Betting the Bucs is a new segment that focuses on the gambling lines for each Bucs game during the season. We’ll take a look into different aspects of the game to help make your decision on whether to bet for or against the Bucs. We’ll also take a brief view at the slate of Sunday games around the rest of the league.

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The Line: Bucs -6, Over/Under 50.5

This Bucs team has to be angry for the way they’ve played over the last two weeks. They have not played up to the standard that they’ve set for themselves, and now’s the perfect week to get back to playing dominant football. Unfortunately for the Panthers, they happen to be next on the Bucs schedule. I know they went toe-to-toe with the Chiefs a week ago, but hungry dogs run faster and the Bucs are going to look to make a statement after two underwhelming weeks. 

Quarterback Tom Brady is not a man that often loses two in a row, and I suspect him to have one of his best games of the season. In their prior two losses on the season, the Bucs went on to score 31 and 38 points in the following game, both coming in victories of at least 20 points. Looking at the history, the Bucs have covered the spread in six of their last eight road games, and 4-2 ATS specifically at Carolina in their last six. The Panthers, on the other hand, are 1-6-1 ATS at home in that time.

I’m also a sucker for any kind of factor that could affect a game outside of what’s on the field. For this one, the big difference is the Bucs are going back to the white jersey, pewter pants combo. Tampa Bay has only worn that specific design once this season, and it was a dominating 38-10 victory over the Green Bay Packers. I think that the defense, led by fierce blitzing from Devin White and a great game from Jason Pierre-Paul on the pass rush, gets the Bucs back to terrorizing the opponent and shutting up the growing list of haters doubting they can be one of the best teams in the NFL.

The Pick: Bucs -6

If you haven’t been following my picks yet, now’s the time. I went 5-2 last week, including betting correctly on both of my picks for the Bucs game, which puts me at 14-9-1 on the entire season. Here’s what I have around the rest of the league for Sunday afternoon. 

Giants +4 vs. Eagles
The Giants just continue to cover as underdogs, and even won outright a week ago against Washington. They keep playing in close, one-possession games and that should continue this week against an Eagles team who struggled to beat the Cowboys in their last game. The Giants should have beaten the Eagles when they last faced them on Thursday Night Football, this time they exact some revenge. 

Cardinals-Bills Under 56.5
The main attack by the Bills’ offense last week against Seattle was to air the ball out. This week though, I expect them to run the ball more in order to keep Kyler Murray off the field. I think Buffalo gets some stops when they need it, preventing the over from hitting in what will still be a high scoring game. 

Dolphins-Chargers Over 48.5
This will be a fun one as we see rookie quarterbacks Tua Tagovailoa and Justin Herbert face off against each other. Los Angeles continues to play in very close high-scoring games, while the Dolphins defense has greatly helped set up scoring opportunities for the offense. Herbert will continue to do his thing in the Chargers’ offense, and Tua breaks out further as he gets more comfortable with the playbook.

Seahawks +2 at Rams
I don’t know what’s more surprising, the fact that this line takes a sluggish Rams team as a favorite, or that we’re doubting the Seahawks so much because of one bad game last week against the Bills. The Seahawks have one of the best offenses in the league and the Rams have been very inconsistent this season. Regardless of who shows up for Los Angeles, it’s Seattle that gets back on track in this game.

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About the Author: Matt Matera

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