(editted to fix omission) Since many Bucs fans are clamoring for the Bucs to draft a first round pick, here are the win-loss rookie records of all 29 first round QBs drafted since 2010 and some takeaways.
20 Losing Rookies (see below)
3 Winning Rookies Luck 11-5, Griffin 9-7, Jackson 6-1
2 Even Rookie Bridgewater 6-6, Watson 3-3
4 Bench to Bust Rookies 3 or less starts (Lynch, Manziel, Locker, Tebow)
1 Bench to Future starter (Mahomes 1-0 as rookie).
Takeaways
1) Only 1 out of 30, Mahomes, spent the first year holding a clipboard and went on to succeed. Teams don't draft a QB in the first round intending for them to hold a clipboard all year.
2) 21 started 10 or more games as a rookie, 72%, but only 2 of those had winning records. 10%. 1st Rd. Rookie QBs are going to play and they are going to lose.
3) Beware Bucs. You are in Bust Territory at 14. QBs picked 13-32: Haskins, Lynch, Manziel, Bridgewater, Manuel, Weeden, Tebow and Lamar Jackson. 5 flat out busts, 1 too soon to tell, 1 average, 1 very good.
2019
1 Kyler Murray 5-10-1
6 Daniel Jones 3-9
15 Dwayne Haskins 2-5
2018
1 Baker Mayfield 6-7
3 Sam Darnold 4-9
7 Josh Allen 5-6
10 Josh Rosen 3-10
32 Lamar Jackson 6-1
2017
2 Mitch Trubisky 4-8
10 Patrick Mahomes 1-0
12 Deshaun Watson 3-3
2016:
1. Jared Goff 0-7
2. Carson Wentz 7-9
26. Paxton Lynch 1-1
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2015:
1. Jameis Winston 6-10
2. Marcus Mariota 3-9
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2014:
3. Blake Bortles 3-10
22. Johnny Manziel 0-2
32. Teddy Bridgewater 6-6
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2013:
16. EJ Manuel 4-6
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2012:
1. Andrew Luck 11-5
2. Robert Griffin III 9-7
8. Ryan Tannehill 7-9
22. Brandon Weeden 5-10
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2011:
1. Cam Newton 6-10
8. Jake Locker 0-0
10. Blaine Gabbert 4-10
12. Christian Ponder 2-8
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2010:
1. Sam Bradford 7-9
25. Tim Tebow 1-2
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