still a long way to go, but . . .
Trump's new strategy against Biden faces signs of trouble, polls show
The president’s convention portrayed him as empathetic to Americans' problems, and declared Biden soft on violence. So far, neither message appears to be resonating
"WASHINGTON — Joe Biden maintains a healthy lead over President Donald Trump heading into the campaign home stretch, with new head-to-head polls suggesting a race whose dynamic remains seemingly unaltered by the party conventions.
Nationally, Biden leads by 8 points in a Grinnell College/Selzer poll, by 10 points in a Quinnipiac poll, by 7 points in a USA Today/Suffolk poll, by 8 points in a CNN poll, by 7 points in a Reuters/Ipsos poll, and by 11 points in an Economist/YouGov poll."
AND FOR THE CLINTON "HISTORIANS" IN THE CROWD:
Biden continues to run ahead of Hillary Clinton in 2016. In September of that year, she maintained a narrow lead averaging 1 to 4 points but fell behind Trump in surveys by CNN, Fox News and the Los Angeles Times, while tying him in several others.
This time, the race is not as close.
AND THE OFT-quoted SOURCE FOR POLL AGGREGATING (BUT NOTE THE QUALIFICATION):
"According to the FiveThirtyEight polling average, Biden led Trump by 8 points on Aug. 16, the day before the conventions began. That dipped slightly to 7.4 percent as of Sept. 2 with the first wave of high-quality surveys after the convention.
If that held, it would match the scale of President Barack Obama's landslide victory in the 2008 election popular vote."
SO THE ARTICLE GOES ON:
Trump also faces challenges in battleground states.
Fox News surveys found Biden leading Trump by 8 points in Wisconsin, by 9 points in Arizona and by 4 points in North Carolina. One bright spot for Trump was that he narrowed his deficit with Biden to 4 points in a Pennsylvania poll by Monmouth University, which tightened to 1 point in a low-turnout model.
(AND NOTE THE QUALIFICATION AGAIN -- LOW TURNOUT MODEL. SOME DENY IT LAUGHABLY BUT LOW TURNOUT FAVORS GOP)