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Eric Decker wants something between V. Jackson money, and Mike Williams money

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Fools Gold ?The production says yes, but is Eric Decker really worth $10 million per year? Joe Fortenbaugh    NFPFebruary 04, 2014, 02:14 PM EST..Decker1-6804_Zps91110923.JpgDespite a terrific regular season, Decker caught just one pass for six yards in Sunday's Super Bowl. At 4:00pm eastern on March 11, exactly 35 days from today, Denver Broncos wide receiver Eric Decker will enter the free agent market looking to cash in on the most prolific season of his four-year career. A third-round selection (No. 87 overall) out of Minnesota in the 2010 draft, Decker has performed well above a rookie contract that carried an average of just $842,489 per year with a 2013 base salary of only $1.323 million. Needless to say, Decker and agent Todd France will be looking to make a big splash once the free agent floodgates open in March. The trick for Decker and France, however, will be to locate a buyer who holds the soon-to-be free agent wide receiver in the same regard. The statistics and production are there, but so are the doubts. In essence, the big question that NFL teams in need of a wide receiver will be asking themselves over the next few weeks is whether or not Decker’s production is a byproduct of playing with future Hall of Fame quarterback Peyton Manning and the deepest pass-catching unit in the league, or if the 27-year-old can sustain this level of performance regardless of his surrounding cast. DECKER’S CASE France will build an argument rooted in precedent that will compare Decker’s recent production to that of the wide receivers who signed lucrative contracts over the last two years. Those deals will include: Percy Harvin, Seattle Seahawks (2013): $67 million over six years, with $25.5 million guaranteed and a $12 million signing bonus. Mike Wallace, Miami Dolphins (2013): $60 million over five years, with $30 million guaranteed and an $11 million signing bonus. Dwayne Bowe, Kansas City Chiefs (2013): $56 million over five years, with $26 million guaranteed and a $15 million signing bonus. Greg Jennings, Minnesota Vikings (2013): $45 million over five years, with $17.8 million guaranteed and a $10 million signing bonus. Vincent Jackson, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2012): $55.55 million over five years, with $26 million guaranteed and a $2 million first year reporting bonus. Pierre Garcon, Washington Redskins (2012): $42.5 million over five years, with $20.5 million guaranteed and an $11 million signing bonus. In order to justify that type of financial commitment from a team, France will have to prove that Decker is just as good—if not better—than those six aforementioned receivers. Here’s a look at how Decker’s production over the last two seasons stacks up against those players. Age: At time of contract signing YPR: Yards per receptionDecker_Zps31D67Cdf.gifDecker’s production over the last two years goes toe-to-toe with each of his six counterparts who struck it rich during that time span. Of particular note is the fact that the 27-year-old was healthy and active for all 32 regular season games played since 2012, a concern many scouts and personnel men shared regarding Decker when he jumped to the professional ranks. In addition to health, Decker’s age shouldn’t cause much of a concern during the negotiation process, as Bowe, Jennings and Jackson each hit it big despite more wear on their respective tires. But just because the production either matches or exceeds that of the other wide receivers who landed mega deals over the last two years doesn’t necessarily mean that Decker will experience the same financial windfall. THE COUNTERPOINT Of the 32 teams in the National Football League, how many will be in the market for a wide receiver come March? Of those teams looking to sign a wideout, how many possess the available cap space needed for Decker to put pen to paper? And of those teams still in the running, how many will opt to make a run at Decker rather than fellow impending free agent wide receivers Hakeem Nicks, Anquan Boldin, James Jones, Jeremy Maclin, Golden Tate, Julian Edelman, Emmanuel Sanders, Riley Cooper and Kenny Britt? Despite a terrific regular season, Decker caught just one pass for six yards in Sunday's Super Bowl. While the marketplace’s demand—or lack thereof—could pose a problem for Decker and France, the bigger issue facing the two will be how potential suitors define Decker’s position. France will no doubt be arguing for No. 1 wide receiver money, but any team willing to submit a bid will make the case that Decker is actually a No. 2, as evidenced by the fact that Broncos wideout Demaryius Thomas—who is scheduled to hit the free agent market next winter—caught more passes for more yards and more touchdowns than Decker in 2013. Thomas also set an NFL record on Sunday for most receptions (13) made during a Super Bowl. And when you compare Thomas’ 2013 postseason production (28 receptions for 306 yards and three touchdowns) to Decker’s (8 receptions for 111 yards and zero touchdowns), there’s little doubt as to who the top dog in Denver truly is. The argument over Decker’s designation will likely serve as the most contentious talking point during negotiations. And if France is unable to find a buyer willing to pay No. 1 money, Decker will swing from a contract averaging approximately $10 million or more per year (like the ones signed by Harvin, Bowe and Jackson) to somewhere in the neighborhood of $7.9 million per year, which is what Tampa Bay No. 2 wide receiver Mike Williams agreed to last July when inking a six-year, $40.25 million deal with $9.4 million guaranteed. Not a bad deal by any stretch, but still a significant chunk of change less than what other free agent receivers with inferior statistics signed for over the last two years. Of course, all it takes is one team to fall in love with Decker’s skill set for the 27-year-old to hit the lottery. But that’s unlikely given that no team in the NFL can offer a situation similar to the one Decker found in Denver, with a Hall of Fame quarterback under center along with three other talented receiving options on offense.

 
Posted : Feb. 5, 2014 4:36 am
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Any contract he gets should be based on his talent level, as determined by watching his route running ability, blocking ability, YAC ability, etc...Not based on his production.

 
Posted : Feb. 5, 2014 9:45 am
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I think he'd be a good fit for the Chiefs opposite Dwayne Bowe

 
Posted : Feb. 5, 2014 10:00 am
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He's a good player. Not a #1 wr though so I'm not sure why guys like Vincent Jackson are even being mentioned in the same discussion.

 
Posted : Feb. 5, 2014 10:14 am
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Decker also has the same problem Wes Welker did...there is a sense he is made to look at lot better by his QB and if you don't have that level QB then you won't get that level of a WR.

 
Posted : Feb. 5, 2014 10:40 am
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He is 27 years old and was never anything special until he had Manning throwing him the ball with an elite receiving corps around him. Even then, he has only put up Mike Williams numbers over the last two seasons. He is a good WR but he isn't amazing and there is a good chance he will not be anything more than a solid #2 on some other team. The fact that he had one catch for 6 yards in the Super Bowl won't help him either. He was completely erased in the biggest game of his life. On top of that, this draft is ridiculously loaded with receivers. Might be the deepest WR class I have seen. So I think Decker and the rest of this year's free agent WRs are going to get a lot less than they realize. Imo, Decker is a $6M to $7M type guy. Keeps him in the top 20, but he's not a top 10 guy. Shouldn't be paid like one.

 
Posted : Feb. 5, 2014 10:40 am
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I could see him going somewhere like Carolina. At the least he will be an elite weapon in the red zone. Even with Tim Tebow is his QB Decker put up over 600 yards on 44 catches and 8 TDs. I think he can be a solid WR. He shouldn't be penalized just because of who his QB was. His QB can't makeup for the fact that he has talent. Big guy, runs great routes, tough after the catch. Has deceptive speed and like I said a beast in the red zone. Decker in my eyes is better than MW.

 
Posted : Feb. 5, 2014 10:50 am
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He's a baller.  Numbers don't lie.

 
Posted : Feb. 5, 2014 12:08 pm
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Numbers don't lie.

They certainly get inflated when the guy giving him the numbers is Peyton Manning coming off a record setting year.

 
Posted : Feb. 5, 2014 1:16 pm
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He was running free all year because of Manning and that offense. Numbers don't lie but they're inflated.

 
Posted : Feb. 5, 2014 1:23 pm
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Numbers are inflated but he is a very good receiver. Would love to have him but not at the price he will probably get. Would also love to have his wife here.

 
Posted : Feb. 5, 2014 2:06 pm
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V Jackson is an individual that needs to renegotiate his contract.If Larry Fitzgerald could do it, he can too!!

 
Posted : Feb. 5, 2014 3:31 pm
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He is 27 years old and was never anything special until he had Manning throwing him the ball with an elite receiving corps around him. Even then, he has only put up Mike Williams numbers over the last two seasons. He is a good WR but he isn't amazing and there is a good chance he will not be anything more than a solid #2 on some other team. The fact that he had one catch for 6 yards in the Super Bowl won't help him either. He was completely erased in the biggest game of his life. On top of that, this draft is ridiculously loaded with receivers. Might be the deepest WR class I have seen. So I think Decker and the rest of this year's free agent WRs are going to get a lot less than they realize. Imo, Decker is a $6M to $7M type guy. Keeps him in the top 20, but he's not a top 10 guy. Shouldn't be paid like one.

I disagree.  In Decker's 2nd season, with TebLow and Orton, he managed 44 receptions for 612 yards and 8 TD's.  To me, that's pretty impressive considering who was throwing him the ball.  Also, in his 3rd season, Demaryius was the only other legit target with him and he put up comparable numbers.  Now, Thomas and Decker have different skill sets.  Thomas is more of a big play guy because he's faster, so obviously he'd have better downfield numbers, but he had more TD's and both he and Thomas caught approximately two-thirds of the passes thrown their way.  I see no reason why with a competent QB, Decker can't put up about 70+ receptions for 1,000+ yards and possibly double digit TD's.  I'd pay him more than I'd pay Williams, but not much.  I'd give him $8M per year.  If the Bucs were in need of his services, I wouldn't be upset with him getting $8.5-$9M.  I think that's his ceiling though.  I think he could be considered a "reasonably adequate" #1, but a true elite #2.

 
Posted : Feb. 5, 2014 4:43 pm
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I want something between Mark Zuckerberg money and Bill Gates money.  Sadly, there isnt anyone out there willing to give me that...someone will fall for the Decker trap.  Hopefully someone in our division not named Tampa Bay.

 
Posted : Feb. 5, 2014 8:06 pm
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I want something between Mark Zuckerberg money and Bill Gates money.  Sadly, there isnt anyone out there willing to give me that...someone will fall for the Decker trap.  Hopefully someone in our division not named Tampa Bay.

Me too but I'd settle for Oprah money

 
Posted : Feb. 5, 2014 8:10 pm
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