Getting Nervous Abo...
 
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Getting Nervous About the Draft...

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 tog
(@tog)
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Gunner
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I know we're still a month away and there's time for lots more misinformation, but boy am I getting worried about what will transpire on draft day. Here's why:First, I think that only 2 QBs go before us. It's rare for 3 QBs to go in the top 10 (2011 & 2012 between 2000-2013). Now that largely depends on the prospects that come out, but I have trouble believing that the combination of Bortles, Manziel, and Bridgewater will all be valued enough to get picked before us. There's more uncertainty regarding the likely draft position of this QB class than I can recall in recent memory. Think 2011 - while no one knew precisely how Locker and Gabbert were going to turn out as pros everyone agreed they were reaches where they were picked. Contrast that with this year wherein there is no order or draft position within the 1st round that would be surprising. Hell, some teams are apparently valuing Carr over Manziel.I think much like last year with the slotting of Smith, "experts" are slotting the 3 QBs so high because (a) they're not quite sure what to make of them (although clearly they're far better than last years crop) and (b) when in doubt, give a QB-needy team a QB. I think mock drafts distort our ability to see value as fans becuase there's so much group think among these so called "experts".  Thus I think one of these QBs is likely over-valued. Which one? I have no clue.Because of this uncertainty, when teams have the option of drafting Mack/Clowney/Watkins I think you'll see some teams with a QB need do that. So my expectation is that you'll see 2 QBs, Clowney, Mack, Watkins, and Robinson drafted before the Bucs pick. That'll leave us with one of the QBs or Mathews. Some people might be happy with that, but I think it means that we've missed out on the real talent - players that have a much higher chance of being "franchise" players than what we'll end up with.Am I concerned about nothing? Are all 3 of these QBs really that good?

 
Posted : Mar. 7, 2014 6:09 pm
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