Tampa Bay Buccaneers 31, New Orleans Saints 28
1 p.m. ET (FOX) | Mercedes-Benz Superdome (New Orleans)
1) Jameis Winston plays like a mad bomber out of the 1970s when he gets protection, which has been rare in his career. It's happened the last two weeks, and suddenly his top two wideouts (Chris Godwin and Mike Evans) are on pace for over 1,450 yards each.
2) The Bucs' defense is impossible to run against (allowing 2.9 yards per carry), so can Teddy Bridgewater throw enough to win? The Saints' lack of receiver depth is glaring, with Bridgewater completing one pass (a screen) that gained over 10 yards and wasn't to Michael Thomas. Teddy doesn't display the same feel for the position that he had in Minnesota. In a matchup where rushing yards will be tough to come by for both teams, I trust Jameis (gulp) more.
3) The Bucs are seventh in Football Outsiders' overall team efficiency, while the Saints are 21st. The Saints haven't gained 300 yards of total offense since Week 1. This wouldn't be that big an upset.
