Thanks for backing up my opinion. That is rare around here, but it's all good. Vegas overreacted to the Brady news, now maybe they are overreacting to the loss of Brady. Vegas knows what it's doing, but it doesn't have a crystal ball. The set the line based on getting equal action from both sides, and all anybody has to go on is the news stories. The narratives would support Vegas of course. 8-9 last year. No Brady. New OC, HC on the hot seat. Cap issues. QB questions. If you look at the news stories it doesn't add up to a lot of wins. But IMO they are forgetting one thing: This team still has some pretty good players.Here's a dopey fact for you. Vegas Over/Under for Bucs in 2022: 11.5 wins. Actual 8 wins. Difference = 3.5 games. Nice job, Vegas.This narrative that people are buying into, including Vegas, that Brady is gone
Vegas was built on idiots who had the line of thinking that Brady was a “garden variety QB like Andy Dalton”.
They built that entire city on the backs of dopes like you.
Like Java before I think you are quoting the "Vegas odds" after Brady said he was back. This is ONE commentary on that specific odd (over/under) at its from July. It made arguments on both sides, so this is just the under arguments BUT THE FIRST TWO WERE posted here often during season decline
Why You Should Bet the Under: Buccaneers Win Total in 2022
"
#1 Reason to bet the Under:
The Buccaneers allowed the fewest number of sacks in 2021 and benefited from unrepeatable offensive line health.The starting five linemen played 88% of offensive snaps together, while only four other teams had the same five linemen for over 50% of snaps.
Regression in terms of injury luck combined with two new starters likely taking time to adjust could cause lead to increased pressure for Brady."
#2 Reason to bet the Under:
The offense still has receiving question marks with the retirement of Rob Gronkowski and the status of Chris Godwin after he suffered an ACL injury in December and is likely to miss time early in the season.Brady operates an offense that gets the ball out quickly but also requires the receivers to win early as he averaged the second-fastest time to throw behind only Ben Roethlisberger.
Depth at wide receiver and tight end could hinder this offense with poor injury luck.
#3 Reason to bet the Under:
The defense played the easiest opposing passing offenses in 2021 and see a large jump in opposing quality of quarterbacks and offenses.The defense blitzed at the highest rate and had significantly more success against poorer starting quarterbacks.
Matthew Stafford defeated the Bucs twice while Dak Prescott and Josh Allen lost close games. The slate of opposing quarterbacks in 2022 is much stronger.
So although I am not trying to trash Vegas, I'll differ with them on this one. I'll take the over.
