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They had us at 7-9 before the first game, we dropped to 5-11 after. They don't use emotion to make the call, so statistically that was even worse than 'just' losing one game (that we were expected to win).
Before
1446 Tampa Bay NFC South 7-9 -49.5 17% 9% 3% <1%
After
1404 Tampa Bay 0-1 NFC South 5-11 -91.8 7% 4% <1% <1%
Carolina Game
ELO POINT SPREAD WIN PROB.
Tampa Bay 30%
Carolina -6 70%
They only have us favored in two games the rest of the season now (Giants/Cardinals), can't see what it was before this disastrous first week though.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2019-nfl-predictions/games/
Posted : Sep. 10, 2019 3:53 am
