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Fascinating Polling After Racist Tweets

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Cabin Boy
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Obviously, we are divided country so its not surprising at all that racist tweets increase Trump's support with his base, but at the expense of running off more "moderates' and Democrats. From the article:

"NEW YORK (Reuters) - Support for U.S. President Donald Trump increased slightly among Republicans after he lashed out on Twitter over the weekend in a racially charged attack on four minority Democratic congresswomen, a Reuters/Ipsos public opinion poll shows."

"Trump, who is seeking re-election next year, has lost support, however, with Democrats and independents since the Sunday tweetstorm.

Among independents, about three out of 10 said they approved of Trump, down from four out of 10 a week ago. His net approval - the percentage who approve minus the percentage who disapprove - dropped by 2 points among Democrats in the poll."

This is the interesting part though:

"Trump’s overall approval remained unchanged over the past week. According to the poll, 41% of the U.S. public said they approved of his performance in office, while 55% disapproved."

In the last election there was a "private Trump bump," meaning people who would not publicly pledge support but who voted for him. That small group swung at least four key states but only by a fraction of a percentage and against a very easy competitor.

Again, he should win in a landslide, but absent a "private Trump bump" he is clearly losing and some suggest that "private trump bump" has become a "private Trump dump." In any event, if the numbers were accurate -- and all polls are dicey - he would lose because his base is seemingly not big enough (absent serious suppression and the impact of gerrymandering).

However, the GOP must think it is big enough because so far his strategy is solely focused on his base . . and presumably the GOP knows way more than any of us.

Interesting

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