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Week 7 Props/Lines/Bets

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Avatar Of Firebowles2023
(@firebowles2023)
Posts: 4949
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Bucs getting Morrison back and maybe McCollum will be huge and might make the player prop bets for lions a little less likely... I still took a lot of the same ones as you.

I also did Mayfield and Goff combined yards 510


 
Posted : Oct. 19, 2025 11:09 am
Theknees
(@theknees)
Posts: 428
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Posted by: @donkey_hunter

Popular (+60% of money) NFL Week 7 bets at MGM Grand

89% on Patriots -7

83% on Lions -5.5

77% on Chargers -1.5

74% on Packers -6.5

66% on Seahawks -3

63% on Giants +7

62% on Raiders +12

62% on Browns -2.5

60% on Cowboys +2

60% on Eagles -2

Bias aside, if I ever see 80% of the betting public on one side I go the other way.  

In fact, I think this weekend belongs to the underdogs, with the exception of the Chiefs -12.5.  I think they cover that. 

 


 
Posted : Oct. 19, 2025 11:21 am
Avatar Of Feelindangerous06
(@feelindangerous06)
Posts: 444
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Missed a 10-legger by one yard, lol.

 

here's the one thathit:

 

Mahomes passing OVER 250yds

Rice OVER 40yds rec

Kelce OVER 25YDS

Mahones OVER 10 yds rushing

Kareem Hunt OVER 15 yds rushing

$50/$157.


 
Posted : Oct. 19, 2025 4:46 pm
Avatar Of Feelindangerous06
(@feelindangerous06)
Posts: 444
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Posted by: @theknees

Posted by: @donkey_hunter

Popular (+60% of money) NFL Week 7 bets at MGM Grand

89% on Patriots -7

83% on Lions -5.5

77% on Chargers -1.5

74% on Packers -6.5

66% on Seahawks -3

63% on Giants +7

62% on Raiders +12

62% on Browns -2.5

60% on Cowboys +2

60% on Eagles -2

Bias aside, if I ever see 80% of the betting public on one side I go the other way.  

In fact, I think this weekend belongs to the underdogs, with the exception of the Chiefs -12.5.  I think they cover that. 

 

 

 

DINGDINGDINGDING, we have a winner, lol

 


 
Posted : Oct. 19, 2025 5:32 pm
Avatar Of Donkey_Hunter
(@donkey_hunter)
Posts: 5297
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Posted by: @feelindangerous06

Missed a 10-legger by one yard, lol.

 

here's the one thathit:

 

Mahomes passing OVER 250yds

Rice OVER 40yds rec

Kelce OVER 25YDS

Mahones OVER 10 yds rushing

Kareem Hunt OVER 15 yds rushing

$50/$157.

🍻

 


 
Posted : Oct. 19, 2025 7:18 pm
Avatar Of Feelindangerous06
(@feelindangerous06)
Posts: 444
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Posted by: @donkey_hunter

Posted by: @feelindangerous06

Missed a 10-legger by one yard, lol.

 

here's the one thathit:

 

Mahomes passing OVER 250yds

Rice OVER 40yds rec

Kelce OVER 25YDS

Mahones OVER 10 yds rushing

Kareem Hunt OVER 15 yds rushing

$50/$157.

🍻

 

 

Might an issue on my side, but your pic/link or whatever isn't working.  Plz fix soon so i don't have to go to bed wondering what you posted.

 


 
Posted : Oct. 19, 2025 7:29 pm
Avatar Of Donkey_Hunter
(@donkey_hunter)
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Posted by: @feelindangerous06

Posted by: @donkey_hunter

Posted by: @feelindangerous06

Missed a 10-legger by one yard, lol.

 

here's the one thathit:

 

Mahomes passing OVER 250yds

Rice OVER 40yds rec

Kelce OVER 25YDS

Mahones OVER 10 yds rushing

Kareem Hunt OVER 15 yds rushing

$50/$157.

🍻

 

 

Might an issue on my side, but your pic/link or whatever isn't working.  Plz fix soon so i don't have to go to bed wondering what you posted.

 

It was a couple of beer glasses "clinking" each other. 

Cheers, mate!

 


 
Posted : Oct. 19, 2025 7:32 pm
Avatar Of Feelindangerous06
(@feelindangerous06)
Posts: 444
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Posted by: @donkey_hunter

Posted by: @feelindangerous06

Posted by: @donkey_hunter

Posted by: @feelindangerous06

Missed a 10-legger by one yard, lol.

 

here's the one thathit:

 

Mahomes passing OVER 250yds

Rice OVER 40yds rec

Kelce OVER 25YDS

Mahones OVER 10 yds rushing

Kareem Hunt OVER 15 yds rushing

$50/$157.

🍻

 

 

Might an issue on my side, but your pic/link or whatever isn't working.  Plz fix soon so i don't have to go to bed wondering what you posted.

 

It was a couple of beer glasses "clinking" each other. 

Cheers, mate!

 

 

 

Thank you, sir.  you're a scholar and a gentleman!

 


 
Posted : Oct. 19, 2025 7:36 pm
Avatar Of Donkey_Hunter
(@donkey_hunter)
Posts: 5297
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Posted by: @donkey_hunter

Going to do some deeper dives into the Bucs/Lions matchup, with props. 

Right now, my favorite is probably:

Jared Goff OVER 299.5 passing yards at +210. ($500 wins $1,550)

While Goff is only averaging 232 ypg and only one 300+ yard outing this year; his numbers against Todd' defense have been astronomical. 

5 games (2019 - 2024):

517 yards

376 yards

353 yards

307 yards

287 yards

Total - 1,840 yards (368 ypg average)

 

 

Took it plus the over 2 TD's. 

Also took the LaPorta ATD.

Took Bucs ML.

And, took a Bucs ML with Evans and Otton ATD's. 

 


 
Posted : Oct. 20, 2025 6:15 pm
Avatar Of Blayton Cigsby
(@bucsbits)
Posts: 8495
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Just curious if even one of the bets discussed in this thread landed? They are all misses?

if the lines are right they are bringing action both ways and some of the bets discussed have a good rationale but still didn't land, right?

fascinating because the game doesn't play out as one might expect 

genuinely curious, if either of you are willing to discuss 


 
Posted : Oct. 20, 2025 10:03 pm
Avatar Of Firebowles2023
(@firebowles2023)
Posts: 4949
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I mostly missed this week


 
Posted : Oct. 20, 2025 10:38 pm
Avatar Of Blayton Cigsby
(@bucsbits)
Posts: 8495
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There's always next week!

i don't really sportsbet but I read the posts and like I said some of the thought behind the bets seemed to make sense. But then the game doesn't make sense ie didn't play out like one might expect. 

fascinating. 


 
Posted : Oct. 20, 2025 10:46 pm
Avatar Of Donkey_Hunter
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Posts: 5297
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Posted by: @firebowles2023

I mostly missed this week

Fortunately, I absolutely slaughtered the Rams/Jags game. 

Needed it, because the rest of Sunday and last night was brutal. 

Ended up 0.5u for the week. 

Sucks, because I was setup for one my best weeks ever after that morning game. 

 


 
Posted : Oct. 21, 2025 8:56 am
Avatar Of Firebowles2023
(@firebowles2023)
Posts: 4949
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Posted by: @bucsbits

There's always next week!

i don't really sportsbet but I read the posts and like I said some of the thought behind the bets seemed to make sense. But then the game doesn't make sense ie didn't play out like one might expect. 

fascinating. 

Just gotta win more than you lose. The lions game script killed all my over calls. It is what it is 

 


 
Posted : Oct. 21, 2025 9:06 am
Avatar Of Feelindangerous06
(@feelindangerous06)
Posts: 444
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This was my only hit this weekend:

 

TB -3.5

IND -15.5

DEN -3.5

3-leg parlay, +573

Bet $50/won $336.66

 

 

Tonight my parlay is:

KC -10.5

Mahomes 250+yds passing

Rice 40+yds receiving

Travis Kelce 25+ yds rec

Worthy 25+yds rec

Either Player ATTDS, Travis/Rice

6-leg parlay, +419

 

Bet $100/$419.57


 
Posted : Oct. 27, 2025 2:33 pm
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