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Bucs' top options with No. 1 pick

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From McShay: http://insider.espn.go.com/nfl/draft2015/story/_/id/12092065/tampa-bay-buccaneers-top-options-no-1-overall-pick-2015-nfl-draft?addata=2009_insdr_mod_nfl_xxx_xxx The Tampa Bay Buccaneers own the No. 1 overall pick in the 2015 NFL draft after finishing the season 2-14 (their lower strength of schedule gives them the nod over the Tennessee Titans, who will pick second overall). Which prospects are most likely to be taken with that top pick? And would the Bucs consider trading out of the No. 1 spot?Let's take a look at Tampa Bay's top options with the first overall selection. (And if you want to look back, check out my first mock draft from a few weeks ago.)1. Marcus Mariota, QB, Oregon DucksThe obvious question the Bucs are going to have to answer during the draft process is whether one of the top two QB prospects, Mariota and Florida State's Jameis Winston, is the right choice for them. Both guys have the potential to become high-level NFL quarterbacks, but both carry big risks. Winston's issues have to do with his off-field behavior, but for Mariota, it's the fact that he's good but not great at winning from the pocket. He'll need to become more consistent with his anticipation and ball placement from inside the pocket in order to excel at the NFL level as he adjusts to the much tighter throwing windows he'll encounter compared to what he's had at Oregon.These are the main concerns we're likely to discuss throughout Mariota's pre-draft process. But the bottom line is this: Who wins in the NFL without a good starting QB? Just look at the playoff teams: Other than the Cardinals, who have dealt with injuries recently at the position, there isn't a team without a capable starter, and most of the league's top quarterbacks will be playing in the postseason.And the Bucs don't have a long-term answer on their roster. Josh McCown clearly isn't one (he wasn't even the short-term answer this season), and Mike Glennon hasn't done much to make this organization think he's a potential franchise QB.So it's easy to see how the Bucs could ultimately decide to draft a quarterback, and Mariota doesn't carry with him the risk of Winston's off-field concerns, as he has outstanding intangibles. He is also a high-upside prospect because of his rare athletic ability for the position, and he's elite at throwing on the run.2. Jameis Winston, QB, Florida State SeminolesBased off of tape study, Winston is the No. 1 QB prospect in this class. It's his past behavioral issues that concern me, and that's why I currently have him ranked behind Mariota on our board. The Bucs, or any other team that considers drafting him (I had him going to the Titans with the No. 2 overall pick in my first mock draft a few weeks ago), are going to have to decide whether they're comfortable with him from a character, personality and psychological standpoint.From a talent standpoint, Winston offers a lot for NFL teams to like. He excels from inside the pocket and has a very strong, accurate arm. He also has displayed very good on-field leadership and game-management skills. If you limit things to his on-field performance, he should be Tampa Bay's pick at No. 1 overall.The Bucs already have a very good pair of wide receivers in Vincent Jackson and Mike Evans, who were productive this season despite the poor QB play. Mariota or Winston would be walking into a good situation, from that perspective.3. Trade back a few spots -- possibly with the Jets at No. 6 overallIf the Bucs were to decide that neither Mariota nor Winston was the right choice for them, they could target a trading partner a few picks back with a need at QB. One that immediately comes to the mind is the New York Jets, owners of the No. 6 overall pick. That's purely speculation on my part at this point, as the Jets have to hire a new GM and head coach before making any progress on their draft process, but let's use them as an example -- because there's no question they need an upgrade at QB -- to better explain the trade-back option for the Bucs.Tampa's top two needs after QB are at offensive tackle and pass-rusher. Iowa's Brandon Scherff is our top-rated OT prospect right now and would be a good option with the sixth overall pick, and either of the top two pass-rushers in this class -- Nebraska's Randy Gregory and Missouri's Shane Ray -- would be a good choice at that spot as well.The only other guy whose name should be mentioned as a possibility with the No. 1 pick is USC D-lineman Leonard Williams, our top-rated prospect, but I don't see him as a great fit for Tampa Bay. His ideal fit in the NFL is as a 3-4 defensive end, but he'd have to play defensive tackle in the Bucs' Tampa-2 defense. Interior defensive line isn't a huge need team given the presence of Gerald McCoy -- and they just invested in him with a contract extension worth nearly $100 million -- so I'd be surprised if they went with Williams over either of the QBs or the trade-back option.

 
Posted : Dec. 29, 2014 4:05 pm
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