Not really comparable at all quite frankly...
The comparison is that they done quit. In other words, the two things discussed -- ESPN Win Probability and SHUTTING THINGS DOWN - are not really related. I only say that because I couldn't find and example and there were two easy to find COUNTER examples from this week, including one I was watching at the moment.
Recall these are the still UNANSWERED questions I posed several pages back
I agree that statistically its unlikely and it may be in single digits BUT teams keep playing when there is a a chance.
So, are you saying you would've applauded Bowles for four kneel downs at 1:48?
Can you name another game where the behind NFL team did that only down two scores?
That ^^^ matters because the claim is some version of Bowles negligence" or "Bowles malpractice." LMAO, it's NOT either to align with the standard (ie NOT quitting). Negligence/Malpeiactice would be "kneels downs at 1:48." Not a single NFL coach (OR PLAYER . . hat tip to WT) that I could find appears to be looking at ESPN Analytics and saying "we have a 98.9 probability so . . lets just kneel down."