I must be officially going crazy. I just plunked down a very modest sum on the Bucs +10 against the Saints. I actually have a 4 bet parlay (trebles with 4 teams). If they all win or one team loses i win big. But if two teams lose I win nothing.Here is my crazy bet: TB +10 vs NODallas +5 vs PhillyDetroit +3.5 vs MinnesotaSF +6 vs PittsburgI did not wager last week and its a good thing because I liked 4 under the total points plays and only one of them would have hit. But if I had taken the value bets last week I would have done well against the spread. So, that's what I have done this week. I have taken what looks like the best value bets on the board. My thinking is that the Bucs are going to bounce back. We match up well against NO in just about every area. I just hope to God our defense gets on track this week. That will be the matchup I am watching, Brees against our secondary. If we can keep them out of the end zone and force some FGs then I expect Winston to keep us in this game....at least within 10 points.Dallas was undefeated on the road last year and Philly was not really good at home. I have no idea how this spread is 5 points but I will take it. IMO Philly was a better team with Foles but I expect that Tony Romo will be the difference maker in this one against that sorry Philly defense....even without Dez Bryant.Minnesota is favored again? I have no idea how they were favored last week at SF and I am expecting the Lions to outgun them this week. The key to this game will be the Lions getting some points on the board early in order to minimise Adrian Peterson's touches. San Francisco. I was expecting this team to flat out suck this year, but lo and behold they played a great smash mouth game against the Vikings last week with my boy Carlos Hyde completely dominating the game. In the realm of matchups, SF matches up really well against Pittsburgh. If they can run the ball effectively and pressure Big Ben into a few mistakes they have a chance of winning this game.So, there it is, I am officially crazy to have bet on our first round bust QB. LOL.*Edit - Blue font added to remove any doubt that was a serious comment. It is clearly a sarcastic jab at the Mariota fanboyz.
