Essentially, that he should be crushing the polls given the economy but that he's so unpopular OUTSIDE HIS BASE that he needs an electoral strategy
Here's the most important number in Trump's re-election bid
WASHINGTON — Notice a common number — or thereabouts — in the latest national NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll?
Trump’s percentage against Joe Biden in a hypothetical matchup: 42 percent.
His percentage against Bernie Sanders: 43 percent.
His percentage against Elizabeth Warren: 43 percent.
His percentage against Kamala Harris: 44 percent.
His job-approval rating: 45 percent.
And just to expand on this exercise, Trump’s job rating exactly a year ago in the NBC/WSJ poll was — you guessed it — 45 percent.
Ditto his job rating in the exit poll for the 2018 midterms.
It’s a reminder of how constant Trump’s numbers are, despite the always-changing news cycle … how similar Trump’s ballot numbers are to his job rating … and how perilous his political standing is given the overall state of the U.S. economy.
Incumbent presidents, especially those not facing a real primary challenge, have a baked-in advantage getting to focus on a general election for four years, instead of the four to five months the opposition gets.
And as we saw in 2016, a person can still win the electoral college by getting just 46 percent of the popular vote.
But don’t lose sight of just how unpopular the president of the United States is — and has been.
I still think he should win easily, but:
1) he will not be competing against someone with "unfavorable" numbers that match his own;
2) he has a record to run on and its bad, both in terms of policy and just overall feel, the economy again being the one exception;
3) he will not face a Democrat who thinks the swing states area lock
With these numbers in mind, it may make sense -- as disgusting as it is - that Trump (and now Graham) would try to gain some traction by trying to make the four Congresswomen the "face" of the Democratic party by using RACISM. In fact, you can see that effort paying off here in the Cove. But, talk about an uphill battle, at least outside of this base. Here's one recent example of how far out on the left the four are:
Pelosi teaches Ocasio-Cortez a math lesson
"The tension between Pelosi and Ocasio-Cortez has existed since before the latter was even sworn in, as they battled over a select committee on climate change. It was only a matter of time before it boiled over. But Pelosi, whose power derives from her ability to collect and count votes, didn't strike until the numbers were most clearly in her favor.
When she did, there were 227 Democrats in her camp and four in Ocasio-Cortez's. That's the kind of math lesson that should be hard to forget"
In other words, for all the talk on the right about the four, its hard to imagine them being more outside the Democrat's platform. 227-4. Ouch.
