If you’re a football fan and you haven’t heard of Football Outsiders’ DVOA metric then you might not be as obsessed with football as you think you are. DVOA is defined as “team efficiency ratings measured by a proprietary Defense-adjusted Value Over Average (DVOA) system that breaks down every single NFL play and compares a team’s performance to a league baseline based on situation in order to determine value over average.” The too long; didn’t read version is that it measures efficiency and efficient teams should win a lot of games.
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers
DVOA 7 Record 2-2
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are a .500 team. They’ve really only looked good against the Panthers and Rams. They lost to the Giants at home. Their offensive line has been up and down. Their running back situation is weird because Ronald Jones looks like the better back. Jameis Winston is turnover prone. The Bucs are a top-10 team according to DVOA.
Tampa has a chance to go for the top spot in the NFC South if they can beat the Saints this week — we’ll get to New Orleans later — and if DVOA is any indication of how good the Bucs are, they’ll be going to London with a 3-2 record.
3 teams with efficiency ratings that don't match their records
