Coach Bruce Arians and the Bucs' front office will spend the next few weeks evaluating Winston’s tape. They will also study potential free-agent options and draft prospects, as well as hash out potential financial scenarios. A long-term commitment seems less likely at this point. A $30 million price tag may also give them pause because the turnovers -- which have plagued him throughout his NFL and college career -- are a glaring issue that may never be resolved.
A closer look at the interceptions
Cover 3 was a challenge for Winston. Ten of his 30 interceptions came against this coverage, the most in the NFL, with six coming from linebackers -- including Deion Jones’ pick-six that sealed the Bucs’ season-ending overtime loss to the Atlanta Falcons. Winston’s 62.7% completion rate against Cover 3 was also 27th in the league.
Ten of Winston’s other interceptions came against man coverage (also the most in the NFL), although he posted a 61.9% completion rate against this coverage -- 12th in the league. Six of his other picks came against Cover 2 (65% completions, 28th in the NFL), two against 2-man (49.3% completions, 26th in the NFL), one against Tampa 2 and one against goal-line man.
What QBR tells us
QBR, a metric developed by ESPN Stats & Information, incorporates several elements of quarterback play that aren't often accounted for in other quarterback metrics, including penalties and fumbles. It adjusts for context, giving far more credit for a 7-yard gain on third-and-6 than it does for the same yardage on third-and-13, for example, because it's built on an expected points framework. No measure is perfect, but QBR is the most effective one-number metric for quarterbacks. So, how has Winston measured up over the course of his five-season career?
In 2019, Winston had a Total QBR of 53.9, ranking 18th in the NFL between Giants rookie Daniel Jones and the Browns' Baker Mayfield. His best QBR season came in 2018, when he started 11 games and ranked eighth (66.2). In every other season, he's ranked somewhere in the middle of NFL quarterbacks -- between 12th and 19th.
Per Jenna Laine ESPN
https://twitter.com/JennaLaineESPN/status/1212757518977552391?s=09
