Betting The Bucs is a weekly segment that focuses on the gambling lines for each Tampa Bay game during the season. We’ll take a look into different aspects of the game to help you make your decision on whether to bet for or against the Bucs. We’ll also break down various prop bets to take before you watch on Sunday.
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The Line: Bucs -1.5, Over/Under 55.5
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The early performances by both the Bucs and Rams indicate that we’ll see at least one team reach the 30-point threshold. Tampa Bay leads the NFL averaging 39.5 points per game, and the over has hit before the third quarter was done. The Rams have kept pace as well hitting the over in both of their wins this season. They’re pushing the ball down the field more and it’s paying off for people who are betting on the points.
You can look even further to expect points, as the Bucs have hit the over in five of their last seven contests.
Tom Brady has been on an MVP path so far in two games. However, the Rams defense gave the Bucs some trouble last season preventing the deep ball. Brady won’t let that happen this time around, as he’ll pick apart the Rams zone defense to move down the field.
It’ll come down to which defenses show up on Sunday. Tampa Bay doesn’t allow the big plays, but they haven’t gotten to the passer. An injection of Joe Tryon-Shoyinka could change things, as he’s arguably the quickest pass rusher on the Bucs. An impact by the rookie would be great for the Bucs, but may hurt the over. If they can’t get to Matt Stafford, the Bucs secondary can only stop the Rams receivers for so long.
The Pick: Over 55.5
What a sensational run on the prop bets last week, as all but one hit. The defensive touchdown was the most thrilling hit of them all thinks to the two pick-6s by Mike Edwards. Moving ahead, there’s some great new opportunities for players that can be thrust into more important roles on Sunday.
Scotty Miller Over 26.5 receiving yards (-114)
With Antonio Brown out, that means we’ll see a lot more of Miller and Tyler Johnson. Miller is the big play guy and is due for a deep ball. One reception for him might just do the trick.
Tom Brady Under 308. 5 passing yards (-114)
Brady has been throwing the ball all over the field with 665 yards on the season. In last year’s game against Los Angeles, he threw for just 216 yards. While I expect that to increase, he’ll beat the zone on mostly shorter passes to move the ball, thus not racking up the yards. Brady can get to 300, but not much more than that.
Leonard Fournette Over 22.5 receiving yards (-114)
It looks like the Bucs coaching staff trusts Fournette much more than Ronald Jones II. They haven’t used Giovani Bernard a lot either, so with Fournette getting more snaps, he’ll get some third down opportunities. He’s gone for 27 and 24 yards respectively in two games this season, and Tom Brady is going to look his way often against the zone.
Chris Godwin Touchdown (+100)
Godwin has been the most consistent Bucs receiver so far and has scored in each game. Expect the Bucs to use him often in their quest to stay undefeated on Sunday.