Let me first say that I would absolutely support a trade-up for RT Wills. His tape is fantastic and he's a dominator. He would be a stalwart RT for 10 years for us (4 of which would be significantly undervalue for his play level).
But that isn't going to happen. Licht just doesn't make that kind of move.
So, my guess is that all 4 top tier OTs are off the board, leaving us a decision between Kinlaw, Chaisson, or one of the top WRs. Here is what I would do instead of one of those picks and I think this all coming together is a fairly reasonable scenario (given that Licht likes to move down early and likes to move up later):
1) Trade down to Minnesota to 22 for their 2nd and their 4th (basically a 40 point move-up tax so they can select they WR to replace Diggs).
Select OT Josh Jones
I don't love him, but he's a solid prospect (with the warts I outlined in my breakdown; base width/plays high, doesn't shoot hands nearly as well or as effectively as I'd like in Pass Pro, space play is sometimes great...sometimes pretty poor). He's clearly the best of the rest OTs in this draft.
2) Trade up from 42 to late 1st from our own 2nd using our 3rd.
Select Edge Zack Baun
(who I think is the best Edge prospect in this draft...yes, I definitely like him more than Chaisson). Good/consistent snap anticipation, RIDICULOUS burst, bend, dip and rip + finish capability. Very good in space as well. For as light as he is, he's extremely good at setting the edge (technically sound + great leverage).
3) Minnesota's (late) 2nd round pick.
Select FS Antoine Winfield.
45.5 Passer Rating Allowed, 7 Picks. Fantastic football instincts + processing coupled with his ridiculous 10 yard split (rare, rare burst) make a player who can read a play, break on the ball, get there and do something about it when he's there. I think there is a very real possibility he is the best Safety in this class.
4) Trade up to late 3rd from our 4th using 4th rd Comp.
Select RB Akers or Moss (in that order...whoever is there).
Both break tackles both at the 1st level and in space and they make people miss. Both are assets in the passing game.
4th: Trade up to top 10 in 4th from Minnie’s pick using 5th.
Slect WR/RB Gibson
Tackle-breaker with great open field vision. He's somewhat route-limited in the WR tree (or at least he has a TON of work to do to improve certain routes), but there are plenty of routes that he runs extremely well (particularly verts) and he competes for the football and catches it easily. He can be an asset in the Jet Sweep game (if we actually use it) and absolutely in the Bubble/Smoke Screen game. He can even carry the football on gimmick plays from long down and distance (particularly Gap plays where he's following a GUard...which is what he did almost exclusively in college). This is a guy that can stay on the field all the time due to sub-package versatility.
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That about does it.
Starting and future OT (great cap savings)
Fantastic Edge prospect (great cap savings w/ 5the year option)
FS with all the ball skills, range, processing, burst you want.
RBs who break tackles and make plays in the passing game (and are on the contract you want).
