In my estimation, today was the absolute nail in the coffin for Licht. He absolutely could not afford to have Jameis fail.
I do not give him credit for Mike Evans and OJ Howard. I'm sorry. I do not. Mike was in a draft laden with ridiculous can't miss talent and was an obvious pick. OJ was a top 5 product that fell due to other teams drafting need and positional value. The way I see it, in 5 draft classes, and offseason moves (including trades and UFAs), Licht has actually hit on the following:
DRAFT
1 - Kevin Pamphille (a 5th round player that turned into a reasonable, not average, but reasonable OG)
2 - Ali Marpet (a late 2nd round interior OL that is one of the best in the league)
3 - Kwon Alexander (a 4th round player that has turned into an average MLB)
4 - Ryan Smith (a 4th round DB that is solid depth and a + ST player)
5 - Chris Godwin (a 3rd round WR with very high floor and ceiling)
UFA
6, 7, 8 - Hump, Brate, Auclaire (all UFAs that have develloped into solid contributors)
FA
9 - Desean Jackson (He should have an absurd number of TDs and long TDs in this last 1.5 years)
10 - JPP (A 3rd round pick for an absurdly productive and versatile edge player).
That is it. Grimes great 2016 is cancelled out by his struggles since and the opportunity cost of either (a) drafting another secondary player or (b) allocating those cap resources elsewhere. Ten players. 5 players in all of these drafts that have (a) played up to or outplayed their draft position and (b) earned a 2nd contract.
The 2018 draft isn't remotely settled yet, but I feel confident that the Jones and Stewart pick won't legitimize their draft position, and I feel pretty similarly about Cappa (so a pair of 2nds and a 3rd).
So many draft picks squandered.
So much opportunity cost in both spending allocated, missing on Free Agents leading to terrible downstream effects (eg not spending on Alex Mack so you end up throwing an ENORMOUS amount of $ for really poor Center play in Jensen, FA misses leading to not pushing for quality interior players in the draft, passing on DBs for for low value positions because of free agent DB moves), unorthodox moves that blow up horrifically (Aguayo).
Today has to be the nail in the coffin. Winston's failure today has to be the coup de grace. Outside of Mike Greenberg (who has been terrific in creatively managing salaries), Licht and his staff need to go.
