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Vegas knows what they're doing!

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Avatar Of Trask Force
(@catherder)
Posts: 2073
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Topic starter
 

The prediction this year is 8.5 wins.  The last two years they've totally missed the mark, off by 2.5 and 3 games.  This time they chickened out and predicted exactly 500.  That way how wrong can they be?  Yes, they can still be wrong.

But my question to you is, if Vegas once again misses by 2.5 games, how many wins will the Bucs have?  11 or 6?

 
Posted : Mar. 28, 2024 10:29 am
White Tiger
(@white-tiger)
Posts: 1721
First Mate
 

They’re consistently low on Bucs on the over. I’m hoping that 2.5 to 3 gets slotted to the positive side. 

I think last year’s defensive picks should step up in 2024 - so it kind of hinges on who we add. If we can get Verse, or even Robinson (while picking up a a corner & iOL on day 2) - I’d say 9 to 10 games.

If we whiff on edge/cb - 6 to 8.

 
Posted : Mar. 28, 2024 10:45 am
Alldaway 2.0 reacted
Avatar Of Badabingbucs
(@badabingbucs)
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Posted by: @catherder

The prediction this year is 8.5 wins.  The last two years they've totally missed the mark, off by 2.5 and 3 games.  This time they chickened out and predicted exactly 500.  That way how wrong can they be?  Yes, they can still be wrong.

But my question to you is, if Vegas once again misses by 2.5 games, how many wins will the Bucs have?  11 or 6?

 

i think we are more likely to have 6 wins than 11 wins.  Guess it depends on how well we do in the draft.

we have been a .500 team the last 2 years and as comparing to last year, i wouldn't argue we got better.  We lost Carlton Davis, Devin White, Shaq Barrett and are replacing them with Zyon, Britt, and JTR?  yeah as mediocre as White and Barrett were last year, we have not upgraded the team.

but more than the .500 roster make up we have had, the schedule is brutal next year. Very difficult games at home versus 49ers, Baltimore and road game against KC.  Likely 3 losses there.  We also have games where we may be underdogs at home versus Eagles and road versus Dallas and Detroit.  Maybe looking 1 -2 in that stretch so 1-5 in those gauntlet of games.

Our ceiling would be 4-2 in the division so that gets us to 5-7 with 5 games

3 at home - WAS, DEN, LV and two on road - NYG and LAC.  That is looking like a 4-1 at best so that gets us to 9-8.  so is it more likely we go 0-3 in the PHI-DAL-DET game or or 3-0?  yeah.  if i were betting and had to choose 6 or 11...i'm going 6.  

 

 
Posted : Mar. 28, 2024 10:56 am
Alldaway 2.0 reacted
Avatar Of Seekpar
(@seekpar)
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I said this in a different thread, due to the difficult schedule, could be anywhere from 7-10 to 10-7. I don't see 11 wins, but I also don't see 6 wins either. Most likely 9-8.

 
Posted : Mar. 28, 2024 11:41 am
Alldaway 2.0 reacted
Avatar Of Badabingbucs
(@badabingbucs)
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Posted by: @seekpar

I said this in a different thread, due to the difficult schedule, could be anywhere from 7-10 to 10-7. I don't see 11 wins, but I also don't see 6 wins either. Most likely 9-8.

 

oh yeah to be clear, i am not calling for 6 wins, just saying i find it more likely than 11.

depends what bi polar team shows up.  do we get the 3-1 stretch or 6-2 stretch or do we get the 1-6 stretch we encountered in the middle of the season?

 

 

 

 
Posted : Mar. 28, 2024 11:45 am
Avatar Of Trask Force
(@catherder)
Posts: 2073
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Topic starter
 

I'm not predicting 6 or 11 either, but I do think this could be a boom or bust team.  Last year they limited the turnovers and the injuries.  If either of those become a persistant problem that could not bode well.  I think they could get 9 or even 10 wins.  I don't see them getting to 11 at this early stage.  So I'd say 6 is more likely than 11.  

 
Posted : Mar. 28, 2024 1:12 pm
Avatar Of Blayton Cigsby
(@bucsbits)
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Posted by: @badabingbucs

we have been a .500 team the last 2 years and as comparing to last year, i wouldn't argue we got better

 

this is a good point and an interesting topic IF you look at last season as sort of a tale of two season.  In other words, are the 2024 Bucs starting from the 9-8 Bucs of 2023 or are they more like the team tat won 5 out of 6 at the end and then won the first playoff game?

 

Too lazy to look for precision but I think the 1996 Bucs team had a losing season, but were winning at the end and then the next year started 5-0 and finished in the playoffs?

The 2024 Bucs have a really tough schedule and lack the talent on that 1997 team BUT maybe we  surprise some people?  who knows.  Thats why its fun to watch!

 
Posted : Mar. 28, 2024 2:53 pm
Avatar Of Theknees
(@theknees)
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Vegas is more way off, than they are on the nose.  I suspect this team competes every week and wins 10-11 games. 

 
Posted : Mar. 28, 2024 3:09 pm
Alldaway 2.0
(@alldaway)
Posts: 1430
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If the Bucs land an interior OL and edge from the draft while adding young drafted players everywhere else they will fly under the radar again.  I honestly feel that this team left a lot of wins on the field the last two years. 

 
Posted : Mar. 28, 2024 4:01 pm
Avatar Of Donkey_Hunter
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Posted by: @badabingbucs

oh yeah to be clear, i am not calling for 6 wins, just saying i find it more likely than 11.

Agreed. 

The division will most likely come down to the last week. 

 
Posted : Mar. 28, 2024 8:16 pm
Avatar Of Blayton Cigsby
(@bucsbits)
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Posted by: @donkey_hunter

Posted by: @badabingbucs

oh yeah to be clear, i am not calling for 6 wins, just saying i find it more likely than 11.

Agreed. 

The division will most likely come down to the last week. 

 

this would make for a particularly exciting season

 

 
Posted : Mar. 28, 2024 8:49 pm
White Tiger reacted
M_J
 m_j
(@m_j)
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far too early to tell, but at this point knowing our schedule  8,5 is just fine

 
Posted : Mar. 29, 2024 6:43 am
Alldaway 2.0 reacted
Avatar Of Detrimental
(@detrimental)
Posts: 522
Boatswain
 

Division got better this year, and we're playing a harder schedule. Health and player development will be crucial. Need Kancey, Mauch, and Zyon to step up

 
Posted : Mar. 29, 2024 9:38 am
Avatar Of Jc5100
(@jc5100)
Posts: 1449
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"Vegas" job is to get an equal amount of money on both sides so they can profit off the vig. If the money was moving in one direction they would change the line. 

 
Posted : Mar. 29, 2024 9:40 am
Avatar Of Theknees
(@theknees)
Posts: 104
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Posted by: @jc5100

"Vegas" job is to get an equal amount of money on both sides so they can profit off the vig. If the money was moving in one direction they would change the line. 

 

Vegas doesn't have a "job". 

 

 
Posted : Mar. 29, 2024 10:16 am
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