The Bucs’ shortcomings after another 5-11 season have been well documented, but averaging 415 yards of offense per game did bring some success in one aspect – Fantasy Football.

With the overhaul of the Bucs coaching staff and the hiring of Bruce Arians, the Bucs still are believed to have a high valued offense in 2019, both on the field and in Fantasy.

Matthew Berry, a fantasy football expert of ESPN, wrote 100 facts for the upcoming 2019 season and highlighted the Bucs for a number of his topics. He analyzed the play of Jameis Winston, finding that Winston’s deep ball completions of 4.6 per game would have been top of the list in the NFL last season. Winston’s accuracy on deep balls has been the subject of many discussions during his time on the Bucs.

Bucs QB Jameis Winston – Photo by: Mary Holt

Berry also went on further to breakdown Winston’s fantasy football value in comparison with the likes of Patrick Mahomes, Ben Roethlissberger, Matt Ryan and Jared Goff, explaining that Winston has put up similar in production in passing yards with fewer games.

Another Bucs player that was included in Berry’s 100 facts was tight end O.J. Howard. Even though his season was cut short from an ankle injury, Howard was still a top ten tight end in fantasy production last year, with stats that rivaled Zach Ertz and George Kittle. This opens the door for an even bigger 2019 season, barring if Howard can remain healthy for a full season.

Here is an excerpt from Berry on Winston and Howard.

“26. In his nine starts last season, Jameis Winston averaged 4.6 deep completions and 11.1 deep attempts per game. Both would have led the NFL if he qualified.

27. In those nine starts last season, Winston averaged 294.2 passing yards per game.

28. That would’ve been fourth most among all QBs last season, behind only Roethlisberger, Mahomes and Ryan.

29. Since the start of 2017, Winston has 11 games with at least 300 passing yards (tied for third most).

30. The only three QBs with more such games in that span are Jared Goff (13), Ryan (12) and Roethlisberger (12).

30a. Ryan has started 32 games in that span, Big Ben and Goff 31.

30b. Winston has started just 22!

95. In 2018, O.J. Howard was a top-10 TE in seven of his 10 games played. Only Travis Kelce (81.3%) and Zach Ertz (75%) were better.

96. Howard had at least 50 yards in 80% of his games last season. Only Kelce and George Kittle had higher rates.”

Read Berry’s entire article here.

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10 COMMENTS

  1. Yes there is lot upside to Winston and this offense. They need to run ball better, and cut turnovers. Season will ride more on if the defense an just be average. Not betting person but I would bet they can. Not sure if will take some time though to Gel etc. Hoping they can run ball and take pressure off d and start fast on defense.

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  2. I’ve never discredited Winston’s abilities or stats. My beef has always been his decision making, whether it’s throwing the ball into traffic or holding it too long trying to make something happen. I hate when people compare him to Favre or other historic QBs with a lot of INT’s. At that point you’re just comparing stats and not his overall body of work. His turnover rate is the highest of any (qualifying QB) since he entered the league in 2015. This makes it hard on the defense to keep the team in the game, especially when they’ve been a bottom tier defense since well before 2015. I’m not putting the losses on Winston, but his bonehead plays definitely did not help. HOWEVER with this complete coaching makeover and careful additions to key positions, the defense stands a good chance to improve which will hopefully equate to more chances for the offense to pull out a win. Hopefully the coaches can fine tune Winston and turn him into the elite QB we thought we drafted at No. 1. I am not holding my breath on that, but as a long time Bucs fan I really really hope he improves.

    If they can help him make better decisions, and the defense improves, and our run game starts clicking? this team has the talent to put the NFL on notice. I for one am excited about this season.

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  3. I see now that I said not to compare stats, then I brought up his stats LOL. Sorry, that was boneheaded on my part.

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  4. It seems to me that Winston played well enough for the Bucs to of gone at least 8 and 8. Infact perhaps better. The coaching was poor at best. I guess the head coach thought that if his team could score 30 points a game, nothing else mattered. He was a member of the whoever has the ball last wins. I think we have a “new Sheriff in town” and things are going to get better. Go Bucs….

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  5. These are the stats that most people forget and only wanna focus on the INTs and use that to say he’s terrible and needs “Fixing.” Yes, he needs to play like the end of last year and calm down with the turnovers and if he does that he is a Top 5 QB. So all Idiotic Winston haters can take a seat because he is here to stay and he is only gonna get better. Sorry, Not Sorry Hahaha

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  6. And if spitfire wins the Fl lottery he will be millionaire about same chance as Winston being top 5

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  7. The stats Spitfire likes to forget about Jamie’s Winston leads Leauge in INT and lost fumbles since his arrival
    Remember old QB rating qoute
    TD,s are good INT are bad and add fumbles it becomes really bad.
    Teams with high turnovers hurts its own defenders as they can not catch there breath. And more times on field leads to more yardage against them.

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  8. I think it’s funny that I have become, not just a Winston hater, but an “Idiotic Winston hater” because I point out the reasons he’s not the top tier QB we thought we drafted at Number 1. Idiotic Winston lovers tend to focus on his glorifying stats and think those automatically erase his mistakes and shortcomings. I love his stats! I hate his boneheaded mistakes. You can’t have both and be a top tier QB. Sorry. Yes, stop throwing INT’s and fumbling the ball and he will be top tier. Sadly, after 4 years in the league, that means he needs “fixing”. Just own it.

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  9. Stats are for losers which is what they are until they win more than 8 games. This on coaching & front office more than Winston. He threw a lot of picks at FSU. If this wasn’t a QB driven league he would not have been 1st pick. You can not have a bad defense & no commitment to running game, and expect him not to make bad decisions. At least he is trying to win which is more than can be said for the owners, current GM & previous coaches. Jameis has been playing with fixed deck & no o line.

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  10. Perfectly said 40+. I’m so sick and tired of hearing about the turnovers and INT’s. If any one of you have watched Bucs games over the last couple years, which I’m pretty sure most of you have, you’d see that the defense allows 1st down after 1st down and TD after TD, your defense is routinely allowing 400+ yards and 27+ points, your horrendous running game is allowing your opponent to hold the ball for 30-35 mins while making you one dimensional, and your horrendous kicking game forces your offense to have to get to the 20 just to have a consistent chance at getting 3 points, it’s almost impossible for the QB to succeed. Taking into account the putrid defense, non existent running game leading to losing TOP battle and making the offense one dimensional, and the putrid unreliable FG kicker, the QB needs to be perfect. In every single game. And by perfect I mean zero TO’s, or on a really good day for the defense, 1 TO. There’s probably more than a 50/50 chance every single game that if Jameis turns the ball over once, and has to settle for a FG attempt/and or has to punt on half the possessions, the team will still lose. Let that sink in for a minute. So think about that. Say the Bucs get 10 possessions. They score TD’s on 4, turn the ball over once, and settle for a FG attempt or punt on the other 5, there’s probably more than a 50% chance they lose. How many teams in the league can you say that about. When you’re constantly trailing by 2 TD’s because of the god awful defense, and you have ZERO running game(which obviously means the QB has to throw 40+ times) that means the offense is one dimensional. The whole world(including the DC and the defense of their opponent) knows that Jameis needs to throw on every play. Which means a bunch of prevent and dime defense. Which means, ummmm more INT’s. I mean this isn’t rocket science. You put Brady, Maholmes or Rodgers on this team and I guarantee you, their INT’s will skyrocket. This is what happens in football when you have a putrid defense who can’t get stops ever, and zero semblance of a running game. You get a one dimensional offense where the defense is just ball hawking because they know what’s coming

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