I blame Obama.
Because so much of what they do in college doesn't translate. Offensive systems create video game stats that don't show ability to make real throws. Throwing windows are insanely tighter in the NFL. Defenses and offenses are light years more complex.
I'd say this is one of the biggest issues (especially windows) and you see it the most in accuracy/picks. Guys who look accurate in college (especially on tv, where you don't get as good a sense for the anticipation/ball placement necessary to excel in the pros) often can't adjust to the speed of the game in the pros. I suspect that it's very difficult to scout as well - why? Because in college you can have great success without it - why would a QB throw open a player, when player on the other side of the field is wide open? Overall, it's just an awfully hard job and there are only 10 guys in any given season who do it very good - great. You've got to be able to process an enormous amount of information in seconds with 300+ lb. people flying at you at inhuman speeds. It ain't easy. And there's a sample size to the thing as well. The NFL is an "any given Sunday" league - that's 16 games to be on task. That's not the case in college, where most colleges face their share of creampuffs on the schedule.
All of the above but one has to also consider that often times,, QB's have come from a system that compliments their skills and they may go to a system that does not mesh with their skill sets, so you have wrong QB in the worng system being coached by coaches who may not be there next year. With the turnover of coaching staffs, 30% or more per year, it's not surprising to me that a ton of these guys flame out in short order. That said, it's the nature of the beast.
NCAA teams can build a team around a QB with a certain skill set (See Urban Myer/Tim Tebow); however in the NFL you are a player on a roster and coaches will have plays and a gameplan as you can't afford to build a team around one player.also in the NFL everyone is a freakish athlete at the top of their game, whereas the NCAA you have players playing for the love of the game and have no intention of playing pro so these future NFL players will own them on a regular basis creating mis matches that makes a average QB look like he has the accuracy of Peyton Manning. Also, time in the pocket allows a QB to establish a rhythm, a luxury not given in the NFL.if all you have is a highlight video of John Doe throwing 50+ TDs and running 1000+ yrds, fans are going to assume he's the next coming; what they didn't realize is that most of those yrds and TD's came from a CB who's going to help run his dads company against an NFL level player and LB's pondering the effect of the chaos theory
A LOT of it is bad coaching. Some of these busts have had horrible coaching.
hmm...like Trent Dilfer, Kyle Boller, Billy Volek, David Carr, Akili Smith, Joey Harrington, and A.J. Feeley.
IMO we are going to see a lot more QBs come out of college into rather quick success. The rate of success will be greater than it was before, as the rule changes will give these kids a much easier road than the old systems did.
I definitely agree with that 'doc.
The sitting and waiting was a bad trend. Rookies should be able to come in start if they are the better QB.
transition to the NFL game, scheme, complexity of NFL defenses and the mere fact as has been pointed out the college game has gimmicky type offenses. And some of it is the coaching staffs that draft these kids.
