Winston's edge over...
 
Notifications
Clear all

Winston's edge over Mariota

1 Posts
1 Users
0 Reactions
135 Views
Avatar Of Bucsfan79
(@bucsfan79)
Posts: 26
Navigator
Topic starter
 

I borrowed this from another site I wish not to disclose....but you have to pay for it!Using GIFs to show why Winston's on-field play projects better than Mariota'sBy Todd McShay:Game tape shows Jameis Winston has a clear on-field advantage of the two quarterbacks.Florida State's Jameis Winston and Oregon's Marcus Mariota are the top two quarterback prospects in the 2015 NFL draft class (Winston is currently our top-ranked prospect overall), and at this point, I think both players are still possibilities to be selected by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers with the No. 1 overall pick.But part of the reason there isn't more separation between the two has to do with Winston's well-documented behavioral issues. The team that drafts him is going to need to be comfortable with his past off-field issues, his maturity level and whether he's generally ready to handle being the face of an NFL franchise.If you limit the evaluation to his and Mariota's game tape, however, I see a clear advantage for Winston in terms of his projection to the pro level. That's what I'll address in this article, using GIFs of specific plays to illustrate my points.Here is why I consider Winston to be a safer on-field bet than Mariota:Mariota's potentialLet's start with a look at some of the positive elements of Mariota's game. He's the No. 5 player on our board and a potential No. 1 overall pick for a reason, and this article is not intended to be a knock against him. He has several traits that show he has the potential to develop into a very good NFL quarterback, including his prototypical size, quick release, arm strength to make all the NFL throws, very good mental makeup and intangibles both on and off the field, and rare athleticism for the position.That athleticism is on display when he rolls out of the pocket, and one of his greatest strengths is his excellent accuracy when throwing on the run. You can see that in the two plays contained in the GIF below of Oregon's 2014 win over Utah:[img]http:// Mariota Throwing On Run 1. The first play is the best throw I've seen him make when rolling to his left (he's much more consistently accurate when rolling to his right in the eight tapes I've studied from 2014). He drills a strike to where only his receiver can catch it. His WR fails to haul it in, but an NFL wide receiver will make that catch more often than not.2. On the second play, he rolls right and does a good job of looking off of his underneath target before connecting with his intermediate target along the sideline. His ball placement is excellent on the play, yet another example of his ability to extend plays, make good decisions on the fly and throw accurately on the run.Where Mariota still needs to improveMariota showed great improvement with his accuracy during his Oregon career, but this remains the biggest area of concern for him as he transitions to the pros. On tape, he misses too many throws that require him to quickly reset his feet, and when he doesn't have his footwork buttoned up and doesn't properly transfer his weight from back to front, it can have a negative effect on his accuracy.This play in Oregon's Rose Bowl win over Florida State provides us with a great example: Mariota Footwork 1 After he drops back, Mariota identifies a receiver running open down the seam. But he is in such a hurry to deliver the ball that he fails to set his feet or transfer his weight, instead throwing off of his back foot, and the ball sails over the receiver's head on what should have been a sure completion, if not a touchdown.A different play from the Rose Bowl illustrates the other concern area for Mariota: His lack of experience and inconsistent efficiency on passes that require anticipation. This includes the ability to throw to a spot before a receiver gets out of his break, and leading a receiver to an opening in zone coverage.The latter is the case on this play: Mariota Footwork 2 Instead of placing the ball in the opening of the coverage for his receiver to run under it (the ideal ball placement is indicated by the green arc in the graphic), he throws with poor accuracy and trajectory, and it's the defensive back who is able to make a play on the ball, not his receiver. It was on these plays when Mariota's receivers aren't already open, but are about to become open, that he struggled with at times while at Oregon.Mariota has shown signs that he's capable of improving in these areas, but he'll need to prove he can consistently win from the pocket to be a long-term success at the NFL level.What makes Winston so impressive as a passerI've said a few times over the past couple of months that Winston is behind only Andrew Luck among quarterback prospects I've evaluated over the past 10 years in terms of his passing skills as they relate to the pro game -- reading defenses, manipulating the pocket, ball placement, throwing receivers open, starting down the pass rush, etc. I consider him to be on the same level as Ben Roethlisberger and Matt Ryan when they were coming out.He is just a tremendously gifted, natural passer of the football, and what really stands out about his game -- particularly in comparison to Mariota's game -- is his ability to see the entire field, make pro-style progression reads and throw with excellent anticipatory accuracy, from all kinds of arm angles and including when he's off platform.The following play from FSU's win over Oklahoma State demonstrates his ability to get through his progressions and deliver the football accurately to the correct receiver: Winston Progression Placement You can see him going through his progressions inside the pocket, keeping his eyes downfield while stepping up in the pocket to avoid the Cowboys' pass rush, and getting all the way to his backside read before releasing the throw. Not only that, but the ball placement on the pass is just ridiculously good. The trajectory is perfect; he spots it just ahead of the defender's outstretched arm, hitting his receiver in perfect stride so he can pick up a chunk of yardage after the catch.This next play demonstrates what I mean when I talk about anticipatory accuracy. On this throw, from the first quarter of FSU's comeback win over Louisville in 2014, Winston has to release the pass before his receiver has come out of his break, because he has two pass-rushers bearing down on him in his own end zone. Winston Anticipation It's one thing for a quarterback to see his receiver come open and deliver an accurate ball; it's another to be able to anticipate his receiver coming open and place it exactly where it needs to be, which is what Winston does in this play and consistently in the tape I watch of him. He fits the pass in between three defenders despite being forced to short-stride the throw due to the pass rush, earning a critical first down on a third-and-7 to get his team out from its own end.ConclusionNone of this is to say that Winston is the perfect prospect or that Mariota can't develop in the areas he needs to in order to become a very good NFL starting QB. But this is the decision facing the Bucs, in selecting between the two: Do they have enough faith in Mariota's ability to improve his footwork, anticipation and accuracy to justify selecting him over a much more polished prospect (albeit one with obvious off-field concerns) in Winston?It isn't an easy question to answer. But to me, if you limit it to the tape, Winston is the clear choice over Mariota.If someone tells me how to post the gif's I will embed it so you wont have to go to the image page.I am glad I stopped hating on your boy Jameis and did my due diligence. I think we might get lucky.

 
Posted : Mar. 28, 2015 2:28 pm
Share: