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Bucs Pass Rush & Pass Block Win Rate

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 tog
(@tog)
Posts: 154
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ESPN has a stat I really like called "Pass Block Win Rate" and "Pass Rush Win Rate".

The idea for the pass rush/block is measuring how often the pass rush wins in 2.5 seconds, and how well the OL holds up in 2.5 seconds.

The theory is that ball is normally out at 2.5 seconds, so that's how long the OL needs to hold up (and how quickly the pass rush needs to create pressure).

Of course, it's not perfect, but I think it's a very, very useful stat to help tease out the relationship between pass rush/coverage and pass blocking/scheme or QB.

Below, UP is good for pass rush, and RIGHT is good for pass blocking.

The pass rush has been very good in 2.5 seconds suggesting (unsurprisingly) that the coverage is making the pass rush look worse than it is. It's a different stat, but this disagrees with FO's "Adjusted Sack Rate" which has the Bucs DL 31st.

The pass blocking is just above average. To me, this is another data point putting the stake in the "Winston needs a better OL" or "no rookie QB can play behind this OL". The OL isn't great, it's average. It just needs a QB who can get rid of it quick and a scheme that doesn't require such a vertical set.

Pbwr Prwr

 
Posted : Nov. 25, 2019 10:54 am
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