Betting The Bucs is a weekly segment that focuses on the gambling lines for each Tampa Bay game during the season. We’ll take a look into different aspects of the game to help you make your decision on whether to bet for or against the Bucs. We’ll also break down various prop bets to take before you watch on Sunday.
If you’re going to choose to bet, there’s no better place to go to then MyBookie.ag. Use the promo code PEWTER on your first deposit and My Bookie will match it up to $1,000.
The Line: Bucs -12.5, Over/Under 51
Table of Contents
Wow. We were a Chris Godwin fumble away from covering last week, but we did get some nice pay outs on the prop bets, most notably with Antonio Brown’s touchdown cashing in at +175. That’s the beauty of gambling, you get the thrill of victory and the agony of defeat.
The Bucs didn’t play their best football on opening night, however, the offense is such a juggernaut that they were still able to score 31 points. I don’t see the offense slowing down at all, so you can expect another 30-point performance, if not 40. The big question is what type of Atlanta team will show up. They scored just 6 points in their first game, but I’m a firm believer that hungry dogs run faster, so this won’t be a cakewalk like many expect.
Tampa Bay’s defense should be very helpful contributing to the over in the sense that they’ll let you hit plays underneath in order to not give up the big play. It’s just a matter of playing staunch in the red zone to keep Atlanta to three points, not six. I’m also looking at the Bucs to create some turnovers on Sunday, setting up Tom Brady with great field position.
The spread has gone over in the last five games between the Bucs and Falcons, so you know we’re due for some explosive plays. We’ll need help from mother nature to make sure there’s not too much rain to impact the game. You add in the question marks about Ross Cockrell at nickel corner and how much that hamstring injury will limit Carlton Davis, and Atlanta should bounce back with a better game offensively. That said, the Bucs still have enough on offense to pull away and put the game out of reach.
The Pick: Bucs -12.5, Over 51
Let’s turn our attention to the little intricacies of the game to win you more money on Sunday.
Bucs First Half -7
Don’t want to wait for the final score? I got you. Tampa Bay went three-and-out on their first drive last week, so I expect them to come out with a better start on their opening drive. After a back-and-forth first quarter, the Bucs flex their offensive muscles and jump out to at least a 10-point lead at halftime.
Mike Evans Over 67 Receiving Yards (+108)
His over/under is 57.5, so tacking on another 10 yards gets you much better value. Evans has always been a guy to bounce back and come up with a monster game following a low production outing. I think he’ll get over 100 yards on Sunday, so take this over to the bank.
Ronald Jones 1 Touchdown
Speaking of bounce backs, no one needs it more than Ronald Jones. He’s getting the start and it’s a coin flip whether he’ll have the goal line carries when the Bucs are in the red zone. With a new vote of confidence, RoJo breaks out.
Tom Brady Over 2.5 Passing Touchdowns (-108)
He threw four last week and will have plenty of opportunities to do so again. Even if the Bucs pound the rock, Brady can exploit the Falcons’ defense to find the end zone three times.
Defensive Or Special Teams Touchdown Scored (+220)
I’m envisioning a scenario where Matt Ryan is backed up towards his own end zone and loses the ball after a huge hit on the edge by Shaq Barrett. The Bucs pick it up for a scoop-and-score and we all go home happy.