I put 3* because there's always the chance that we can get 7, so 3 is worst case scenario.I was thinking about this yesterday when Lovie made the predictable call of going up by 6 instead of risking 3 vs 10. I knew he would make this move, because he's Lovie Smith, and I knew we would lose this game because a 6 point lead in the fourth quarter is basically chumming blood out the back of your boat in South Africa.Frankly, I don't understand the "conservative" logic here, and this is why.Scenario A - You kick the field goal. You're up 6, and after the kick-off, you're asking the opposing team to go 70-80 yards based on the kickoff to win the game. There is no tie optionScenario B - You go for it. you're going to be up 3 or up 10 and since 10 points ends the game, let's just go to why being up 3 really isn't that horrible. In this scenario, the opponent has to go roughly 60-70 yards to tie the game since you're presumably turning the ball over inside the 5. They would have to travel approx 95 to win.So, let's break things down here.Field Goal>Best Case: 6 point lead, team has to travel 70-80 yards to beat youGo for It>Best Case: 10 point lead, game over>Worst Case: 3 point lead, opponent has to travel 60-70 yards to tie, 90-100 to beat youSince a touch down beats you either way, you're actually making it that much easier to beat you, and because of the change in field position, you aren't actually giving your defense that much more room to work. Keep in mind how different a game plays out when you're calling plays from your goalline and that's just another factor to consider.I know our offense looked awful on the goalline possession, but to me, it makes damn near no sense to kick a field goal there and let them reset the field position, especially since it put us in a situation where there was no tie scenario and Washington HAD to go for our jugular.
