Falling black support for Biden is his campaign's 'Achilles Heel'
A poller that correctly predicted Britain's Brexit vote and the election of Donald Trump in 2016 indicates President Trump is leading in the national popular vote by 1 point.
But the most important result of the poll is that it shows Trump is on track to win 320 Electoral College votes, compared to Biden's 218.
Significantly, the Democracy Institute poll found 18% of likely black voters declaring they will vote for Trump. In 2016, he received only 8% of the black vote.
"To beat Trump, Biden needs nine in 10 black votes, and lots of black voters to cast ballots. Currently, he’s positioned to win only eight in ten, with two out of ten black voters ready to support Trump, and overall black turnout looking to be flat, at best."
The poll shows Trump leading Biden by 4% in Florida, 2% in Minnesota and 2% in New Hampshire.
