Updated to go back to 1987For those wanting to trade down or go OL/DE and draft a QB later...let's talk a little drafting QB history. I went back and looked at all the drafts since 1987 (not including 2014 class). Here are the raw numbers:Since 1987, 312 QBs have been drafted. There have been 62 QBs drafted in the 1st round during that time. Only 26 of those turned out to been any good. 36 of those were pretty much busts (haven't labeled RGIII a bust yet). That's about 40% of 1st round QBs that actually end up being average or better. The number that become Pro Bowlers is about 30%.As for 2nd rounders...there have been 30 of them drafted since 1987. Only 5 were average or better. That's a little over 16%. After that, in the 3rd round, only 2 have been any good (and that includes Foles) and in rounds 4, 5, 6, and 8...just 1 good QB each. If you are going to draft a QB the odds are you have to take them in the 1st round. Oh...and the success rate of them being average or better jumps up to about 60% if you take the QB in the top 5. If you up the level of success to Pro Bowl level...40% of top 5 QBs become Pro Bowlers. When you look at picks 5-32...the success rate of 1st round QBs drops to about 25%.Yes it's still a huge gamble drafting a QB in the top 5, but the odds of finally landing a franchise QB goes up well over 200% if we take one this year with our top 2 pick vs trading out of the top 5. Besides...after missing on Vinny, Dilfer and Freeman...the Bucs are due...lol.
