NFC ceiling/floor scenarios: High variance for Dallas, ArizonaBy Elliot Harrison NFL.comPublished: Sept. 1, 2015 
Is Green Bay going 13-3 ... or 9-7?What about, say, the Dolphins? Are they an 11-5 AFC East division winner ... or destined to toil in the sub-.500 range?With the all-important third week of the preseason in the rearview, I've been assigned to find ceilings and floors for all 32 teams. This means answering two questions. First, what will each team's record be if everything goes right? Like, if Carson Palmer throws over 30 touchdown passes, how many wins will Bruce Arians' group accumulate? On the flip side, what will the floor be if Jeremy Hill slumps in Cincy, or Darren McFadden is more Walk than Run DMC in Big D?Below, you'll find both scenarios -- and how each would come to pass -- for every NFC team. Before we dive in, though, I'd like to point out one important note: Health issues are only mentioned if they are pre-existing conditions -- like Arian Foster's groin ailment in Houston or Peyton Manning's 39 years on Planet Earth. Let's be honest: About 26 teams in the league would be absolutely doomed if their starting quarterback went down. So there's no reason to explore random injury hypotheticals. Every other potential eventuality is in play.Take a gander below, and feel free to share your thoughts about the best-case scenario or basement script for your team (or any team, for that matter): @HarrisonNFL is the place.NFC SOUTHATLANTA FALCONSCeiling: 10-6. Somehow, some way, the Falcons could eke out double-digit wins. Though I don't think even the most ardent fan in Atlanta -- the guy with a framed poster of Jessie Tuggle -- feels that way. The defense has to generate some kind of fierce pass rush (despite limited personnel on that front) and Tevin Coleman has to be a difference-making back in Year 1.Floor: 4-12. Big swing here for this Falcons team. Dan Quinn's motivational tactics would have to fall flat for Atlanta to win less than five games. Jacob Tamme would be a complete non-factor at tight end, and Roddy White would significantly slow down at wideout in Year 11. Most crucially, in this scenario, Vic Beasley would fail to provide a lift in the pass rush.CAROLINA PANTHERS Ceiling: 10-6. This Panthers club probably could have been better than the one that went 12-4 two years ago -- IF Kelvin Benjamin were healthy. Of course, that won't be the case this season. If Devin Funchess grows up quickly, Cam Newton uses his legs to mask his inefficiency as a thrower and Jonathan Stewart proves he can be a full-time back, double-digit wins might be in the cards.Floor: 6-10. Carolina should win the NFC South for the third consecutive season, but 6-10 isn't that far a drop from the Panthers' 7-8-1 campaign of a year ago. Honestly, I see this team winning the division at 9-6-1. (That's right, give the Panthers another tie.) However, if Newton tries to prove he is a pocket passer, the fun rookie class of 2014 stinks in 2015 and the defense can't carry Carolina down the stretch again ...NEW ORLEANS SAINTSCeiling: 10-6. In a world where these Saints log 10 wins ... Mark Ingram rushes for 1,000-plus yards and 10 touchdowns, with Sean Payton effectively shifting New Orleans to a steady ball-control offense. Drew Brees is not asked to carry the team. Brandin Cooks at least comes close to living up to ridiculously high fantasy expectations (give him 90 catches for 1,150 yards and 10 touchdowns). C.J. Spiller equals Darren Sproles 2.0. And Rob Ryan's defense doesn't finish in the bottom five.Floor: 6-10. New Orleans should win more than six games ... but if the pass rush is punchless and the club gets nothing out of Jairus Byrd again, no bueno. In this six-win scenario, Ingram regresses to the non-halcyon days of 2011-13, while Cooks fails to take the next step. And the defense gets another year of 2014 Kenny Vaccaro, as opposed to the rookie stud of 2013.TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERSCeiling: 9-7. Tampa relives the glory days of 1979 again if ... Jameis Winston pulls a Doug Williams (by developing rather quickly) and the defense even comes close to what those old John McKay teams did with Lee Roy Selmon coming off the edge. In this scenario, Lavonte David becomes a strong candidate to knock J.J. Watt off his Defensive Player of the Year perch, while Austin Seferian-Jenkins scores 10 times.Floor: 3-13. There's no way the Bucs can go 2-14 again, right? Uh ... unless Doug Martin can't get anything behind a putrid offensive line. And Mike Evans endures the same kind of sophomore slump Martin suffered back in 2013. Devoid of help, Winston forces enough balls to throw 26 picks. Meanwhile, opposing QBs enjoy 26 seconds to throw the ball.For the entire NFC.....link