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Avatar Of Blayton Cigsby
(@bucsbits)
Posts: 8481
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Posted by: @firebowles2023

Posted by: @bucsbits

There's always next week!

i don't really sportsbet but I read the posts and like I said some of the thought behind the bets seemed to make sense. But then the game doesn't make sense ie didn't play out like one might expect. 

fascinating. 

Just gotta win more than you lose. The lions game script killed all my over calls. It is what it is 

 

 

You have to win more than you lose PLUS the cost to play (or chalk it up to entertainment!)

 

Its pretty amazing that every bet discussed in this thread was a loser even though some of them seem to make sense

 


 
Posted : Oct. 27, 2025 3:50 pm
Avatar Of Blayton Cigsby
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Posted by: @feelindangerous06

Tonight my parlay is:

KC -10.5

Mahomes 250+yds passing

Rice 40+yds receiving

Travis Kelce 25+ yds rec

Worthy 25+yds rec

Either Player ATTDS, Travis/Rice

6-leg parlay, +419

 

Bet $100/$419.57

The math on that is like Grad level ECON!


 
Posted : Oct. 27, 2025 3:52 pm
Avatar Of Feelindangerous06
(@feelindangerous06)
Posts: 444
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Posted by: @bucsbits

Posted by: @firebowles2023

Posted by: @bucsbits

There's always next week!

i don't really sportsbet but I read the posts and like I said some of the thought behind the bets seemed to make sense. But then the game doesn't make sense ie didn't play out like one might expect. 

fascinating. 

Just gotta win more than you lose. The lions game script killed all my over calls. It is what it is 

 

 

You have to win more than you lose PLUS the cost to play (or chalk it up to entertainment!)

 

Its pretty amazing that every bet discussed in this thread was a loser even though some of them seem to make sense

 

 

 

 

What do you mean all the bets in this thread were losers?  i posted two that were winners.

 

 

And for me at least, sportsbetting is just for entertainment. Well, mostly entertainment, but my annual goal is to win enough to pay for X-Mas gifts that year.  I've got 10 godchildren, so anything helps, lol.

 

I put $400-$500 in before the season starts (this year I started with $400), and when it's gone, I'm done.  And while I have had good seasons where I won more than what I put in, most years I either break even or I lost.  Last year was a bad year for me and I was out by thanksgiving.  The idea for me is to try and make it to the playoffs with some $$ left, which I manage a bit more than half the time.

 

Trick is not to chase losses.  Can't get emotional about losing a bet/week, then try to make it back on one bet or in one weekend.  Kind of like football.  Can't try to throw a 2-TD pass when you're down a couple scores.  Gotta chip away at it; start small with a couple quick passes or good runs, and work up from there.

 


 
Posted : Oct. 27, 2025 4:02 pm
Avatar Of Feelindangerous06
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Posted by: @bucsbits

Posted by: @feelindangerous06

Tonight my parlay is:

KC -10.5

Mahomes 250+yds passing

Rice 40+yds receiving

Travis Kelce 25+ yds rec

Worthy 25+yds rec

Either Player ATTDS, Travis/Rice

6-leg parlay, +419

 

Bet $100/$419.57

The math on that is like Grad level ECON!

 

 

Yeah, that's my 'big swing' bet.  I have a 'safe' bet, that's basically the same bet but subtract the spread and the ATTDS.  Drops it to +140something.  But every one of those legs is at least an 80% probability, so it's pretty safe.  I've hit on 5 similar bets this season, though 2 of them were 3-leggers, so the ROI was around +125 or less.  

 


This post was modified 7 days ago by FeelinDangerous06
 
Posted : Oct. 27, 2025 4:06 pm
Avatar Of Feelindangerous06
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Also have a 15 legger for tonight/$15, all -450 legs or better.  I think it worked out to +5917.  it'll never hit but I'm curious how close to right i'll be.


 
Posted : Oct. 27, 2025 4:16 pm
Avatar Of Firebowles2023
(@firebowles2023)
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My bets were losers because they were parlays but I also played them individually to hedge and I came out having bet 100 and lost 30. Meh... 

Either way, my last two weeks I've been below average but it's all money I can afford to lose so I don't sweat it.

 

Tonight I'm taking Chiefs ML big for a small -700 payout.

In hopes the chiefs lose. 


 
Posted : Oct. 27, 2025 5:39 pm
Avatar Of Donkey_Hunter
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Posted by: @feelindangerous06

Tonight my parlay is:

KC -10.5

Mahomes 250+yds passing

Rice 40+yds receiving

Travis Kelce 25+ yds rec

Worthy 25+yds rec

Either Player ATTDS, Travis/Rice

6-leg parlay, +419

 

Bet $100/$419.57

Tailed for 0.5u

Let's have a night.


 
Posted : Oct. 27, 2025 7:19 pm
Avatar Of Donkey_Hunter
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Posted by: @firebowles2023

Tonight I'm taking Chiefs ML big for a small -700 payout.

In hopes the chiefs lose. 

I see what you did there.


 
Posted : Oct. 27, 2025 7:20 pm
Avatar Of Feelindangerous06
(@feelindangerous06)
Posts: 444
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Posted by: @donkey_hunter

Posted by: @feelindangerous06

Tonight my parlay is:

KC -10.5

Mahomes 250+yds passing

Rice 40+yds receiving

Travis Kelce 25+ yds rec

Worthy 25+yds rec

Either Player ATTDS, Travis/Rice

6-leg parlay, +419

 

Bet $100/$419.57

Tailed for 0.5u

Let's have a night.

 

 

Whoo-hoo, how you like them apples, DH?!?!?!

 

I also hit on two other safety bets.  Made my X-Mas gift $$$ in one night, lol

 


 
Posted : Oct. 27, 2025 10:34 pm
Avatar Of Firebowles2023
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Posted by: @donkey_hunter

Posted by: @firebowles2023

Tonight I'm taking Chiefs ML big for a small -700 payout.

In hopes the chiefs lose. 

I see what you did there.

Made a big old 25 bucks lol.

I'm a legend 

 


 
Posted : Oct. 27, 2025 11:04 pm
Avatar Of Firebowles2023
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Posted by: @feelindangerous06

Posted by: @donkey_hunter

Posted by: @feelindangerous06

Tonight my parlay is:

KC -10.5

Mahomes 250+yds passing

Rice 40+yds receiving

Travis Kelce 25+ yds rec

Worthy 25+yds rec

Either Player ATTDS, Travis/Rice

6-leg parlay, +419

 

Bet $100/$419.57

Tailed for 0.5u

Let's have a night.

 

 

Whoo-hoo, how you like them apples, DH?!?!?!

 

I also hit on two other safety bets.  Made my X-Mas gift $$$ in one night, lol

 

Hell yeah congrats 

 


 
Posted : Oct. 27, 2025 11:04 pm
Avatar Of Donkey_Hunter
(@donkey_hunter)
Posts: 5290
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Topic starter
 

Posted by: @feelindangerous06

Posted by: @donkey_hunter

Posted by: @feelindangerous06

Tonight my parlay is:

KC -10.5

Mahomes 250+yds passing

Rice 40+yds receiving

Travis Kelce 25+ yds rec

Worthy 25+yds rec

Either Player ATTDS, Travis/Rice

6-leg parlay, +419

 

Bet $100/$419.57

Tailed for 0.5u

Let's have a night.

 

 

Whoo-hoo, how you like them apples, DH?!?!?!

 

I also hit on two other safety bets.  Made my X-Mas gift $$$ in one night, lol

 

LOVE them apples!

0.5u cash for $1,049 on a MNF that I wasn’t originally going to have any shares of?

Tip of the hat to you, my good man!

 

 


 
Posted : Oct. 28, 2025 8:33 am
Avatar Of Blayton Cigsby
(@bucsbits)
Posts: 8481
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Posted by: @firebowles2023

Posted by: @feelindangerous06

Posted by: @donkey_hunter

Posted by: @feelindangerous06

Tonight my parlay is:

KC -10.5

Mahomes 250+yds passing

Rice 40+yds receiving

Travis Kelce 25+ yds rec

Worthy 25+yds rec

Either Player ATTDS, Travis/Rice

6-leg parlay, +419

 

Bet $100/$419.57

Tailed for 0.5u

Let's have a night.

 

 

Whoo-hoo, how you like them apples, DH?!?!?!

 

I also hit on two other safety bets.  Made my X-Mas gift $$$ in one night, lol

 

Hell yeah congrats 

 

 

awesome! congrats!

 


 
Posted : Oct. 28, 2025 8:35 am
Avatar Of Feelindangerous06
(@feelindangerous06)
Posts: 444
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Might have another good one for this weekend.  I’ll try to remember to post something Saturday afternoon if not a little earlier 


 
Posted : Oct. 29, 2025 2:59 pm
Avatar Of Firebowles2023
(@firebowles2023)
Posts: 4945
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Posted by: @feelindangerous06

Might have another good one for this weekend.  I’ll try to remember to post something Saturday afternoon if not a little earlier 

Let's hear it 

I'm taking any halftime under (not in a cowboys game) under 24.5. odds are very good because you need 3 TDs and 2 FGs. Or 4 TDs 

 


 
Posted : Oct. 29, 2025 11:03 pm
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