I can’t seem to get the link to work so if you do nothing else, Google and Read the NYT article “The Exponential Power of Now”
It came out 2 days ago. The premise is simple, if you understand basic math. CV is growing EXPONENTIALLY
an. 14 — 0
Jan. 21 — 1
Jan. 28 — 5
Feb. 4 — 11
Feb. 11 — 14
Feb. 18 — 25
Feb. 25 — 59
Mar. 3 — 125
Mar. 10 — 1,004
That’s bad news but If social distancing is done quickly and just interrupts one of those exponential jumps it has an equally substantial positive impact. From the article
“ Using the current case counts from the U.S. as of Friday morning, she calculated what the epidemic would look like if cases grew by 30 percent every day for a month — they have been growing by 30 to 40 percent every day for a week — then looked at what would happen if just one of those infections were prevented tomorrow instead of a week from now.
The following is an edited version of my phone and email conversations with Dr. Britta Jewell, in London, and Dr. Nick Jewell, who for the moment is staying put in Berkeley, Calif.”
JUST READ THE ARTICLE. ITS WORTH IT