Assuming Seattle wins
Tiebreaker situation with Falcons is not good. First their schedule is very easy: at Rams, vs 49ers, at Panthers, vs Saints. We each have 1 division loss and record vs common opponents is 5-3 for Atlanta and 5-4 for the Bucs. If both teams win out the Falcons win the South. If the Bucs go 3-1 with a loss to Dallas we need Atlanta to lose to Car or NO to win Division. If they lose to Rams or 49ers then it would even up everything and go to strength of victory which we might get.
Assume 3-1 with loss to Dallas and Falcons win south....
I got into many arguments about this today but the Lions beating the Saints was not good for the Bucs. There is a real scenario where DET is 10-6 with an 8-4 conference record and Green Bay wins North.
Common games between Lions and Bucs
Bears
Saints
Cowboys
Rams
Lions are undefeated and Bucs lost to Rams. Lions would win tiebreaker unless we beat Dallas and the loss is to Carolina, not realistic.
Common games with Giants
Saints
Cowboys
Rams
Bears
Giants are already 4-0 with a win vs Dallas.
Redskins could go 4-0 which would put them up on us if we go 3-1.
The Giants play Dallas, DET and WAS. They're going to collapse or knock people down. But I cannot stress enough how important it is for DET to win North. I think we're going to have a situation where we're watching SNF football Week 17 with DET having a playoff spot clinched but playing for division. If GB wins we're out and
If DET wins we're in. I think Giants or Redskins take other spot, whoever wins week 17.
