 6.5 sacks in 2021 and a career-high seven sacks last year.

The fact that offensive coordinator Liam Coen, who spent the 2021 and 2023 seasons as the Wildcats offensive coordinator, tells me that both Walker and Weaver are solid dudes and good players only aids the Bucs in their scouting process.

LIVE Pewter Pregame Show: Bucs vs. Commanders Sunday – 9:00am ET

Pewter Report is moving its LIVE Pewter Pregame show to 9:00 a.m. ET on the PewterReportTV YouTube channel to the morning of every Bucs game day this year, starting this Sunday, September 8 when the Bucs host the Commanders at Raymond James Stadium. Pewter Report’s Scott Reynolds and Matt Matera host a 30-minute pregame show featuring the latest Bucs news prior to kickoff, injury updates and key matchups to watch.

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Watch Pewter GameDay: Bucs vs. Commanders LIVE In-Game Analysis

Pewter Report’s popular in-game LIVE Pewter GameDay show on the PewterReportTV YouTube channel returns on Sunday at 4:25 p.m. ET as the Bucs host the Commanders to kick off the 2024 regular season. Pewter Report’s Matt Matera is joined by the newest Pewter Reporter, Liam Mitchell from Bucs Vault, to analyze all of the action in real time during Tampa Bay’s three-hour season debut.

The Pewter GameDay show will not show the Bucs broadcast, so Tampa Bay fans are encouraged to watch the Bucs game live on the broadcast network and also tune in to the Pewter Report staff on Pewter GameDay via PewterReportTV on YouTube for added context and insight to enhance your viewing pleasure. The Pewter GameDay LIVE stream can also be found on PewterReport.com and on Pewter Report’s social media channels on X and Facebook.

Pewter GameDay is a great way to receive news and expert analysis during the Tampa Bay games in the 2024 season and LIVE in-game analysis begins five minutes before kickoff at 4:20 p.m. ET.

The Tampa Bay games will not be shown during the Pewter GameDay shows, only our reaction to the action – and yours. The PR staff will be on hand to post your comments and answer your questions throughout the game.

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Approximately one hour after the conclusion of each Bucs game, Pewter Report’s Scott Reynolds and Matt Matera analyze the outcome, breakdown the post-game press conferences and offer up expert analysis on all the action.

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The Pewter Report Podcasts – energized by CELSIUS, the Official Energy Drink of Pewter Report – air live at 4:00 p.m. ET on Mondays, Wednesdays and Thursdays during the regular season in addition to a post-game podcast typically one hour after each Tampa Bay game.