Mocking the first 6 picks

nitey · 2014-02-23T15:33:32Z

#1 Houston Texans - Teddy Bridgewater (QB) -There will be a lot of talk about Houston trading down here or even picking Clowney with the 1st pick, but ultimately I think the Texans stay put and pick Teddy Bridgewater as their quarterback. Resisting pressure from the fans to pick Johnny Manziel, Bridgewater is just the most NFL ready and least bustable of the top quarterbacks in my opinion. There is no better option available in free agency or for trade. I'm 90% sure this is going to be their pick.#2 St. Louis Rams - Trade down - With their own pick sitting at #13, the Rams would like nothing better than to auction this pick off to a team that either covets Clowney, Bortles or Manziel. My guess is that team is going to be Cleveland that is going to jump the Jags for the opportunity to draft Bortles.I think Atlanta is a possibility here, but I actually think if they are going to trade up, it will be with Jacksonville and only if Clowney is available. If no one trades with the Rams, I think the Rams will take Jake Matthews or Greg Robinson.#2 Cleveland Browns - Trade up from 4 and take Blake Bortles (QB) - Afraid that Jacksonville will take Bortles at #3, Cleveland will trade with the Rams to make sure that they get him. Cleveland has extra picks this year and I suspect that they can just offer more than Jacksonville for the 2nd pick. Again, this assumes that the Browns love Bortles more than Manziel, but I think they do.#3 Jacksonville Jaguars - Jadeveon Clowney (DE) - I think Jacksonville, now that they lost out on Bortles, will focus on taking a quarterback in round #2 and will pick Clowney as their consolation prize. I believe that they will listen to offers from Atlanta and others for this pick, but ultimately Jacksonville makes the pick.#4 St. Louis Rams - Trade with Cleveland - pick Jake Matthews (OT) - This pick could be Greg Robinson instead as both are listed as 1a and 1b on a lot of boards, however, Jake Matthews has a bit more flexibility in the positions on the line he can play, so he gets my nod.#5 Oakland Raiders - Johnny Manziel (QB) - I think Manziel is a real possiblity here. Oakland needs a quarterback and Manziel just seems like the player that could fire up the fans in Oakland. If Big Al was still alive I'd say this was a slam dunk pick. Like a a lot analysts, I think Sammy Watkins will get a lot of consideration here.#6 Atlanta Falcons - Greg Robinson (OT) - I think Atlanta will go and get a DE in free agency and rebuild their offensive line in front to Ryan. As much as they talk about a edge rusher, they can't let Ryan take another beating like he did last year. The only other guy I think the Falcons would covet is Clowney, but I don't think that they can convince Jacksonville to part with the #3 pick. Mack is certainly a possibility here, but there aren't a lot of good offensive line options in free agency and there ARE a lot of potential edge rushers. And that brings us to the Bucs at #7 - There are a lot of options on the board now, Sammy Watkins, Khalil Mack, Timmy Jernigan, Taylor Lewan and CJ Mosley. Unfortunately, with none of the top 3 quarterbacks left, there isn't any player that is likely to be coveted enough for a trade other than possibly Watkins which we would also be looking at. Assuming that the draft fell close to this, with or without trades, I'm pretty sure that we will be choosing between Watkins, Mack or Jernigan with Taylor Lewan another guy in the mix. With all the nonsense going on with Williams, if Watkins is there at #7, I don't see any way we can pass him up. However, if the team has a 'Come to Jesus' meeting with Williams and he appears to straighten himself out over the next couple of months, I could see us taking Mack. Finally, if WR or DE isn't a real pressing need, Lewan has moved up the boards and is now in the top ten and really helped himself at the combine yesterday so Lewan could also be considered here.I'm pretty sure, at least 2 of the top 3 quarterbacks are going to be off the board before we pick. I believe if one is left it will be Manziel and I'm not sure the Bucs will want the circus that might surround him in the off season. I also really don't see any team trading with us at #7 to get Manziel, unless someone is convinced that Minnesota will pick him and wants him bad enough to jump ahead of the Vikings and quite honestly I don't see anyone under the Vikings that would do that. So my best guess at this point is that the Bucs will take either Watkins, Mack, Jernigan or even possibly Lewan at #7 (my preference is in that order) and if those were the 4 guys; whom we take will be determined mostly by how free agency shakes out. Of course. the combine hasn't fully passed so it's possible that someone else will jump up into consideration at a later point. But if those were the 4 choices, I honestly would be happy with any of them (even Manziel, if he's available and the Bucs choose him).

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Cabin Boy Guest

Absolutely - FA will matter - but Rams have the third worst "effective cap space" (current cap minus space needed for rookies) in the NFL.

Posted : Feb. 23, 2014 6:46 pm

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Mocking the first 6 picks

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