2015 NFL season over/under win total picks for NFC: Vikings a surprise teamBy Will Brinson | NFL Writer CBS SportsJune 1, 2015 
We have several months of talking about how every NFL player lost enough weight to get in the best shape of his life, which probably primes him for a breakout season in 2015. Things are really looking up for everyone. To pass the time in a more meaningful way, let's take our first look at the NFL season win totals for the entire league instead.We started with the AFC, division by division with lines courtesy of Sportsbook.ag. We'll circle back and check on these as we get closer to the season but for now it's a good barometer of expectations for every team out there.For the sake of full disclosure, I went 17-12-3 with my May 2012 picks and 16-16 with my May 2013 picks. Last year I went 10-5-1 in the AFC and OH GOD 3-13 in the NFC. That's embarrassing to put in print. I can kind of explain it ... I thought every NFC South team would beat their total (WHOOPS), was really down on the Cowboys (HAHA) and liked the Bears to make noise in the NFC North and potentially upstage the Packers (...). At least I had the Cardinals as my lead-pipe lock.Weird that the two conferences flipped this year after they were 10-6 and 6-10 for me the year before. We're going plus-.500 in both of them this season.For those that don't know, the numbers next to the over and under represent the juice. If you want to win $100 on the over you need to bet $130. If you bet $100 on the under you would win $100.NFC South Carolina Panthers, 8.5 winsOver (+105) / Under (-135)If you were picking any team from this division to hold steady in 2015 it would be the Panthers. Unfortunately, that might not be a compliment. Carolina became the first team to win the South in back-to-back seasons and it wouldn't be a surprise if they pulled off the three-peat. The offense will be better with Devin Funchess and Daryl Williams added through the draft and Ted Ginn back via free agency. It won't be explosive, but it should be red-zone efficient. The defense adds Shaq Thompson, who doesn't necessarily slot in perfectly but gives the Panthers another talented athlete to use in the linebacking corps. Thomas Davis/Luke Kuechly/Shaq has to be the best LB unit in the league, right? Unfortunately this schedule is BRUTAL. Carolina could get off to a hot start but hosting Philly, Green Bay and Indy in the span of 14 days after coming off a trip to Seattle? Ouch.VERDICT: UNDERNew Orleans Saints, 9 winsOver (+110) / Under (-140)Friendly number from Vegas here toward the Saints after their miserable offseason. The draft didn't bring a ton of impact guys to this team but the offense has been remade in a manner that resembles the championship team Sean Payton previously trotted out. Trading Jimmy Graham for Max Unger, signing C.J. Spiller, bringing back Mark Ingram, drafting Andrus Peat? All those moves point to a team that's going to run the ball a ton. The defense has to be better by default. There's still talent in the secondary with Keenan Lewis, Kenny Vaccaro and Jairus Byrd. Drew Brees will put up big numbers regardless of who he's playing with. I'm back to buying again, sigh.VERDICT: OVERAtlanta Falcons, 8.5 winsOver (-105) / Under (-125)Believing in Dan Quinn isn't a hard thing to do. He comes from the Pete Carroll school of enthusiastic competition and he plays Kris Kross at Falcons practices. The latter had me sold right away. But can he really transform this defense immediately? Vic Beasley will be an impact player in this defense, Jalen Collins could boost a young, talented secondary. It had to be a better unit, but I'm not sure I buy it's going to be elite immediately. On offense this team is going to put up points with Matt Ryan, Julio Jones, Roddy White and some combo of Tevin Coleman/Devonta Freeman running things in the backfield.VERDICT: UNDERTampa Bay Buccaneers, 6 winsOver (Even) / Under (-130)Are you on or off the Jameis Winston bandwagon? Ultimately that's how you decide where you go with this. Seven wins isn't crazy for the Bucs but I'm not buying Winston as a guy who can come in and win a ton of games for Tampa Bay. I think he's the most "pro ready" quarterback in this class and will probably have more immediate success than Marcus Mariota, but I also think he's going to throw 30 interceptions. Yes, THIRTY. Having Mike Evans and Vincent Jackson on the roster is a big plus. Lavonte David might be the most underrated defensive player in the league, Gerald McCoy is a stud and this defense should be better than last year. But the schedule is slotted out poorly for a strong season from this team. Lots of back-to-back road games against tough teams and pairs of home games. I see six as the top end here.VERDICT: UNDERFor every team...link
