What is a Franchise QB? Why are we seeing more QBs in the first round become busts and more selections in the 2nd and 3rd rounds that are turning into franchise caliber QBs? Is a Franchise QB truly about having a superior arm and good size? Is it becoming less and less about size and a good arm, but more about mobility? But still, even if the mobility isn't there, the size isn't there, and the arm isn't there, how can QBs thrive in the NFL? There has been a huge increase in talks about franchise QBs, especially with a lot of the QBs in this years draft having gaping holes in their play. Bortles doesn't have the greatest arm, and is challenged sometimes in his throwing technique. Manziel has size issues, as well as off the field issues. Bridgewater has small hands, OK size, and not a superior arm as well. Could the Bucs select a QB later in the draft to be groomed by Bucs QB guru Jeff Tedford and to sit behind Josh McCown for 2 years to be groomed for stardom? Mark Sanchez, Josh Freeman, Jake Locker, Blaine Gabbert, Christian Ponder, what do they all have in common? All picked in the first round. All mostly busts.Russell Wilson, Nick Foles, Andy Dalton, Colin Kaepernick, all not picked in the first round. Turning out to be pretty darn good QBsDoes 1st round talent mean NFL success? Not necessarily. Why did Tedford groom so many 1st round QBs, but only 1 or 2 actually translated into the NFL? Was it because of a lack of talent? Obviously not, they won and had talent in college.I started pondering these questions to myself and could only come to one logical conclusion. It's not based on the QBs talent or size so much, but the scheme and coaching.I don't have Josh McCown's offical quotes from when he came to Tampa Bay, but I can summerize. What he said was basically he had a lot of teams interested, but he wanted to repeat what he was able to do last year with QB guru Marc Trestman. For that, he needed another QB guru. Another QB driven scheme that would provide guaranteed success. Look at Nick Foles and Josh McCown's TD/INT ratio last year, unbelievable! Is it a coincidence that both of them are under QB guru Chip Kelly and Trestman? Absolutely not. This is the new era in NFL offense.What hints have we been given about Tedford's offense? It's up tempo, it focuses on running but stretches the field with passing plays. We don't know much other than the old Cal games. Here is how passing works in this scheme. The older schemes would have random, unorganized progression based checkdowns. Check receiver A, if he is covered go to option B, option C, etc. However, the failure of this scheme is there was no timing to the progressions. A lot of times you check your most reliable receiver first, then check down to the others, or there would be a random, uncontrolled, hopefully a receiver gets open. Tedford, Trestman, Kelly all have one thing in common with their schemes, they are on a precision timing based progression system. What I mean by precision timing is this. For instance, for play A, if the defense is in the nickel we know receiver A will be open 99% of the time in between 1 and 3 seconds after the snap because he's doing a quick slant and his CB isn't lined up in press coverage. Receiver B will be open down the field approximately 5 seconds after the snap majority of the time if you miss the window of opportunity for receiver A. If the play in the huddle isn't a good match for the defense, you audible to another play that will provide almost guaranteed success against whatever the defense is showing. That's just an example of how it works, but it's a much smarter and more sophisticated way of running an offense. With that being said, it makes sense why most of Tedford's QBs never really flourished int he NFL but were great in college. Tedford had them plugged into his sophisticated system, and QBs were having success, even with limited talent and size. McCown was eager to sign his contract after he spoke with Tedford and QB coach Marcus Arroyo. He knows he can repeat the success he had in Chicago if he has a sophisticated QB driven system such as Tedford's. Lovie Smith understands this, and this is why he hired Tedford. Tedford is the next Chip Kelly and Marc Trestman. With that being said, what are the chances the Bucs will draft a QB in the first round? To be honest, little to none. Jason Licht is on record saying he sees franchise QBs in the draft, but not the ones we are all thinking about. Jason Licht and Lovie Smith cannot take such a huge gamble and be married to a first round pick. Furthermore, if you pick a QB in the first round and they sit for 2 years, it looks bad. It's much safer to pick a QB in the later rounds, and I believe they will go for a Aaron Murray or a Connor Shaw or Zach Mettenberger, and use that 7th pick to get sure-fire elite talent. Sammy Watkins will be first pick if he's available, if not then Khalil Mack(or Mike Evans). They might trade down as well, and I wouldn't say Derek Carr is out of the question in the early second round.